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                  <text>Dan Prenzlow, Director, Colorado Parks and Wildlife • Parks and Wildlife Commission: Marvin McDaniel, Chair • Carrie Besnette Hauser, Vice-Chair
Marie Haskett, Secretary • Taishya Adams • Betsy Blecha • Charles Garcia • Dallas May • Duke Phillips, IV • Luke B. Schafer • James Jay Tutchton • Eden Vardy

�Received: 4 March 2017

|

Accepted: 25 January 2018

DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12810

RESEARCH ARTICLE

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in prey abundance and
vulnerability shapes the foraging tactics of an omnivore
Nathaniel D. Rayl1

| Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau2

Matthew A. Mumma4

| John F. Organ1,3 |

| Shane P. Mahoney5 | Colleen E. Soulliere5 |

Keith P. Lewis5 | Robert D. Otto5,6 | Dennis L. Murray2 | Lisette P. Waits4 |
Todd K. Fuller1
1
Department of Environmental Conservation, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA; 2Environmental and Life Sciences Graduate Program, Trent
University, Peterborough, Ontario, Canada; 3U.S. Geological Survey, Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units, Reston, VA, USA; 4Department of Fish
and Wildlife Sciences, College of Natural Resources, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, USA; 5Department of Environment and Conservation, Government of
Newfoundland and Labrador, St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada and 6Department of Environment and Conservation, Institute for Biodiversity,
Ecosystem Science, and Sustainability, Government of Newfoundland and Labrador, Corner Brook, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

Correspondence
Nathaniel D. Rayl
Email: nathanielrayl@gmail.com
Present addresses
Nathaniel D. Rayl, U.S. Geological
Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science
Center, Bozeman, MT 59715, USA

Abstract
1. Prey abundance and prey vulnerability vary across space and time, but we know
little about how they mediate predator–prey interactions and predator foraging
tactics. To evaluate the interplay between prey abundance, prey vulnerability and
predator space use, we examined patterns of black bear (Ursus americanus) preda-

Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau, Department
of Fish, Wildlife and Conservation
Biology, Colorado State University, Fort
Collins, CO 80523, USA

tion of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) neonates in Newfoundland, Canada using data

Matthew A. Mumma, Ecosystem Science
&amp; Management Program, University of
Northern British Columbia, Prince George,
British Columbia V2N 4Z9, Canada

2. During the caribou calving season, we predicted that landscape features would

Shane P. Mahoney, Conservation Visions
Inc., St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador
A1C 5W4, Canada
Keith P. Lewis, Fisheries and Oceans Canada,
St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador A1C
5X1, Canada
Robert D. Otto, Atlantic Salmon Federation,
St. Andrews, New Brunswick E5B 3S8,
Canada
Funding information
Department of Environment and
Conservation, Government of
Newfoundland and Labrador; Safari Club
International Foundation; University of
Massachusetts, Amherst
Handling Editor: Anne Loison

from 317 collared individuals (9 bears, 34 adult female caribou, 274 caribou
calves).
influence calf vulnerability to bear predation, and that bears would actively hunt
calves by selecting areas associated with increased calf vulnerability. Further, we
hypothesized that bears would dynamically adjust their foraging tactics in response to spatiotemporal changes in calf abundance and vulnerability (collectively, calf availability). Accordingly, we expected bears to actively hunt calves
when they were most abundant and vulnerable, but switch to foraging on other
resources as calf availability declined.
3. As predicted, landscape heterogeneity influenced risk of mortality, and bears displayed the strongest selection for areas where they were most likely to kill calves,
which suggested they were actively hunting caribou. Initially, the per-capita rate
at which bears killed calves followed a type-I functional response, but as the calving season progressed and calf vulnerability declined, kill rates dissociated from
calf abundance. In support of our hypothesis, bears adjusted their foraging tactics
when they were less efficient at catching calves, highlighting the influence that
predation phenology may have on predator space use. Contrary to our expectations, however, bears appeared to continue to hunt caribou as calf availability

874

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© 2018 The Authors. Journal of Animal Ecology
© 2018 British Ecological Society

wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/jane�

J Anim Ecol. 2018;87:874–887.

�Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

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875

declined, but switched from a tactic of selecting areas of increased calf vulnerability to a tactic that maximized encounter rates with calves.
4. Our results reveal that generalist predators can dynamically adjust their foraging
tactics over short time-scales in response to changing prey abundance and vulnerability. Further, they demonstrate the utility of integrating temporal dynamics of
prey availability into investigations of predator–prey interactions, and move towards a mechanistic understanding of the dynamic foraging tactics of a large
omnivore.
KEYWORDS

Black bear (Ursus americanus), caribou (Rangifer tarandus) calves, cause-specific survival
analysis, foraging tactics, kill rates, predation risk, trophic interaction, ungulate

1 | I NTRO D U C TI O N

how predators might adjust their space-­use patterns in response to
this spatiotemporal heterogeneity.

Predator–prey interactions frequently structure ecological commu-

When evaluating how predators may alter their foraging patterns

nities (Holt, 1977; Schmitz, 1998), alter population dynamics (Krebs

in response to spatiotemporal variation in prey abundance and prey

et al., 1995) and cause significant evolutionary change (Young,

vulnerability, there are two primary hunting modes of predators to

Brodie, &amp; Brodie, 2004). To develop a comprehensive understanding

consider (Schmitz, 2008). Some predators, typically cursorial spe-

of these interactions, and thus of ecosystem function, it is neces-

cies, may attempt to maximize their encounters with prey by se-

sary to examine spatiotemporal dynamics of predation (Lima &amp; Dill,

lecting areas with the highest probability of encountering their prey

1990). Significant work has been done to quantify the spatial dy-

(Murray, Boutin, &amp; O’Donoghue, 1994). Other predators, typically

namics of predation from the perspective of prey species (e.g. model

stalking species, may try to maximize their success rate by selecting

predation risk, Hebblewhite, Merrill, &amp; McDonald, 2005; Schmitz,

areas where they are more likely to kill their prey (Hopcraft et al.,

1998, 2008), and increasingly, to consider the temporal dynamics

2005). Predators may also use some combination of these two for-

of predation risk (Basille et al., 2015; Latombe, Fortin, &amp; Parrott,

aging tactics to hunt their prey (Fuller, Harrison, &amp; Vashon, 2007).

2014). Yet, few studies have examined the spatiotemporal context of

The extent to which predators exhibit facultative switching between

predator–prey interactions from the perspective of predators (Lima,

these tactics remains largely unexplored.

2002), especially in large vertebrate communities (but see Bastille-­

In many systems across North America, black (Ursus americanus)

Rousseau, Fortin, Dussault, Courtois, &amp; Ouellet, 2011; Hopcraft,

and brown bears (Ursus arctos) are significant predators of ungulate

Sinclair, &amp; Packer, 2005).

neonates (Zager &amp; Beecham, 2006). Bear predation of ungulate

In classic models of predator–prey dynamics, the predator’s

calves typically has a unique temporal signature, with early and in-

perspective of predation has been characterized by the per-­capita

tense predation that quickly tapers off as calves grow large enough

rate at which predators kill prey, which has been modelled as a func-

to outrun bears (Zager &amp; Beecham, 2006). As opportunistic omni-

tion of prey density (the functional response; Holling, 1959, 1965;

vores, bears frequently forage across multiple trophic levels, making

Solomon, 1949). Changing vulnerability to predation, however, may

trade-­offs between foraging on abundant and predictable, but lower

also greatly influence the rate at which predators kill prey (Tilman,

quality vegetation, and rarer and less predictable, but high-­quality

1978). Thus, from a predator’s perspective, the availability of prey is

animal matter (Orians et al., 1997). Thus, bear predation of ungulate

a function of prey abundance and prey vulnerability, both of which

calves may result from bears actively searching for calves, or from

vary in space and time. Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the abun-

bears incidentally encountering calves while foraging for other re-

dance of prey may emerge because of variation in the timing and

sources (Bastille-­Rousseau et al., 2011). The temporal dynamics and

location of births (Rayl et al., 2014), the distribution of resources

consumer characteristics of bear-­ungulate calf interactions offer a

(Clutton-­Brock &amp; Harvey, 1978) or climatic conditions (Coulson,

unique opportunity to investigate a predator’s perspective of preda-

Milner-­Gulland, &amp; Clutton-­Brock, 2000). Spatial and temporal pat-

tor–prey interactions and to evaluate the influence of prey availabil-

terning in the vulnerability of prey may arise because of variation in

ity on predator foraging tactics.

landscape features (Kauffman et al., 2007), prey age (Adams, Singer,

In the last two decades, caribou (Rangifer tarandus) in

&amp; Dale, 1995), prey body condition (Wirsing, Steury, &amp; Murray, 2002)

Newfoundland have declined from c. 94,000 to c. 32,000 individuals,

or predator–prey encounter rates (Holling, 1959). To date, there is

with calf predation by black bears and coyotes (Canis latrans) identi-

limited basis from either theoretical or empirical studies to predict

fied as a major proximate mechanism of the decline (Bastille-­Rousseau

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Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

et al., 2016; Mahoney et al., 2016). In this system, bears are the most

characterize the landcover of the herd’s range, we used a series

significant predator of caribou calves. Characteristically, bear preda-

of Landsat 7 scenes (30-­m resolution) that were initially classified

tion of calves on the island is temporally constrained, with most pre-

into nine landcover types that we collapsed into six types: (1) co-

dation occurring during June (Mahoney et al., 2016) when new-­born

nifer forest, which subsumed two rare landcover types (decidu-

calves are aggregated on calving grounds (Rayl et al., 2014). Here, we

ous forest, mixed forest), (2) conifer scrub (stunted conifer forest),

examine the spatiotemporal dynamics of this predation, focusing pri-

(3) wetlands (fens and bogs), (4) barrens (barrens, rocky and other

marily on the bear’s perspective of these predator–prey interactions.

open habitats), (5) heathland (lichen and heathland habitats), and

First, we evaluated whether landscape heterogeneity mediated

(6) water (lakes, ponds, rivers and streams). We did not consider

mortality risk of calves to predation by bears. Elsewhere, land-

anthropogenic landcover, an extremely rare landcover type, in our

scape features influence patterns of predation on adult ungulates

analyses. We calculated topographic variables from a digital eleva-

(Hebblewhite et al., 2005; Hopcraft et al., 2005; Kauffman et al.,

tion model (25-­m resolution).

2007). We hypothesized (H1) they would similarly influence predation risk for juvenile ungulates. As an ambush predator, we predicted that bears would be most successful at killing calves in areas

2.2 | Animal collaring and monitoring

with greater stalking cover (Schmitz, 2008). Second, we investigated

We captured black bears &gt;2 years of age by darting them from a

whether calf predation resulted from bears actively searching for

helicopter during May to October 2008–2012 and fitted them with

calves or from bears incidentally encountering them while foraging

Global Positioning System (GPS) collars programmed to acquire a lo-

for other resources. Although prior studies examining black bear-­

cation every 1 or 2 hr (Advanced Telemetry Systems [ATS], Isanti,

caribou calf interactions concluded that most bears were not ac-

MN, USA; Lotek Wireless Inc., New Market, ON, Canada). We cap-

tively hunting calves (Bastille-­Rousseau et al., 2011; Latham, Latham,

tured adult female caribou in the same way during November to May

&amp; Boyce, 2011), we hypothesized (H2) that bears in Newfoundland

2006–2012 and fitted them with GPS collars programmed to acquire

would actively search for calves because of the high density of calves

a location every 2 hr (Lotek Wireless Inc.). We located caribou neo-

in this system (e.g., density of caribou calves in Bastille-­Rousseau

nates &lt;5 days old from helicopters, captured them on foot during

et al., 2011 = 0.47 calves/100 km2 vs. 546 calves/100 km2 in our

late May to early June 2003–2013, and fitted them with very high

system; N.D. Rayl, unpubl. data). Further, we expected the hunting

frequency collars with motion-­sensitive transmitters (ATS; Lotek

mode of bears to mirror that of other ambush predators (Hopcraft

Wireless Inc.; Sirtrack, Havelock North, New Zealand; Telemetry

et al., 2005); therefore, we predicted bears would select habitat

Solutions, Concord, California). We monitored calves daily during

features associated with increased vulnerability of calves that maxi-

the first week post-­capture, every 2–4 days thereafter until July,

mized their predation success. Third, we evaluated whether changes

every 5–10 days during July, and thenceforth every 2–4 weeks.

in the availability of caribou calves influenced the foraging tactics

When we detected a mortality signal, we conducted a systematic

of black bears. We hypothesized (H3) that bears, as opportunistic

field investigation to determine the cause of death. Additionally, we

omnivores, would alter their foraging patterns in response to chang-

verified many field assessments using laboratory necropsy of col-

ing abundance and vulnerability (collectively, calf availability) of calf

lected remains or DNA analysis to identify the cause of death (fur-

prey. Accordingly, we predicted that bears would actively hunt car-

ther details in Mahoney et al., 2016; Mumma, Soulliere, Mahoney, &amp;

ibou calves when they were most available, but switch to foraging

Waits, 2014).

on other resources as calf availability declined. Our novel approach

Previously, we determined that most female-­calf caribou pairs

reveals new insights about the complex decisions predators make

migrated from Middle Ridge North by 30 June (Rayl et al., 2014),

when searching for prey and moves towards a mechanistic under-

and that some black bears visited the calving grounds when calves

standing of the dynamic foraging tactics of a generalist predator in

were present, whereas others did not (Rayl et al., 2015). Here, we

a system where it is strongly influencing prey population dynamics.

classified 27 May, the earliest recorded calf capture, to 30 June as
the calving season. We included caribou that calved in Middle Ridge
North and bears that visited the calving grounds during the calving

2 | M ATE R I A L S A N D M E TH O DS

season in our analyses. From these datasets, we removed individual-­
years with &lt;15 days of GPS data in a calving season. Additionally, we

2.1 | Study area

removed portions of two adult female caribou datasets that were
2

The island of Newfoundland, Canada (108,860 km ), is a mixture

located in an area south of Middle Ridge North that lacked Landsat

of bogs, heaths, barrens, and coniferous and mixed forests. We

coverage. Our final calving season dataset included nine black bears

studied caribou and black bears in the range of the largest caribou

monitored from 2008 to 2013 (3 F, 6 M, 17 bear-­years, 5,648 loca-

herd in Newfoundland, the Middle Ridge herd (c. 10,000 individu-

tions), 34 adult female caribou monitored from 2009 to 2013 (91

als). This herd’s range was almost entirely roadless, with human

caribou-­years, 47,088 locations) and 274 caribou calves monitored

settlements confined to the coast. Over 95% of females from

from 2003 to 2013 (119 F, 150 M, 5 unknown; Figure 1). Bear and

this herd calved in a calving ground called Middle Ridge North

caribou capture and handling procedures conformed to guide-

(867 km2; Fifield, Lewis, &amp; Gullage, 2013; Rayl et al., 2014). To

lines established by the American Society of Mammalogists (Sikes,

�Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

|

877

F I G U R E 1 Calving grounds of
the Middle Ridge caribou herd, with
calving season locations of kill sites
of caribou calves killed by black bears
(n = 61), Global Positioning System (GPS)
locations of black bears (n = 9), and GPS
locations of adult female caribou (n = 34),
Newfoundland, Canada, 2003–2013

Gannon, &amp; A.S. of Mammalogists, 2011), and bear captures were

vegetation abundance of graminoids and forbs as potential food

approved by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Institutional

items for black bears in the spring (Boileau, Crête, &amp; Huot, 1994;

Animal Care and Use Committee (Protocol 2009-­0 047).

Zieminski, 2016). This model combined a spatial model based on the
average vegetation biomass in each landcover type with a tempo-

2.3 | Evaluating the foraging tactics of bears
Black bears may prey on caribou calves when they are actively

ral model of vegetation growth based on the normalized-­difference
vegetation index (NDVI) and field vegetation surveys of 173 plots
during 2011–2012 (see Appendix S1).

searching for calves or when they incidentally encounter them
while foraging for other resources. Bears may search for calves by
selecting areas where they are most successful at killing calves, by

2.5 | Occurrence of ant colonies

selecting areas where they are most likely to encounter calves, or by

We estimated the occurrence of ant colonies by systematically

using some combination of these two foraging tactics. The primary

investigating all stumps, woody debris, rocks and soil mounds

food resources for bears during the calving season in the range of

within a 10-­m radius of the centre of 140 of our vegetation plots

the Middle Ridge herd, as revealed by scat analyses, were vegeta-

in 2012 and recording the number of ant colonies we found

tion, ants (family Formicidae), and caribou (in order from most to

(Noyce, Kannowski, &amp; Riggs, 1997). We then created an index of

least common; Zieminski, 2016). Therefore, to evaluate the foraging

the relative abundance of ant colonies per landcover type by di-

tactics of bears that led to calf predation, we estimated the occur-

viding the average number of ant colonies in each landcover type

rence of vegetation, ant colonies, caribou calves and kill sites (we

by the maximum average ant colony value for the five terrestrial

assumed that kill sites were indicative of areas where bears were

landcover types. We assigned water landcover an ant colony index

most successful at killing calves, but they may also represent areas of

value of 0.

greater calf detectability or density). We then assessed the connection between these occurrence variables and the resource selection
patterns of bears to determine their foraging tactics, and evaluated

2.6 | Occurrence of caribou calves

whether or not changes in the availability of calves influenced these

We used the occurrence of adult female caribou as a surrogate

foraging tactics (Figure 2).

for the occurrence of caribou calves because we did not collect
accurate or precise location data for calves prior to their death.

2.4 | Occurrence of vegetation

Because caribou calves are followers (Lent, 1974), and female-­
calf herds in Newfoundland were highly aggregated during the

We estimated the occurrence of vegetation by developing a spa-

calving season (Bergerud, 1974; Rayl et al., 2014), GPS locations

tiotemporal model of vegetation biomass for black bears based

of female caribou served as an appropriate proxy for calf loca-

on an approach used for ungulates (Bastille-­Rousseau et al., 2015;

tions. We developed a resource selection function (RSF; Manly,

Hebblewhite, Merrill, &amp; McDermid, 2008). We considered the green

McDonald, Thomas, McDonald, &amp; Erickson, 2002) to estimate

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Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

F I G U R E 2 Flow chart decomposing the analysis of black bear foraging tactics into its constituent parts. Where applicable, parenthetical
contents refer to relevant hypotheses (H1-H3) and equations (eqn) from the text and appendices (App.)

the relative probability of occurrence of caribou calves using a
GLMM with a binomial distribution, logit link and individual-­year

2.7 | Occurrence of kill sites

as the random intercept (Gillies et al., 2006). We compared the

We developed an RSF to estimate the relative probability of oc-

landscape attributes of used locations of adult female caribou

currence of kill sites using a GLM with a binomial distribution and

(coded as 1) with an equal number of randomly sampled available

logit link (Hebblewhite et al., 2005). This model allowed us to test

locations (coded as 0) drawn from within the 100% minimum con-

our hypothesis (H1) that landscape heterogeneity mediated vulner-

vex polygons (MCP) of each caribou in each calving season. We

ability of caribou calves to predation by black bears. As above, GPS

considered slope, aspect (included using dummy variable coding

locations of female caribou served as an appropriate proxy for calf

with five categories: north [315–359 and 0–44; reference cat-

locations. Therefore, we compared the landscape attributes of black

egory], south [135–224], east [45–134], west [225–314], and flat

bear kill sites (coded as 1) of collared (n = 57) and uncollared calves

[slope = 0.0]), elevation, landcover type (included using dummy

we opportunistically encountered (n = 4) with subsampled locations

variable coding with “wetlands” as the reference category), and

of adult female caribou (n = 34; coded as 0) during the calving sea-

two-­w ay interactions between each landcover type (except

son. We used this approach because we did not collar the calves of

“water”) and the proportion of that landcover type within a 5-­k m

outfitted females, so we did not have paired data for caribou calves

radius (to account for a functional response in habitat selection;

and adult females. To maintain equal sampling among individuals, we

Moreau, Fortin, Couturier, &amp; Duchesne, 2012; Mysterud &amp; Ims,

randomly subsampled the telemetry locations of adult female cari-

1998) as potential explanatory variables. Prior to building candi-

bou by sampling an identical number of locations equal to the total

date models, we conducted univariate logistic regression analy-

number of locations in the smallest individual dataset (408 locations).

sis, and excluded explanatory variables where p &gt; .25 on a Wald

We considered slope, elevation, local-­scale landcover and landscape-­

statistic from our candidate models (Hosmer &amp; Lemeshow, 2000).

scale landcover as potential explanatory variables. Because calves

We then developed a set of candidate RSFs (see Appendix S2:

were likely killed after a chase and carcasses may have been moved
by predators, we characterized the local-­scale landcover at three dif-

Table S1), which took the form:
(

w(x) = exp β1 x1 + ⋯ + βu xuij + βu5k x(u5k)ij + ⋯ + βu xu × βu5k x(u5k)ij + γ0j

)

(1)

ferent potentially explanatory scales. We calculated the proportion of
each landcover type within a 100-­, 250-­, and 500-­m radius buffer of

where w(x) represented the RSF scores, βu was the selection coef-

the kill site. We characterized the landscape-­scale landcover as the

ficient for explanatory variable xu for the ith observation and the jth

proportion of each landcover type within a 5-­km radius buffer of the

individual-­year, βu5k was the selection coefficient for the proportion

kill site. Prior to building candidate models, we conducted univari-

of the landcover type x(u5k) within a 5-­km buffer, and γ0j was the ran-

ate logistic regression analysis, and excluded explanatory variables

dom intercept for the jth individual-­year.

where p &gt; .25 on a Wald statistic from our candidate models (Hosmer

�Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

&amp; Lemeshow, 2000). Our candidate RSFs (see Appendix S2: Table S2)
took the form:

|

879

on ordinal day i, and H was the CIF value for day t − (i − 1) or t − i and
cause=j. We calculated Bi by dividing previous estimates of the pro-

w(x) = exp (β1 x1 + β2 x2 + ⋯ + βu xu )

(2)

where w(x) represented the RSF scores and βu was the selection coefficient for explanatory variable xu.

portion of calves born during 2-­day periods in half (see Appendix S2:
Table S3; Bergerud, 1975). Although our source for the timing of
calving was dated, anecdotal evidence (timing of observations of
first-­born and last-­born calves of the year, field estimates of the peak
of calving) from 2003 to 2013 suggested no appreciable change in

2.8 | Availability of caribou calves (predation
phenology)

timing. We calculated the daily cumulative number of calves killed
by each cause (Qt,j) as:
⎧∑
n
⎪ (C × Bi × Ht−(i−1),j ) n ≤ t
⎪ i=1
Qt,j = ⎨ t
⎪ ∑ (C × B × H
i
t−(i−1),j ) n &gt; t
⎪ i=1
⎩

From a black bear’s perspective, the availability of caribou calves is
a function of both the abundance of calves and their vulnerability to
bear predation. We developed an approach to estimate the average
daily number of calves killed by bears. This integrated metric of predation phenology incorporated changes in the abundance and vulnerability of caribou calves throughout the calving season and allowed

(5)

and the daily number of calves that remained alive (At) as:

us to investigate whether changes in this metric affected the foraging

�
�
n
3
⎧∑
∑
⎪
C × Bi − Qt,j
n≤t
⎪ i=1
j=1
�
At = ⎨ �
t
3
⎪ ∑ C×B − ∑ Q
n&gt;t
i
t,j
⎪
j=1
⎩ i=1

tactics of bears. First, we estimated cause-­specific mortality rates for
collared caribou calves in a competing risks framework using a nonparametric cumulative incidence function (CIF; Heisey &amp; Patterson,
2006), with mortality causes classified as black bear, coyote or other.

(6)

We used a right-­censored design with time-­at-­risk (days) based on
time since capture (Fieberg &amp; Delgiudice, 2009). We conservatively
assumed that survival timelines corresponded with age because we

We estimated the daily per-­capita rate of caribou calf predation
by black bears (Rt) during the calving season as:

captured most calves when they were ≤2.5 days old, but we recognize
that this assumption likely biased our estimates of neonatal survival

Rt =

upward (Gilbert, Lindberg, Hundertmark, &amp; Person, 2014). We censored all calves at 180 days or prior to that if their radio transmitter

×D

(7)

where Kt,b was the daily number of bear kills for ordinal day t

(Equation 4), Z was the area (km2) of a 100% MCP encompassing the

was lost or detached prematurely.
Next, we estimated the average number of caribou calves born in

locations of kill sites during the calving season, and D was the estimated average density (bears/100 km2) of bears in Middle Ridge

Middle Ridge North (C) from 2003 to 2013 as:

North from 2009 to 2012 (4.85 bears/100 km2; see Appendix S3).

∑2013
C=

Kt,b
Z
100

y=2003 Ny × M × Fy × Py

(3)

2013 − 2003

We estimated the per-­capita rate of caribou calf predation by black
bears (V181,b) to 30 June as:

where y referred to the years 2003 through 2013, Ny was the population estimate of the herd, M was the estimated proportion of the

V181,b =

herd that calved in Middle Ridge North (0.95; Fifield et al., 2013), Fy
was the estimated proportion of adult females in the herd, and P y

Q181,b
Z
100

×D

(8)

where Q181,b was the cumulative number of calves killed by bears on

was the estimated productivity of the herd. We used the Petersen

the last day of the calving season (30 June; Equation 5), Z was the

method to estimate Ny from single session mark-­resight aerial sur-

area (km2) of a 100% MCP encompassing the locations of kill sites

veys (see Mahoney, Virgl, Fong, Maccharles, &amp; McGrath, 1998 for

during the calving season, and D was the estimated average density

details). We used aerial classification surveys flown in November-­

(4.85 bears/100 km2) of bears in Middle Ridge North from 2009 to

April to estimate Fy and in June to estimate P y (Mahoney &amp; Schaefer,

2012.

2002). We then calculated the daily number of cause-­specific kills
(Kt,j) for ordinal day t and cause j as:
⎧∑
n
⎪ (C × Bi × (Ht−(i−1),j − Ht−i,j ))
⎪
Kt,j = ⎨ i=1
t
⎪ ∑ (C × B × (H
i
t−(i−1),j − Ht−i,j ))
⎪ i=1
⎩

2.9 | Foraging tactics of black bears
To evaluate the foraging tactics of black bears, we developed an

n≤t
(4)
n&gt;t

RSF estimating the relative probability of occurrence of bears using
a GLMM with a binomial distribution, logit link, and individual-­year
as the random intercept (Gillies et al., 2006). We compared the re-

where i referred to ordinal days 1 through n for the dates of calving,

source attributes of used locations of bears (coded as 1) with an

C was the average number of caribou calves born in Middle Ridge

equal number of randomly sampled available locations (coded as

North (Equation 3), Bi was the estimated proportion of calves born

0) drawn from within the 100% MCP of each bear in each calving

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RAYL et al.

TA B L E 1 Ranked list of candidate
models for resource selection functions
estimating the relative probability of
selection of black bears, Newfoundland,
Canada, 2008–2013. Numbers of
parameters (K), second-­order Akaike
information criteria (AICc), differences in
AICc (∆AICc) and AICc weights (ω) are
presented

Model

K

AICc

11

15,185.7

0.0

1.0

Vegetation + Ants + Caribou calves
+ Kill sites

6

15,255.5

69.8

0.0

Vegetation + Ants + Caribou calves

5

15,380.1

194.4

0.0

Vegetation + Ants + Kill sites

5

15,390.0

204.3

0.0

Caribou calves + Kill sites

4

15,432.8

247.1

0.0

Vegetation + Ants

4

15,473.1

287.4

0.0

Ants

3

15,511.0

325.3

0.0

a

b

Vegetation + Ants + Caribou calves
+ Kill sitesd + Daily Killse

c

∆AICc

ω

Kill sites

3

15,517.1

331.4

0.0

Caribou calves

3

15,610.4

424.8

0.0

Null (intercept)

2

15,650.6

464.9

0.0

Vegetation

3

15,653.5

467.8

0.0

a

Occurrence of vegetation.
Occurrence of ant colonies.
c
Occurrence of caribou calves.
d
Occurrence of kills sites of caribou calves killed by black bears.
e
Daily number of caribou calves killed by black bears and two-­way interactions between occurrence
variables (vegetation, ants, caribou calves, kill sites) and daily kills.
b

season. For each bear, we randomly assigned available locations

for all main-­effect variables ≤4.10; Dormann et al., 2013). We de-

to a specific day drawn with replacement from the distribution of

rived maximum-­likelihood estimates for GLMMs using adaptive

days of the corresponding calving season used locations of that

Gauss–Hermite approximation with five integration points (Bolker

bear. We then extracted predicted values of the relative abun-

et al., 2009). To evaluate the predictive ability of the top RSF models,

dance of vegetation, the relative abundance of ant colonies, the

we used 100 repetitions of 4-­fold cross-­validation (using Huberty’s

relative probability of caribou calf occurrence, and the relative

(1994) rule of thumb to determine the training-­to-­testing ratio) with

probability of kill site occurrence to used and available bear loca-

10 bins of equal size, calculating the average Spearman rank correla-

tions. We considered these occurrence variables (vegetation bio-

tion (rs) ± SE between the withheld data and the ranked bins (Boyce,

mass, ant colonies, caribou calves, kill sites; Figure 2) and two-­way

Vernier, Nielsen, &amp; Schmiegelow, 2002). We conducted all analyses

interactions between these occurrence variables and daily kills as

in program r version 3.0.2 (R Development Core Team, 2016), using

potential explanatory variables. These two-­way interactions al-

lme4 to fit GLMMs.

lowed us to test our prediction that changes in the availability of
calves influenced the foraging tactics of bears; support for models
that included these interactions would indicate that bears adjusted
their habitat selection in response to changing calf availability. We
developed a list of candidate models (Table 1), and rescaled all variables between 0 and 1 (except ant colonies, which already ranged

3 | R E S U LT S
3.1 | Occurrence of vegetation, ant colonies and
caribou calves

from 0 to 1) to facilitate model convergence and interpretability

During the calving season, the occurrence of vegetation was great-

(Bastille-­Rousseau et al., 2011). Our candidate RSFs took the form:

est in open landcover (barrens, heathland, wetlands) and lowest in

(
)
w(x) = exp β1 x1 + ⋯ + βu xuij + βkills x(kills)ij + ⋯ + βu xu × βkills x(kills)ij+γ0j (9)

forested landcover (conifer scrub, conifer forest; see Appendix S2:
Table S4). There was a strong positive correlation between NDVI and
vegetation growth (average conditional R2 = .68; see Appendix S1).

where w(x) represented the RSF scores, βu was the selection coef-

The relative abundance of ant colonies was greatest in conifer scrub,

ficient for explanatory variable xu for the ith observation and the jth

followed by barrens, heathland, wetlands and conifer forest (see

individual-­year, βkills was the selection coefficient for daily kills x(kills),

Appendix S2: Table S4).

and γ0j was the random intercept for the jth individual-­year.

The top-­ranked RSF model (AICc weight &gt;0.99) estimating the oc-

We used Akaike information criteria for small sample size (AICc;

currence of caribou calves included all landcover types, aspect and the

Burnham &amp; Anderson, 2002) to identify the top-­ranked caribou calf,

presence of a functional response (see Appendix S2: Table S1). Calves

kill site, and bear RSFs from our candidate models and assessed the

selected barrens and west and flat aspects, and avoided water (see

top models for multicollinearity using the variance inflation factor

Appendix S2: Table S5). Functional responses were revealed in variable

(VIF; Graham, 2003). We detected no multicollinearity issues (VIF

coefficients for two-­way interactions between a specific landcover type

�RAYL et al.

and its proportion within a 5-­km radius; selection for conifer forest and
conifer scrub increased as their proportion in the surrounding area increased, whereas selection for heathland decreased as its proportion in-

Journal of Animal Ecology

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881

3.3 | Availability of caribou calves
(predation phenology)

creased in the surrounding area. The model had strong predictive ability

From 2003 to 2013, we estimated that an average of 5,524 calves

(rs = .89 ± .00).

were born in Middle Ridge North each year (range: 4,483–8,468; see
Appendix S2: Table S7). Predation by black bears was the dominant

3.2 | Occurrence of kill sites

source of mortality for these calves (see Appendix S2: Figure S1),
removing 32% of the calving cohort by 6 months of age (Figure 4).

As hypothesized (H1), we found that landscape attributes were related

Bears killed almost five times as many calves as coyotes to 30 June

to the probability of caribou calves being killed by black bears dur-

(1,301 vs. 275), and nearly two and a half times as many calves to

ing the calving season (see Appendix S2: Table S2). The top-­ranked

6 months of age (1,763 vs. 725; Figure 4). Initially, the daily number

model (AICc weight = 0.98) included local-­scale landcover types within

of calves killed by bears rapidly increased as calves accumulated on

a 100-­m radius of the kill site, landscape-­scale landcover types within

the landscape, peaking on 7 June when 66 calves were killed, before

a 5-­km radius of the kill site, and elevation (Figure 3, see Appendix S2:

more gradually declining (Figure 4, see Appendix S2: Figure S2). We

Table S6). We found only mixed support for our prediction that bears

estimated that 49 bears lived in the MCP encompassing calving sea-

would be more successful at killing calves in areas with greater stalk-

son kill sites (1,012 km2), and that these bears killed an average of

ing cover, however. Calves were most vulnerable to bear predation in

0.63 calves/day to 30 June (27 calves/bear).

areas with greater proportions of local-­scale conifer scrub or water
and at higher elevations, and least vulnerable in areas with greater
proportions of open landcover types and conifer forest (Figure 3). Risk

3.4 | Foraging tactics of black bears

for calves decreased in areas with greater proportions of landscape-­

As hypothesized (H2), we found that black bears were actively

scale conifer scrub. The model was fairly robust to cross-­validation

hunting caribou calves by selecting areas where calves were most

(rs = .65 ± .02).

vulnerable to bear predation (selection for kill sites; Figure 5, see

F I G U R E 3 Relative probability of
occurrence of kill sites of caribou calves
killed by black bears as a function of (a)
local-­scale (proportion of a landcover type
within a 100-­m radius) conifer scrub, (b)
local-­scale water, (c) elevation (m) and (d)
landscape-­scale (proportion of a specific
landcover type within a 5-­km radius)
conifer scrub. Rug plots depict the x-­axis
values of kill sites for all variables found to
influence predation risk (95% confidence
interval did not overlap 0). (e and f)
Local-­and landscape-­scale variables not
found to influence predation risk (95%
confidence interval overlapped 0). Each
predictor variable was plotted within
its observed range (except for local-­
scale conifer scrub, water, barrens and
heathland variables, which were truncated
at 0.96, so that the total proportion of
local-­scale landcover never exceeded 1
across the plotted range), while holding
elevation and landscape-­scale landcover
variables constant at their mean values
and local-­scale landcover variables
constant at 0.01

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Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

dynamically adjusting its foraging patterns as the abundance and
vulnerability of its prey changed.
As we had hypothesized (H1), landscape features shaped patterns of predation risk for caribou calves. The strong influence of
landscape heterogeneity on mortality risk we observed is consistent with the prediction that ambush predators produce powerful
point-­source cues that prey can reliably associate with increased risk
(Preisser, Orrock, &amp; Schmitz, 2007; Schmitz, 2008). To our knowledge, our study is among the first to demonstrate that landscape
heterogeneity directly mediates vulnerability of ungulate neonates
to predation, although it has been shown previously in other systems with adult prey (Gervasi et al., 2013; Hebblewhite et al., 2005;
Hopcraft et al., 2005; Kauffman et al., 2007). Ungulate populations
frequently experience strong variation in juvenile survival with high
and stable adult female survival (Gaillard, Festa-­Bianchet, Yoccoz,
Loison, &amp; Toigo, 2000). Thus, juvenile survival often governs ungulate population trajectories. The pattern of early and intense predation we observed is common across systems with ursid mortality of
ungulate neonates (Zager &amp; Beecham, 2006). Elsewhere, this predation phenology has been thought to play a key role in ungulate
population dynamics because bears kill most neonates before body
condition begins to mediate vulnerability (Adams et al., 1995; Barber-­
Meyer, Mech, &amp; White, 2008; Griffin et al., 2011; Zager &amp; Beecham,
F I G U R E 4 (a) The estimated daily cumulative number of caribou
calves killed by black bears, coyotes and other causes, and the
estimated daily number of alive calves. (b) The estimated daily
number of caribou calves from Middle Ridge North that were killed
by black bears, coyotes and other causes, Newfoundland, Canada,
2003–2013

2006). Consequently, bear predation of calves frequently represents
an additive source of mortality. Although we were unable to assess
whether bear predation was additive or compensatory, calf predation is currently strongly influencing caribou population dynamics
in Newfoundland (Weir, Morrison, Luther, &amp; Mahoney, 2014). Given
the influential role bears and other calf predators often play in determining ungulate population trajectories, we suggest more emphasis

Appendix S2: Table S8). We also found that bears selected for areas

should be placed on analyses such as ours, which examine the under-

with an increased probability of encountering calves (selection for

lying mechanisms of calf predation risk. In systems with substantial

caribou calves). Bears also selected for ant colonies, and avoided

calf predation, identifying features associated with increased risk of

vegetation. We also found support for our hypothesis (H3) that the

predation may offer solutions for management and conservation of

abundance and temporal vulnerability of caribou calves influenced

declining ungulate populations (cf. Whittington et al., 2011).

the foraging tactics of black bears; the top-­ranked RSF (AICc weight

The design of our kill site RSF did not allow us to distinguish

&gt;0.99) included two-­way interactions between occurrence variables

whether landscape features influenced predation by affecting the

and daily kills. This model included all of the occurrence variables,

outcome of predator–prey encounters or by affecting the occur-

daily kills, and two-­way interactions between occurrence variables

rence of predator–prey encounters. However, we speculate that

and daily kills. As daily kills increased, selection for the occurrence of

local-­scale landscape features likely influenced calf vulnerability

kill sites increased, whereas selection for the occurrence of ant colo-

principally by altering the outcome of black bear-­caribou calf en-

nies and caribou calves decreased. This model had strong predictive

counters. The relationship between local-­scale landscape features

ability (rs = .96 ± .01).

and calf vulnerability was generally consistent with the expected
hunting tactics of an ambush predator. At the local-­scale, open

4 | D I S CU S S I O N

landcover types were associated with low levels of predation risk
(Figure 3). The riskiest landscape feature, the proportion of local-­
scale conifer scrub, provided dense cover that may have facilitated

We combined models of predation phenology, dynamic resource dis-

capture of calves when it occurred at higher proportions. Likewise,

tributions and RSFs to examine the spatiotemporal context of preda-

increased proportions of local-­scale water elevated the risk of bear

tor–prey interactions from the perspective of a predator. Our results

predation, perhaps because vegetation in riparian areas and along

demonstrated that landscape heterogeneity influenced caribou calf

shorelines provided cover and water bodies limited escape routes.

vulnerability to black bear predation, suggested that bears were ac-

Additionally, encounters between calves and bears may have been

tively hunting calves, and provided evidence of a generalist predator

higher in areas with these landcover characteristics. Interestingly,

�RAYL et al.

Journal of Animal Ecology

|

883

F I G U R E 5 Relative probability of
selection of black bears as a function
of (a) the occurrence of vegetation, (b)
the occurrence of ant colonies, (c) the
occurrence of caribou calves and (d) the
occurrence of kill sites of caribou calves
killed by black bears. Rug plots depict the
x-­axis values of telemetry locations of
black bears (the height of the tick marks
in (b) indicates the number of locations at
that value). (e–h) The relative probability
of selection of black bears as a function
of the occurrence variables and the daily
number of caribou calves killed by black
bears (daily kills). Each predictor variable
was plotted within its observed range
while holding all other variables constant
at their mean values, except daily kills
in panels (e)-­(h), which was plotted at
the discrete values labelled in the panel
legends
although local-­scale conifer forest could provide ambush cover for

A common assumption of many food web and predator–prey

black bears, predation risk did not increase with increasing propor-

models is that the per-­capita rate at which predators kill prey varies

tions of this cover type. This may be because bears were primar-

exclusively as a function of prey density (the functional response;

ily resting when using this landcover type. Among landcover types,

Holling, 1959; Solomon, 1949; but see Fortin et al., 2015). Our re-

bears were least active in conifer forest (N.D. Rayl, unpubl. data),

sults, however, highlight the role that spatiotemporal heterogeneity

and it was the least productive landcover type for vegetation and

in prey abundance and prey vulnerability play in mediating the mor-

ants (see Appendix S2: Table S5). The considerable effect of eleva-

tality patterns of ungulate neonates succumbing to ursid predation.

tion and the lesser influence of the proportion of landscape-­scale

Early in the calving season, when caribou calves were highly vulner-

conifer scrub on mortality risk indicated that large-­scale features

able to predation, the daily number of calves killed by black bears

also affected the risk of mortality, likely by altering the frequency of

appeared to vary as a function of the abundance of calves (Figure 4,

bear-­calf encounters.

see Appendix S2: Figure S2). Until 7 June, daily kill rates varied

�884

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Journal of Animal Ecology

positively and linearly with calf abundance in a type-­I functional
response (kill rate = 0.0003 × (alive calves) + 0.0553, F1,17 = 624.4,

RAYL et al.

current computing capacity, it would be challenging to quantify
uncertainty in our space-­use predictions. Further, our conclusions

p &lt; .001, R2 = .974; Holling, 1959). Less than 3 weeks after the onset

about the foraging tactics of black bears are based upon a sample

of calving, however, the daily kill rate declined sharply. Presumably,

size of only nine individuals. Although we estimate that these nine

this decoupling of kill rates and calf abundance occurred because

individuals comprise more than 18% of the black bear population

increasing mobility of calves lowered the risk of bear predation. As

living in our study area, it is a still a small sample size from which

a result, later in the calving season, predation rate was independent

to draw inferences. For these reasons, our results and conclusions

of calf abundance, and at a single calf abundance value bears killed

should be viewed with caution.

calves at two different rates (see Appendix S2: Figure S2).

The foraging tactics of carnivores are flexible, dynamic and

Interestingly, unlike prior studies examining black bear–caribou

complex. We examined a period of only 6 weeks, and in that short

calf interactions (Bastille-­Rousseau et al., 2011; Latham et al., 2011),

time, observed large fluctuations in the availability of a major re-

we found compelling evidence that suggested bears with access to

source for black bears, caribou calves and what appeared to be

caribou were actively hunting calves (in support of H2). These differ-

reciprocal changes in the space-­use tactics of bears. These find-

ing results may be due to caribou calves occurring at a much higher

ings clearly underscore the value of incorporating temporal het-

density in our system, variation in space-­use strategies of parturient

erogeneity into analyses of resource selection. As ecologists, we

caribou among systems, or because previous studies were unable to

have become increasingly sophisticated at accounting for spatial

evaluate whether bears selected areas where calves were vulnera-

heterogeneity when examining the resource selection patterns of

ble to predation. In our system, black bears exhibited the strongest

animals, but we rarely include similarly complex temporal variation

selection for areas where they were more likely to kill caribou calves.

in our investigations. In this study, we offer one possible frame-

This is consistent with findings from other studies examining the

work for integrating temporal dynamics of prey availability into

space use of large ambush predators (Hopcraft et al., 2005). Bears

investigations of predator–prey interactions and carnivore space

also strongly selected areas where they were more likely to encoun-

use, and demonstrate the power of such an approach. In doing

ter adult female caribou. Together, these results suggest that bears

so, we reveal new insights into how variation in prey availability

were actively hunting caribou calves during the calving season.

may mediate predator–prey dynamics, and move towards a mech-

To date, the influence of seasonal variability in the abundance
and vulnerability of prey on predation has not received sufficient

anistic understanding of the foraging tactics of a large, generalist
predator.

attention in studies of carnivore ecology (Pereira, Owen-­Smith, &amp;
Moleón, 2014). Here, we begin to address this deficit, and, in support of our hypothesis (H3), provide novel evidence that changing

AC K N OW L E D G E M E N T S

prey availability influenced the foraging tactics of a generalist pred-

This study was funded, and N.D.R. was supported, by the Institute

ator (Figure 5). Classical theory predicts that as the availability of

for Biodiversity, Ecosystem Science &amp; Sustainability and the

profitable prey declines, foragers should expand their diet to include

Sustainable Development and Strategic Science Division of the

less profitable prey items (Charnov, 1976; MacArthur &amp; Pianka,

Government of Newfoundland and Labrador Department of

1966). Our findings suggest that bears may have compensated for

Environment and Conservation. Additional funding was provided

capturing fewer calves by consuming more ant protein (although

by the Safari Club International Foundation, and the University

overall selection for ant-­rich areas was always low). Additionally,

of Massachusetts, Amherst. We thank S. Ellsworth, S. Gullage,

bears appeared to switch from a hunting tactic that maximized suc-

T. Hodder, J. McGinn, A. Mouland, F. Norman and T. Murphy for

cess rates (Figure 5h) to a hunting tactic that maximized encounter

logistical support. We thank N. Brooks, R. Curran, B. Efford, C.

rates (Figure 5g) based upon the efficiency with which they could

Gosse, T. Hodder, J. Maloney, M. McGrath, J. Neville, D. O’Leary,

catch calves. If so, this would be the first evidence of which we are

P. Saunders, B. Slade and P. Tremblett, for help with caribou calf

aware of a predator exhibiting facultative switching between hunt-

captures, calf telemetry and calf mortality retrievals. We thank

ing modes. These results reveal the dynamic nature of predation

T. Porter and P. Tremblett for assisting with bear captures. We

risk, and highlight the challenge caribou face in reliably discerning

thank J. Maloney and B. Slade for safe flying. We thank Editor J.M.

and responding to the spatial and temporal distribution of that risk.

Gaillard, Associate Editor A. Loison, S. Focardi, G. Hilderbrand and

Additional research is needed to clarify the connection between the

two anonymous reviewers for valuable comments that improved

foraging ecology and space-­use strategies of these bears, and to

this manuscript. Any use of trade, firm or product names is for

examine whether female caribou respond to the shifting space-­use

descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the

patterns of predatory bears.

U.S. Government.

We did not account for estimation uncertainty in our analyses.
Instead, we assumed that the availability of caribou calves and the
occurrence of vegetation, ant colonies, calves and kill sites were all

AU T H O R S ’ C O N T R I B U T I O N S

known without error. At present, we do not have data to estimate

N.D.R., G.B.-R., T.K.F. and J.F.O. conceived the study; N.D.R., G.B.-R.

uncertainty in the availability of caribou calves. Additionally, given

and M.A.M. performed all analyses; S.P.M., C.E.S., R.D.O., T.K.F.,

�Journal of Animal Ecology

RAYL et al.

J.F.O., D.L.M. and L.P.W. secured funding; N.D.R., G.B.-R., M.A.M.,
S.P.M., C.E.S. and K.P.L. collected and prepared the data; N.D.R.
wrote the manuscript, and all authors contributed to revisions and
gave final approval for publication.

DATA AC C E S S I B I L I T Y
All data were collected by the Newfoundland and Labrador
Department of Environment and Conservation. Data are available
from the Dryad Digital Repository: https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.
t081d (Rayl et al., 2018).

ORCID
Nathaniel D. Rayl

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3846-2764

Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau
Matthew A. Mumma

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6799-639X

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1954-6524

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How to cite this article: Rayl ND, Bastille-Rousseau G, Organ
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&lt;li&gt;Prey abundance and prey vulnerability vary across space and time, but we know little about how they mediate predator–prey interactions and predator foraging tactics. To evaluate the interplay between prey abundance, prey vulnerability and predator space use, we examined patterns of black bear (&lt;i&gt;Ursus americanus&lt;/i&gt;) predation of caribou (&lt;i&gt;Rangifer tarandus&lt;/i&gt;) neonates in Newfoundland, Canada using data from 317 collared individuals (9 bears, 34 adult female caribou, 274 caribou calves).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;During the caribou calving season, we predicted that landscape features would influence calf vulnerability to bear predation, and that bears would actively hunt calves by selecting areas associated with increased calf vulnerability. Further, we hypothesized that bears would dynamically adjust their foraging tactics in response to spatiotemporal changes in calf abundance and vulnerability (collectively, calf availability). Accordingly, we expected bears to actively hunt calves when they were most abundant and vulnerable, but switch to foraging on other resources as calf availability declined.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;As predicted, landscape heterogeneity influenced risk of mortality, and bears displayed the strongest selection for areas where they were most likely to kill calves, which suggested they were actively hunting caribou. Initially, the per-capita rate at which bears killed calves followed a type-I functional response, but as the calving season progressed and calf vulnerability declined, kill rates dissociated from calf abundance. In support of our hypothesis, bears adjusted their foraging tactics when they were less efficient at catching calves, highlighting the influence that predation phenology may have on predator space use. Contrary to our expectations, however, bears appeared to continue to hunt caribou as calf availability declined, but switched from a tactic of selecting areas of increased calf vulnerability to a tactic that maximized encounter rates with calves.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Our results reveal that generalist predators can dynamically adjust their foraging tactics over short time-scales in response to changing prey abundance and vulnerability. Further, they demonstrate the utility of integrating temporal dynamics of prey availability into investigations of predator–prey interactions, and move towards a mechanistic understanding of the dynamic foraging tactics of a large omnivore.&lt;/li&gt;
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              <text>Rayl, N.D., G. Bastille-Rousseau, J.F. Organ, M.A. Mumma, S.P. Mahoney, C.E. Soulliere, K.P. Lewis, R.D. Otto, D.L. Murray, L.P. Waits, and T.K. Fuller. 2018. Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in prey abundance and vulnerability shapes the foraging tactics of an omnivore. Journal of Animal Ecology 87:874-887. &lt;a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12810" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12810&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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