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                  <text>The research in this publication was partially or fully funded by Colorado Parks and Wildlife.

Dan Prenzlow, Director, Colorado Parks and Wildlife • Parks and Wildlife Commission: Marvin McDaniel, Chair • Carrie Besnette Hauser, Vice-Chair
Marie Haskett, Secretary • Taishya Adams • Betsy Blecha • Charles Garcia • Dallas May • Duke Phillips, IV • Luke B. Schafer • James Jay Tutchton • Eden Vardy

�Wildlife Society Bulletin 43(2):222–230; 2019; DOI: 10.1002/wsb.971

Original Article

Less Invasive Monitoring of Cougars in
Colorado’s Front Range
MAT W. ALLDREDGE,1 Colorado Parks and Wildlife, 317 W Prospect Road, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA
TASHA BLECHA, Colorado Parks and Wildlife, 317 W Prospect Road, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA
JONATHAN H. LEWIS, Colorado Parks and Wildlife, 317 W Prospect Road, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA

ABSTRACT From 2014 to 2016, in the Front Range of Colorado, USA, we assessed noninvasive approaches to sampling cougar (Puma concolor) populations in an attempt to provide a new method that would
be less ﬁeld intensive, less expensive, and could be applied over large spatial extents compared with current
methods. We assessed the use of predator calls to lure cougars to a site with remote camera traps for
detection and also evaluated hair snags at sites to noninvasively identify individual animals. Predator calls
eﬀectively attracted cougars to speciﬁc sites with an average of 82 unique photographic detections of
cougars per survey year (0.03 detections/trap‐night). However, obtaining hair samples from these animals
was less eﬀective because animals did not always pass through hair snags and ability to uniquely identify
individuals by genotype was poor. We evaluated diﬀerent approaches to estimating cougar density and
found mark–resight to be a viable option in our study system. Mark–resight density estimate after correcting for partial use of the sampling area by cougars was 4.1 cougars/100 km2 (95% CI = 2.4, 5.8). Our
results indicate that combining methods of noninvasive genetic sampling and auditory calls to monitor
cougar populations can provide reliable density estimates over large geographic areas and areas with signiﬁcant amounts of inaccessible private lands. © 2019 The Wildlife Society.
KEY WORDS abundance, auditory, cougar, mark–resight, noninvasive, predator calls Puma concolor.

Reliable estimates of population size are beneﬁcial for setting
harvest quotas, evaluating management practices, and understanding dynamics of predator–prey systems. Unfortunately,
with many carnivore species, it can be diﬃcult and expensive to
obtain these estimates. This is especially true with cougars
(Puma concolor) because of their low densities, secretive nature,
and unpredictable response to lures. Most reliable estimates of
population size for cougars have come from intensive
capture‐and‐monitoring studies, which are expensive and
time‐consuming (Logan 1983, Lindzey et al. 1994, Murphy
1998, Logan and Sweanor 2001).
Across western North America, obtaining population
estimate for cougars is a priority for 86% of natural resource
agencies (Beausoleil et al. 2008). Additionally, Beausoleil et al.
(2008) reported that agencies commonly extrapolated cougar
population size from hunter harvest data (mandatory check),
habitat assessments, and published estimates. These approaches provide some information to manage cougar populations, but they are limited. Extrapolation from hunter harvest
is primarily reactionary because this approach relies on composition of the harvest to suggest population status (Anderson
Received: 23 April 2018; Accepted: 11 March 2019
1

E‐mail: mat.alldredge@state.co.us

222

and Lindzey 2005). Extrapolation from published estimates
requires strong assumptions about similarities among areas and
is not robust to subtle diﬀerences in environmental, demographic, or management diﬀerences among areas.
Currently there are no reliable estimates of cougar density
for Colorado, USA, and this is especially true within the
urban–wildland interface of Colorado’s Front Range. This
is problematic because Colorado Parks and Wildlife (CPW)
managers require more accurate estimates of cougar populations to develop better management strategies to achieve
healthy, self‐sustaining populations and help mitigate
human–wildlife conﬂicts. The CPW manages cougar populations based on large (several 1,000 km2) Data Analysis
Units (DAUs) with speciﬁc cougar population objectives.
These objectives are designed to maintain healthy cougar
populations across the state in conjunction with maintaining
healthy ungulate populations and minimizing human–
cougar conﬂict. To better manage cougars within the state
and address public concerns about cougar numbers, it is
important to develop techniques and obtain reliable estimates of cougar density that are cost‐eﬀective and cover
large areas that can be applied at the scale of DAUs.
Exurban landscapes provide unique challenges to sampling
because they are dominated by private lands with limited
access, which makes current sampling methodologies logistically infeasible and ineﬀective.
Wildlife Society Bulletin • 43(2)

�Typical assessments of cougar density rely on extensive
telemetry studies to eﬀectively mark all the animals in the
population or capture–recapture approaches (Anderson and
Lindzey 2005, Cougar Management Guidelines Working
Group [CMGWG] 2005). Many cougar researchers believe
that complete enumeration of the cougar population
through long‐term studies attempting to mark all animals in
the population is the most reliable method to obtain population estimates (Cougar Management Guidelines
Working Group [CMGWG] 2005). An alternative approach that has been used to estimate cougar population size
is the 2‐sample Lincoln–Petersen estimator in a mark–recapture framework (Anderson and Lindzey 2005). This
method also requires a marked population and is subject to
all the Lincoln–Petersen model assumptions, which include
constant probability of capture among all individuals and
time periods, and population closure (no changes in the
population from emigration–immigration or births–deaths;
Williams et al. 2002). Neither of these approaches are
realistic at a management scale across large areas typical of
Colorado’s DAUs or in areas dominated by private property.
There is diﬃculty and expense associated with physical
mark–recapture techniques for estimating cougar abundance
and they can be applied only at small scales; therefore, alternate techniques have been developed, such as track surveys, the use of scat detection dogs, and bio‐darting.
However, track surveys were reported to be an ineﬀective
method for estimating abundance of cougars in some areas,
but eﬀective in other areas (Sargeant et al. 1998, Choate
et al. 2006, Gompper et al. 2006, Sawaya et al. 2011). Track
surveys have been used to assess cougar population trends
(Smallwood and Fitzhugh 1991, 1995; Smallwood 1994;
Cunningham et al. 1995), but actual relationships to population size are generally weak (Van Dyke et al. 1986, Van
Sickle and Lindzey 1992, Cunningham et al. 1995).
The use of scat‐detection dogs was demonstrated to be
eﬀective for estimating cougar density, but this approach
can be expensive and limited in spatial extent (Davidson
et al. 2014). Scat collections can either be done by searching
transects with human observers or with trained dogs
(Harrison et al. 2004, Smith et al. 2005, Davidson et al.
2014). Although use of scats for noninvasive genetic sampling (NGS) may sound appealing, the actual encounter rate
of scats may be prohibitively low and the ability to cover
large areas logistically infeasible to make this a viable
management option. Therefore, this technique would have
limited applicability at the management scale used in Colorado and would be logistically infeasible within the Front
Range because of private property access.
Two studies eﬀectively estimated cougar density in Montana, USA, using bio‐darting to obtain tissue samples from
cougars treed by hounds, and backtracking cougars during
winter to obtain hair samples (Russell et al. 2012, Proﬃtt
et al. 2015). Additionally, Beausoleil et al. (2016) developed
an eﬀective sampling approach using a citizen scientist
approach and bio‐darting to estimate cougar density at a
game management unit scale in northeastern Washington,
USA. This approach does account for detection probability,

but is still ﬁeld intensive. Bio‐darting also is based on ﬁnding
tracks and being able to tree an individual to get a sample,
which may not eﬀectively sample all portions of the population, especially where property access can be limited.
Furthermore, DNA‐based estimation methods, including
bio‐darting and snow‐tracking, may be biased high because of
inﬂated minimum counts caused from genotyping errors
(Sawaya et al. 2017).
To address limitations of other techniques relative to spatial
extent and inaccessible areas due to private lands, an alternative
approach would be to collect hair or tissue from cougars that
are lured into a site. Lures and hair snags in conjunction with
remote camera traps have been used to successfully survey
carnivores (Sargeant et al. 1998, Long et al. 2003, Choate et al.
2006, Crooks et al. 2008, Sawaya et al. 2011), lynx (Lynx
canadensis; McDaniel et al. 2000, Schmidt and Kowalczyk
2006), bobcats (L. rufus; Harrison 2006), ocelots (Leopardus
pardalis; Weaver et al. 2005), other felids (Harrison 1997,
Downey et al. 2007), and cougars (Long et al. 2003). Although the use of lures with hair snags has proven eﬀective on
many species, such as bears (Ursus spp.) and some felids, baits
and scents have been found relatively ineﬀective at luring
cougars to a speciﬁc site, even when cougars are known to be
in close proximity (Long et al. 2003, Choate et al. 2006,
Yeager 2016).
Few surveys have incorporated auditory calls despite
the fact that felids may exhibit a greater response to
auditory cues than to olfactory stimuli (Chamberlain
et al. 1999). To attract cougars to sampling locations,
Yeager (2016) reported that auditory calls were more
eﬀective than bait or scent lures. For example, they were
able to detect the majority of radiocollared cougars (19
of 20) on the Colorado Front Range using auditory calls
placed in cubbies. Furthermore, all 7 radiomonitored
cougars on the Uncompahgre Plateau in Colorado were
similarly detected (Yeager 2016). However, application
of this approach to assess density estimation has not
been implemented.
Local environments can also dictate which sampling approaches are used because access to private lands, vegetation
structure, and climate can impede study designs. For example, although Sawaya et al. (2011) reported snow‐
tracking as an eﬀective method to estimate cougar density in
their study area, Alldredge (2012) reported that varying
snow conditions and limited access to private lands made
snow‐tracking logistically infeasible in the Front Range of
Colorado. Similarly, Beausoleil et al. (2016) presented an
eﬀective strategy to use citizen scientists and bio‐darting,
but given the extent of private property on the Front Range
of Colorado, and presumably other areas with a wildland–
urban interface, this would not be practical. Study area size
may also dictate sampling approaches because many (mark–
recapture, snow‐tracking, scat detection) would be impractical at large scales. For management purposes, areas of
interest tend to be quite large; for example, the typical DAU
in Colorado generally exceeds 5,000 km2.
We implemented an NGS survey to test the eﬃcacy of
this approach in conjunction with an ongoing cougar

Alldredge et al. • Less Invasive Monitoring of Cougars in Colorado’s Front Range

223

�research project (2006–2016) where cougars were already
collared with a Global Positioning System (GPS). The
NGS sampling sites were established using a 25‐km2 grid
across the study area using predator calls, cameras, and hair
collection devices. We assessed the reliability of this approach to detect cougars relative to the marked sample
based on photographic evidence at sites. We also assessed
the reliability of obtaining hair samples and genotypes from
those hair samples relative to photographic evidence of the
presence of cougars at sites. We also evaluated the feasibility
of using capture–recapture and mark–resight models to estimate cougar densities

STUDY AREA
We conducted the study along Colorado’s Front Range, in
Boulder, Jeﬀerson, Gilpin, and Larimer counties from 2014
to 2016. The study area was deﬁned by Hwy 36, Hwy 72,
Hwy 93, and I‐70, with the actual grid area of 800 km2
(Fig. 1). The area was a foothill‐montane system with
elevations ranging between 1,595 and 3,173 m. Dominant
vegetation throughout the area was ponderosa pine (Pinus
ponderosa), Douglas ﬁr (Pseudotsuga menziesii), Rocky
Mountain juniper (Juniperus scopulorum), mountain mahogany (Cercocarpus montanus), Gambel’s oak (Quercus
gambelii), serviceberry (Amelanchier alnifolia), and bitterbrush (Purshia tridentata).
The study area was quality cougar habitat with mule deer
(Odocoileus hemionus) and elk (Cervus canadensis) as primary
prey, as well as smaller alternate prey species (Blecha et al.
2017). Human development and use of the area was intensive, with land use consisting of 3% urban, 27.3%
exurban, and 69.7% rural areas. The patch‐work of private
and public lands throughout the study area limited recreational hunting of cougars. Cougar mortality was primarily
human‐caused, including vehicle collisions and management‐related removals (Alldredge 2016).

METHODS
During 2014–2016, we used a systematic layout to ensure
sampling stations were distributed across the study area. We
used a grid‐cell size equal to one‐quarter of a female cougar
home range size, which is typically recommended to ensure
a nonzero probability of detection for all animals within the
survey area (Otis et al. 1978, White et al. 1982, Williams
et al. 2002). The average home‐range size for female
cougars on the Front Range was approximately 100 km2
(Alldredge 2016), so we used a 5 × 5‐km grid cell size as our
primary grid. A secondary 1 × 1‐km grid was overlaid on
the primary grid. We randomly selected a cell from the
secondary grid within each primary grid cell, omitting all
cells on the edges. We also selected the 4 adjacent diagonal
cells, for 165 total sites (Fig. 2). Within each selected cell,
we selected speciﬁc sites to build a cubby based on likely
areas to attract a cougar, property access, and logistics.
We had 2 active sites and 3 passive sites during each
sampling period within each primary grid. To attract
224

cougars, active sites employed a call, camera, scent, visual
lure, and 1–2 hair‐snaring devices, whereas passive sites
lacked calls and cameras because of logistical and
budgetary constraints. We randomly selected active sites
without replacement from the 5 available sites in each
grid at time 0, 4, and 8 weeks and rotated them accordingly, such that all 5 sites were active sites once during the
season and one was an active site twice. We checked all
sites at approximately weekly intervals for signs of
visitation and hair, and checked batteries in cameras and
calls. Sixty‐six active sites and 99 passive sites were active
throughout the study.
All active sites were similar in design, containing the same
elements. The main attractant was a predator call (Wasatch
Wildlife Products® Custom FurFindR®, Magna, UT,
USA) programmed to play a 5‐second distressed fawn
sound on 30‐second intervals. These calls were also
equipped with light sensors rendering them inactive during
daylight hours. We attached calls with a cable approximately 1 m up from the base of a tree. We then built a
cubby (brush and logs built up around the tree to direct the
approach to the call) around the call leaving an obvious
entry or exit. We constructed a perimeter hair snag using
18‐gauge, high‐tensile barbed wire with 4 prongs/barb
(7‐cm spacing) around cubbies to snag hair as cougars
approach the site. We stretched wire around available trees,
forming a polygon around the cubby of approximately 10‐m
radius. We also installed strands of barbed wire at cubby
entrances to snag hair. During 2014, we placed barbed wire
horizontally and terrain features aﬀected the height of wires,
consequently aﬀecting whether a site was designed for a
cougar to step over, under, or through 2 strands of barbed
wire. During 2015–2016, we designed all cubbies with
vertical wires in a v‐shape (narrower at the bottom), so that
cougars had to walk between to snag hair. We also placed 2
sticky rollers on the barbed wire as a secondary hair snag at
each site. A sticky roller was a 15‐cm‐long, 2‐cm‐diameter
piece of polyvinyl chloride pipe coated with a sticky substance (Tree Tranglefoot®, Grand Rapids, MI, USA), with
the wire run through it to snag hair. At each site, we positioned an infrared motion‐sensor camera (Reconyx®,
Holmen, WI, USA; PC85 Rapidﬁre® or PC800
Hyperﬁre®) set to rapidly take 5 photos when triggered.
To minimize the possibility of sample contamination
(multiple animals leaving hair) and degradation, we checked
the sites for activity every week. We considered hair on a
single barb as one sample and denoted quantity with a score
of 1–3 (&lt;5 hairs, 6–15 hairs, and &gt;15 hairs), following
Yeager (2016). We removed hair using sterile tweezers and
resterilized the barb by passing a ﬂame under it (Kendall
et al. 2008, Settlage et al. 2008). We placed hair in a small
paper envelope, and placed envelopes in a plastic bag with a
desiccant and stored them at room temperature (Taberlet
and Luikart 1999). If hair was on the sticky rollers, we
collected the entire roller, wrapped it in wax paper, and
placed it in a plastic bag.
Hair samples were processed at the Molecular Ecology
Lab at the U.S. Geological Survey Fort Collins Science
Wildlife Society Bulletin • 43(2)

�Figure 1. Study area for population sampling of cougars during 2014 to 2016, located on the Front Range of Colorado, USA.

Center. When possible, we extracted DNA from 10 hairs,
following suggestions to achieve correct genotypes at 99%
conﬁdence (Taberlet et al. 1996, Goossens et al. 1998,
Boersen et al. 2003) using Qiagen DNeasy® Tissue Kits

(Qiagen Inc., Valencia, CA, USA). We genotyped samples
using 10 microsatellite loci (FCA096, FCA035, FCA043,
FCA149, FCA026, FCA057, FCA090, FCA132, FCA254,
and B207‐2) that have been shown to have high variability

Alldredge et al. • Less Invasive Monitoring of Cougars in Colorado’s Front Range

225

�Figure 2. Study area boundary and grid layout for noninvasive genetic sampling for cougars on the Front Range of Colorado, USA, during 2014 to 2016.
Larger squares represent the 25‐km2 grid. White 1‐km2 cells represent the randomly selected secondary cells where actual lure sites were subjectively placed.

in cougars (Menotti‐Raymond and O’Brien 1995, Ernest
et al. 2000, Sinclair et al. 2001, Anderson et al. 2004).
We ampliﬁed the DNA by polymerase chain reaction
(PCR) using individually dye‐labeled primers speciﬁc to
each loci primer following recommendations of Yeager
(2016). We analyzed each locus via GeneMapper® (Thermo
Fisher Scientiﬁc, Waltham, MA, USA). To assess error, we
compared results from hair genotyping with archived
blood and tissue samples collected during capture. When
possible, we reprocessed hair samples shown to contain error
at ≥1 allele.
226

We recorded camera detections (photographs of cougars)
once (i.e., as a single capture event) for each night, regardless of the number of photographs. Although cougars
do not have clear natural markings, we assumed that multiple detections of an unmarked cougar at a site during any
night were of the same animal because of the strong solitary
nature of cougars. Following the robust design framework
(Kendall 1999), we created detection histories using detection of independent individuals over 6 primary 2‐week
sampling periods across each year. Detection histories for
each primary period were divided into 2 secondary 1‐week
Wildlife Society Bulletin • 43(2)

�periods. Dependent kittens and subadults photographed
with their mothers were not counted in the detection history. This approach allows for multiple detections of the
same individual within any sampling period (e.g., sampling
with replacement; McClintock et al. 2009). We used GPS
data from monitored cougars to conﬁrm identity of radiocollared cougars.
We used mark–resight analyses to estimate cougar density
because we annually monitored 4–19 cougars ﬁtted with
GPS radiocollars in our study area during 2014–2016
(McClintock and White 2009, McClintock et al. 2009).
The small sample size of uniquely identiﬁed individuals
based on genetic samples precluded us from using capture–
recapture models to estimate population size or density
(Kendall 1999, Williams et al. 2002). We used the Poisson‐
log‐normal mark–resight model implemented in Program
MARK, to obtain a spatially uncorrected estimate of
population size and density as cougars per 100 km2 (White
and Burnham 1999, McClintock et al. 2009). We conducted preliminary analyses using all 3 years of data, but
estimates for 2015 and 2016 did not produce biologically
reasonable estimates because of a limited number of marked
individuals during those years. Therefore, we only present
analyses and results for 2014. We ﬁxed transition probabilities to 0 in these models because we accounted for time
on and oﬀ grid separately based on GPS data of collared
cougars. The apparent survival parameter was ﬁxed to 1
because the time period was short and no mortality was
observed for collared cougars or expected during this time
period. The remaining model parameters were the number
of unmarked individuals in the population during interval j
(Uj) and intercept for mean resighting rate during interval j
(αj), which were either modeled as constants across all time
periods or allowed to vary across time periods. To explore
heterogeneity in detection probabilities, we examined
models with the individual heterogeneity (mixture model)
and without heterogeneity. Model selection was based on
Akaike’s Information Criterion that has been corrected for
small sample sizes (AICc) to determine which model was
best supported by these data (Burnham and Anderson
2002). We did not test models to address diﬀerences between males and females because sex could not be determined with certainty for unmarked individuals in all
photographs. We then corrected detection probability for
spatial use of the sampled area as the time spent on grid
using GPS location data from the collared cougars over the
duration of the sampling period (White and Shenk 2001).
We programmed GPS collars to obtain 7 locations/day,
which resulted in up to 588 locations/cougar (if all ﬁxes are
successful) during the sampling period. We then calculated
time on grid as the number of locations on grid divided by
the total number of locations for each collared cougar. The
mean and variance were then calculated across collared
cougars to give an estimate of the probability ( p̄ ) of a cougar
being on the grid during the sampling period (White and
Shenk 2001).
From this, the corrected or actual density of cougars (D̂a )
per 100 km2 could be estimated as

Dˆa =

Nˆ p ̅
A

100,

where A is the sampled area. The associated variance is then
ˆ (Dˆa ) =
Var

2 ˆ
ˆ (Nˆ )
Nˆ Var
(p ̅ ) + p ̅ 2 Var

(A / 100) 2

,

(White and Shenk 2001).

RESULTS
During January–March of 2014–2016, surveys photographed 42–118 unique cougars at cubbies and all detections occurred at active sites with calls (Table 1). Approximately 61% of all cubbies visited by cougars resulted
in successful collection of hair samples. Of those hair
samples, 33.3% were successfully genotyped and
represented 20.3% of cougars photographed at cubbies.
Comparing genotypes from samples to known individuals,
proper identiﬁcation of genotypes occurred for 87% (13%
error rate) with an estimated 17.7% (0.61 × 0.333 × 0.87)
chance of successfully genotyping an individual that visited
a cubby.
During 2014, 19 GPS‐collared cougars available for detection used the sampling grid at least once during the
survey period. Of these, 15 cougars were detected at least
once on camera. The number of uncollared cougars detected
was 5, 20, 6, 3, 4, and 10 across the 6 primary sampling
periods, respectively. When collared cougars were within
the 25‐km2 grid during a sampling period, the detection
probability was 0.042 (SE = 0.0001). However, when a
collared cougar was within the 1‐km2 grid of a primary site
during a sampling period, detection probability was 0.37
(SE = 0.001).
The best model for mark–resight analysis was constant
detection probability across all time periods, constant
number of unmarked individuals, and no individual heterogeneity. Support for the other models was minimal
(ΔAICc &gt; 8.20; Table 2). Based on the top‐ranked model,
the estimated detection probability was 0.23 (SE = 0.034)
for all time periods with an estimated population size of 46
(SE = 7.94) cougars. This uncorrected estimate would result
in a density of 5.8 cougars/100 km2 (95% CI = 4.2–8.1)
Based on GPS locations of collared cougars during the
sampling time frame, the average time on grid was 0.72
(SE = 0.176), ranging between 0.20 and 1.0. Based on this,
the corrected density estimate was 4.1 cougars/100 km2
(95% CI = 2.4–5.8).

Table 1. Number of photographs, hair samples, and successful genotypes
by year from the Colorado, USA, Front Range cougar population survey
during 2013–2016.

2014
2015
2016

Alldredge et al. • Less Invasive Monitoring of Cougars in Colorado’s Front Range

No. pictures

Hair samples

Genotypes

86
42
118

55 (64.0%)
32 (76.2%)
51 (43.2%)

20 (36.4%)
11 (34.4%)
15 (29.4%)

227

�Table 2. Model selection results based on Akaike’s Information Criterion
that has been corrected for small sample sizes (AICc) for 2014 mark–
resight analysis for cougars in the Front Range of Colorado, USA. Model
selection was based on models with either constant or time‐varying (j)
parameters for the number of unmarked individuals (Uj), mean resighting
rate (αj), and presence of individual heterogeneity (σ2j). Number of model
parameters (K), AICc weights (wi), and deviance are also reported.
Uj
Constant
Constant
Constant
Constant
Time
Time
Time
Time

αj

σ 2j

K

ΔAICc

wi

Deviance

Constant
Time
Constant
Time
Constant
Constant
Time
Time

No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes

2
7
3
8
7
8
12
13

0.00
8.23
9.11
10.24
17.03
19.24
23.68
25.17

0.97
0.02
0.01
&lt;0.01
&lt;0.01
&lt;0.01
&lt;0.01
&lt;0.01

178.7
179.2
187.5
177.3
179.8
177.8
169.8
168.2

DISCUSSION
To our knowledge, our study is one of the ﬁrst to use auditory calls to estimate cougar density and provide an estimate of cougar density within a wildland–urban interface.
Colorado has relied on cougar population projections based
on habitat assessments and published density estimates for
management purposes. This is a common approach used by
most management agencies for estimating cougar numbers,
but our approach provides an alternative that should produce realistic population estimates at the scale of typical
management units. In addition to this, we provide the ﬁrst
known estimate of cougar density in the urban–wildland
interface of the Front Range of Colorado. Fragmented
landscapes that are dominated by private property are very
restrictive on techniques that can be used to sample cougars.
Our approach has the potential to be applied across the
urban–wildland interface in Colorado and in other exurban
areas throughout the west where estimates of cougar densities are needed.
We had limited success extracting hair samples and genotypes from cougars. We have visual evidence of cougars
entering cubbies with strands of barbed wire rubbing on the
animal that nevertheless resulted in no hair samples. Although failure to collect hair could be attributed to barbs
failing to pull hair from cougars or by hair being windblown
from barbs, low success genotyping collected hair was likely
due to the collection of shed hair lacking roots rather than
pulled hair that typically contain roots. Russell et al. (2012)
reported similar results from hair samples collected from
back‐tracking cougars, with only 23% of back‐tracks and
13% of 165 hair samples resulting in DNA of suﬃcient
quality for individual identiﬁcation.
False assignments to known individuals were also an
issue (13%) in our study. Low‐quality DNA can partially
explain this because some level of genotyping error is
common (allelic dropout and false alleles), but sample
contamination with other cougars is also driving false
assignments. Multiple cougars (females with dependent
young) entering a site during a sampling period likely
leave samples from all of these individuals and if they
cross the snag in the same location these samples will be
228

mixed. Sawaya et al. (2017) report genotyping errors that
were suﬃcient to inﬂate minimum counts from 20 to 36
for cougars (overestimate of 44%) and from 49 to 64 for
wolverines (Gulo gulo; overestimate of 23%), well above
the 13% error we report.
All cougar detections occurred at cubbies with predator
calls, but proper site selection that improves the eﬀectiveness of calls is important. We recommend the random
selection of 1‐km2 grids with the selection of the “best”
location within that by human judgment and experience
(i.e., areas where cougars typically travel). Based on our
assessment of collared cougar visits to cubbies with predator
calls, we believe cougars are more likely inﬂuenced by calls
when they are within 1 km of a call. Yeager (2016) tested
the eﬀective distance of the call using a decibel meter and
examining GPS locations of collared cougars and found that
550 m was probably the maximum eﬀective distance for
these calls to elicit a response from a cougar. Certainly,
increasing the density of calls would also increase the detection probability, but this often is not realistic because of
time and money, so we emphasize the importance of site
selection.
Our mark–resight model allowed for detection with replacement, and was ideal for camera and call data because it
accounted for detections of the same individual cougar
within a sampling period (McClintock and White 2009).
However, these detections should still remain independent
from each other, which can be a problem if a cougar has a
kill near the call and revisits frequently. Examination of
GPS data in situations where a collared cougar was detected
multiple times in the same night revealed that all of these
cases (n = 3) were associated with a kill within 400 m of the
call and camera. Therefore, we suggest that, when building
the detection history, multiple observations of an individual
at the same site in the same night be counted as a single
detection.
Both spatially corrected and uncorrected estimates of
cougar density we obtained were greater than most other
published estimates of cougar density. Cougar densities (not
corrected for space use) reported from other studies typically
ranged between 1.2 and 4.7 cougars/100 km2 (Logan et al.
1986, Ross and Jalkotzy 1992, Choate et al. 2006). Cougar
densities corrected for space use were reported at 4.5 and 5.2
cougars/100 km2 in the Bitterroot Mountains of Montana,
a lightly hunted population (Proﬃtt et al. 2015). Greater
estimates in our study could be related to methodological
diﬀerences, because most other reported densities are based
on intensive marking studies and likely represent minimum
densities, as also noted by Proﬃtt et al. (2015). It is likely
that not all portions of a cougar population are sampled with
intensive marking studies because some animals are harder
to detect or occur in remote areas, which can be accounted
for using calls and cameras. Additionally, high cougar
densities observed on the Front Range may have been inﬂuenced by low hunting pressure in our study area due to
limited access to private lands, as well as abundant prey.
However, Choate et al. (2006) reported a cougar density of
2.2 cougars/100 km2 in an unhunted population.
Wildlife Society Bulletin • 43(2)

�Correcting cougar population densities for space use is
very important; failing to correct for this space use will result
in overestimates of density because the area being used by
animals is actually larger than what is assumed by the
sampling grid (White and Shenk 2001). Our estimated
density after correcting for the amount of time on and oﬀ
grid for cougars was at the lower bound of the 95% conﬁdence interval of the uncorrected estimate. Accounting for
this is especially important for cougars because they are
highly mobile and utilize large home ranges (Dickson and
Beier 2002; females ~100 km2 with some males &gt;750 km2,
unpublished data from this study). With the exception of
Beausoleil et al. (2016) and Proﬃtt et al. (2015), densities
reported above were not corrected for spatial extent and therefore, could be biased high. Spatially explicit capture–recapture
models, could also be used in a similar fashion to estimate
density with our data, especially if telemetered animals were not
available (Eﬀord et al. 2004, Eﬀord and Fewster 2013).
We were mostly unsuccessful in genotyping all individuals
that visited a site, but continuing to develop the NGS approach to reliably obtain quality genetic samples from
cougars is worthwhile. This technique would provide population estimates at a lower cost than mark–resight and
would remove all need to capture and mark individuals.
This approach would also provide additional information
beneﬁcial to managers. Sex structure of the population could
be estimated from these data. In addition, an assessment of
population‐level diet composition could be assessed from
hair samples using stable isotope analysis (Moss et al. 2016).

MANAGEMENT IMPLICATIONS
Colorado, and other western states, currently base cougar
population estimates primarily on habitat assessments and
published density estimates. We have presented an alternative
approach that has the potential to give robust density estimates
of cougars across large spatial scales that are equivalent to scales
at which cougars are managed. Additionally, this approach has
the potential to be applied in logistically diﬃcult areas that
may preclude other approaches, such as the exurban Front
Range of Colorado where private property limits access. Accounting for how mobility of cougars aﬀects population estimates is also important. Typical harvest management strategies
for cougars are quota systems and failure to correct for space
use in estimates could result in an overharvest. Based on the
correction factor estimated in this study, a 15% harvest rate of
the uncorrected population estimate may actually be a 21%
harvest rate based on the corrected density estimate. This
diﬀerence could certainly make a diﬀerence in whether prescribed harvest rates are maintaining stable populations or
causing declines.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This project was funded by Colorado Division of Wildlife
Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration Project W‐153‐R and
Colorado Division of Wildlife game cash funds. We appreciate all of the ﬁeld eﬀorts of the technicians on this

study. We also appreciate the numerous land owners, including county and city properties that allowed us access.
The eﬀorts of those that reviewed this manuscript were
greatly appreciated. Many thanks to the Associate Editor
and reviewers that commented on this manuscript and their
insightful suggestions.

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Associate Editor: Hinton.

Wildlife Society Bulletin • 43(2)

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              <text>&lt;span&gt;From 2014 to 2016, in the Front Range of Colorado, USA, we assessed noninvasive approaches to sampling cougar (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;i&gt;Puma concolor&lt;/i&gt;&lt;span&gt;) populations in an attempt to provide a new method that would be less field intensive, less expensive, and could be applied over large spatial extents compared with current methods. We assessed the use of predator calls to lure cougars to a site with remote camera traps for detection and also evaluated hair snags at sites to noninvasively identify individual animals. Predator calls effectively attracted cougars to specific sites with an average of 82 unique photographic detections of cougars per survey year (0.03 detections/trap-night). However, obtaining hair samples from these animals was less effective because animals did not always pass through hair snags and ability to uniquely identify individuals by genotype was poor. We evaluated different approaches to estimating cougar density and found mark–resight to be a viable option in our study system. Mark–resight density estimate after correcting for partial use of the sampling area by cougars was 4.1 cougars/100 km&lt;/span&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;span&gt; (95% CI = 2.4, 5.8). Our results indicate that combining methods of noninvasive genetic sampling and auditory calls to monitor cougar populations can provide reliable density estimates over large geographic areas and areas with significant amounts of inaccessible private lands.&lt;/span&gt;</text>
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