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Revised: 30 November 2021

|

Accepted: 2 December 2021

DOI: 10.1002/ece3.8466

ACADEMIC PR ACTICE IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION

Demography, education, and research trends in the
interdisciplinary field of disease ecology
Ellen E. Brandell1

| Daniel J. Becker2

1
Department of Biology, Center for
Infectious Disease Dynamics, Huck
Institute of the Life Sciences, Pennsylvania
State University, University Park,
Pennsylvania, USA
2

Department of Biology, University of
Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma, USA
3

Department of Biological Sciences,
University of Arkansas, Fayetteville,
Arkansas, USA
Correspondence
Ellen E. Brandell, Wisconsin Cooperative
Wildlife Research Unit, Department of
Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of
Wisconsin-­Madison, Madison, WI 53706,
USA.
Email: ebrandell08@gmail.com
Funding information
There is no funding to report.

| Laura Sampson1 | Kristian M. Forbes3

Abstract
Micro-­ and macroparasites are a leading cause of mortality for humans, animals, and
plants, and there is great need to understand their origins, transmission dynamics, and
impacts. Disease ecology formed as an interdisciplinary field in the 1970s to fill this
need and has recently rapidly grown in size and influence. Because interdisciplinary
fields integrate diverse scientific expertise and training experiences, understanding
their composition and research priorities is often difficult. Here, for the first time, we
quantify the composition and educational experiences of a subset of disease ecology practitioners and identify topical trends in published research. We combined a
large survey of self-­declared disease ecologists with a literature synthesis involving
machine-­learning topic detection of over 18,500 disease ecology research articles.
The number of graduate degrees earned by disease ecology practitioners has grown
dramatically since the early 2000s. Similar to other science fields, we show that practitioners in disease ecology have diversified in the last decade in terms of gender
identity and institution, with weaker diversification in race and ethnicity. Topic detection analysis revealed how the frequency of publications on certain topics has
declined (e.g., HIV, serology), increased (e.g., the dilution effect, infectious disease
in bats), remained relatively common (e.g., malaria ecology, influenza, vaccine research and development), or have consistently remained relatively infrequent (e.g.,
theoretical models, field experiments). Other topics, such as climate change, superspreading, emerging infectious diseases, and network analyses, have recently come
to prominence. This study helps identify the major themes of disease ecology and
demonstrates how publication frequency corresponds to emergent health and environmental threats. More broadly, our approach provides a framework to examine the
composition and publication trends of other major research fields that cross traditional disciplinary boundaries.
KEYWORDS

host–­pathogen interaction, infectious disease ecology, machine learning, questionnaire,
research trends

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited.
© 2021 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.
Ecology and Evolution. 2021;11:17581–17592.	﻿�

www.ecolevol.org

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Received: 10 May 2021

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BRANDELL et al.

I NTRO D U C TI O N

disease ecology, including journals and associated organizations (e.g.,
Wildlife Disease Association, American Society of Tropical Medicine

Parasites and the diseases they can cause are an important compo-

and Hygiene), and a specialized National Science Foundation and

nent of ecosystems and can shape population dynamics, food web

National Institutes of Health funding program and conference series

structure, and ecosystem health (Hudson et al., 1998, 2006; Lafferty

(Scheiner &amp; Rosenthal, 2006), which have helped to direct research

et al., 2006). Parasites have both positive and negative impacts on

effort and create networks among researchers.

the ecosystems in which they occur, yet their negative impacts can

Still, many questions remain as to the composition of disease

be extremely serious, such that infectious diseases are a leading

ecology practitioners, core research foci, and if research trends are

source of human, domestic animal, and wildlife mortality, killing an

associated with widespread disease outbreaks. Answering these

estimated 17 million people each year (Brand, 2013; World Health

questions could help improve recruitment and retention and pri-

Organization, 1996, 2018), threatening economic security through

oritize future research directions. However, understanding these

crop and production animal losses (Haseeb et al., 2019; Benavides

complex and interrelated factors as they apply to an interdisci-

et al., 2017), and causing declines of endangered species (Scheele

plinary research field requires diverse and innovative approaches.

et al., 2019). Moreover, infectious disease outbreaks are predicted

Here, we characterize the field of disease ecology and a subset of its

to be exacerbated by contemporary issues such as climate change,

practitioners by addressing the following questions: (1) Who com-

high human population density, and fragmentation of natural envi-

prises the field in terms of education, demographics, and the type

ronments (Altizer et al., 2013; Daszak et al., 2001; Plowright et al.,

of research they conduct? (2) Which scientific articles and journals

2021). It is important to establish a strong foundation and specializa-

have been the most influential? (3) And significantly, how has the

tion for research on infectious diseases in their ecological and evo-

frequency of research topics emerged and changed in the literature

lutionary context to promote a high standard of living and enhance

over time? For example, do the topics in publications follow global

wildlife and ecosystem health; for example, we continue to face

health events such as disease outbreaks?

challenges such as emerging pathogens (e.g., SARS-­CoV-­2; Andersen

To answer these questions, we surveyed self-­declared disease

et al., 2020), pathogen evolution (van Boeckel et al., 2019), and the

ecologists and conducted a literature synthesis with machine-­

need for innovative interventions (Sokolow et al., 2019).

learning topic detection (Bird et al., 2009; Blei, 2012; Loper &amp; Bird,

Disease ecology is the study of how micro-­ and macroparasites

2002). Systematic and quantitative approaches to literature synthe-

move through and are distributed across host populations, land-

ses are increasingly favored over narrative-­based reviews (Haddaway

scapes, and ecosystems, considering both abiotic and biotic factors,

&amp; Watson, 2016; Hedges &amp; Olkin, 2014; Lajeunesse, 2010).

as well as the consequences of their infections. It is a relatively new

However, high volumes of published research make theme synthesis

and rapidly expanding research focus within ecology and evolution-

very difficult and require innovative approaches (Lajeunesse, 2016;

ary biology that draws heavily on early foundations in population

Nunez-­Mir et al., 2016). Following recent adoptions of data mining

biology (Anderson &amp; May, 1979; May &amp; Anderson, 1979) and vector-­

approaches to systematic reviews (Han &amp; Ostfeld, 2019), we apply

borne disease (e.g., zooprophylaxis as a precursor to the dilution

topic detection using non-­negative matrix factorization to charac-

effect literature (Hess &amp; Hayes, 1970; Schmidt &amp; Ostfeld, 2001)).

terize the research core and trajectory of disease ecology. More

Further, disease ecology integrates many fields that cross multiple

broadly, our approach can provide a quantitative synthesis frame-

levels of biological organization including but not limited to parasi-

work to examine the frequency that topics are published in other

tology, microbiology, immunology, and epidemiology (Grenfell et al.,

fields that cross traditional disciplinary boundaries.

1995; Hudson et al., 2002; Wilson et al., 2019). Disease ecologists
investigate a range of practical and fundamental questions relevant
to humans, other animals, and plants, such as the natural origins of
disease outbreaks; heterogeneities in pathogen susceptibility, transmission, and impact; and the effectiveness of intervention strategies

2

|

M ATE R I A L S A N D M E TH O DS

2.1 | Survey

(Condeso &amp; Meentemeyer, 2007; Hudson et al., 1998; Joseph et al.,
2013; Olival et al., 2017; Vanderwaal &amp; Ezenwa, 2016).

We developed a survey questionnaire to quantify the demographics

Disease ecology, in part, adapted and developed population

and research core of disease ecology (Pennsylvania State University

biology theory to address societal needs (Johnson et al., 2015;

Institutional Review Board Study 00010582; Appendix S1). The sur-

Koprivnikar &amp; Johnson, 2016; Scheiner &amp; Rosenthal, 2006). Key

vey was disseminated on disease ecology email listservs such as con-

among these is the urgency to understand and address novel dis-

ference attendees (e.g., the past five years of Ecology and Evolution

ease threats, which are rooted in natural systems but are often

of Infectious Disease conferences, Ecological Society of America),

exacerbated by societal inequalities (Carlson &amp; Mendenhall,

scientific organizations and networks (e.g., VectorBiTE, American

2019). For example, the impacts of habitat degradation on patho-

Society of Parasitologists, Ecological Society of America disease ecol-

gen spillover are an expanding area of research that can be used

ogy section), and institutional research centers (e.g., Pennsylvania

to guide risk assessments and environmental policy (Plowright

State University Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, University

et al., 2021). At the same time, infrastructure has developed around

of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases). We also

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distributed the survey to prominent non-­USA research groups (in,

using Boolean filters, including a focus on studying a pathogen or

e.g., South America, Europe, Australia) to diversify our survey partic-

parasite, host infections (to distinguish from solely environmen-

ipants. However, we acknowledge that survey reach was heavily bi-

tal persistence of microorganisms), and individual-­level or higher-­

ased toward established research centers and active researchers in

order dynamics (e.g., not cellular processes, with the exception of

the disciplinary community, primarily in North America and Europe,

those analyzed as a population-­level process). The full list of search

and surely missed certain individuals and groups, particularly those

terms is provided in the Appendix S1, alongside a set of exclusion-

who conduct relevant research on infectious disease but may not

ary terms to remove similar but non-­disease ecology articles. Web

necessarily identify as disease ecologists (e.g., medical entomolo-

of Science categories were used to narrow our search and also re-

gists and historians).

duce false-­p ositive inclusions. To reduce bias, both search terms

The survey was open from November 2018 until January 2019,

and included journals were based on survey results. We included

closing once the response rate dropped below two new responses

journals that were listed by at least four survey participants as sig-

per day for one consecutive week. All survey participants were self-­

nificant to the field (n = 42), as well as Nature and Science. Finally,

declared disease ecology practitioners, who were informed about

articles with fewer than four citations were removed as a form of

the potential use of results in a consent statement. The survey asked

quality control.

participants questions on their demographics, institution, educa-

To evaluate false positives, two authors (DJB and KMF) inde-

tion, types and topics of current research, and influential scientific

pendently evaluated the same 100 randomly selected articles and

articles and journals. It included a combination of multiple choice

classified them as “disease ecology” or “outside the field.” Papers

and short answer response questions. A full copy of the survey

that fell outside the field predominantly described pathogenesis,

and description of the data cleaning procedure is available in the

bacterial communities, or genetics/genomics (Figure S5). Within-­

Appendix S1.

host studies were accepted if they focused on population-­level processes (Cressler et al., 2014) or parasite manipulation. 75% of the
articles in the final corpus were classified as disease ecology, and

2.2 | Literature search

consensus was strong among evaluators (94% agreement, Cohen's κ
= 0.84). Within false-­positive papers, there was no association be-

Our objective was to compile an extensive corpus robustly repre-

tween topical and temporal trends (χ2 = 72.84, p = .29, Appendix S1:

sentative of publications in disease ecology rather than to include

False-­Positive Literature Assessment).

every article per se. Literature search terms are often generated

To evaluate false negatives, we cross-­validated our corpus using

by the authors, which may impose bias. To generate a list of search

our survey data. Specifically, we assessed whether articles that

terms with reduced author bias, we compiled a set of papers that

were identified by at least two survey participants as influential

cited the foundational paper in disease ecology and was considered

were present in our corpus. We calculated the proportion of papers

to be highly influential to the survey participants (Anderson &amp; May,

that were included in our corpus out of the list of such articles, with

1979; Table 1). Using this set of papers, we performed topic detec-

the requirement that at least 70% of papers had to be included. Of

tion algorithms (nltk library, Python 2.7; Bird et al., 2009) to gener-

the influential articles identified by survey participants (written ≥2

ate the list of 13 base keywords (e.g., the word parasite could have

times) restricted to journals used in building the corpus, approxi-

multiple prefixes and suffixes) that were used to search the wider

mately 71% (50/70) were present in the corpus. The “most influen-

literature (see Appendix S1: Literature Search Methods). To this end,

tial” articles had a higher probability of being included: the corpus

our literature search terms emerged from disease ecology literature

included 85% of articles written four or more times, 75% of articles

itself and then were refined through the process described below

written three times, and 63% of articles written twice. We adjusted

and in Figure 1.

the search and exclusion terms twice using the workflow described

The final literature search was conducted in Web of Science for
the years 1975 to 2018. Each article had to meet specific criteria

in Figure 1 (unfilled arrow) to obtain a corpus with high classification
and cross-­validation success.

TA B L E 1 Five highest ranking scientific journals (left) and articles (right) based on survey responses. Survey participants were asked to
pick journals other than Science or Nature
Influential journals

n

Influential articles

n

Proceedings of the Royal Society—­Biology

98

Hudson et al. (1998). Prevention of Population Cycles by Parasite Removal. Science

18

Ecology Letters

90

Anderson and May (1979). Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I. Nature

13

Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences of the United States of America

85

Anderson and May (1978). Regulation and Stability of Host-­Parasite Population
Interactions: I. Regulatory Processes. Journal of Animal Ecology

12

Ecology

72

Lloyd-­Smith et al. (2005). Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on
disease emergence. Nature

10

Journal of Animal Ecology

60

Keesing et al. (2006). Effects of species diversity on disease risk. Ecology Letters

9

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F I G U R E 1 Workflow of systematic
literature search and corpus development.
Box coloration denotes different stages
of corpus development: literature
compilation (blue), corpus assessment and
validation (orange), and corpus completion
(red). The unfilled arrow denotes
repeating of the workflow to optimize
corpus accuracy

2.3 | Literature analysis

S1). To ensure topic trends were not confounded by an increase
in the total number of published articles through time, we con-

We conducted topic detection on the validated corpus using non-­

structed a baseline topic using neutral words that should be in all

negative matrix factorization. Topic clusters represent a set of co-­

disease ecology articles: analysis, study, and paper. We evaluated

occurring words that can be used to define an area of research. The

temporal trends in publications for each theme using generalized

number of topic clusters (i) and words per topic (j) were the only

additive models (GAMs) fit using the mgcv package in R (Wood,

parameters imposed on the literature analysis. To select appropriate

2006). The proportion of words in each topic relative to all words

values for i and j, we ran topic detection for a range of values and

was modeled as a binomial response using thin-­p late splines with

combinations of i and j and assessed outputs. If i was too small or

shrinkage for publication year. Lastly, to assess covariation among

too large, we were unable to detect temporal variation in that topic.

topics, we estimated Spearman's rank correlation coefficients (ρ)

If j was too small or too large, the topics were not clearly defined.

at the zero-­year lag.

For example, a topic with only five words may not be interpretable;
similarly, a topic with 30 words may be too broad to assign meaning. We used i = 15 and j = 15, so our corpus was analyzed for 15
topics with 15 words each. A “topic” therefore describes the frequency of co-­occurring words or phrases in the literature corpus;

3

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R E S U LT S

3.1 | Survey

topics could span any number of interests, methods, taxa, or set of
words/phrases that emerged from the literature or are of interest to

A total of 413 self-­declared disease ecologists participated in the

researchers.

survey. The average respondent was 36.1 years old (range: 21–­76,

We used K-­m eans clustering from the nltk Python library to

median: 34, n = 348; categorized as: ≤25, 26–­30, 31–­35, 36–­4 0, 41–­

construct topics, where each topic comprised 15 commonly co-­

50, 51–­60, &gt;60). 76.7% of participants (n = 408) considered at least

occurring words. We assigned a name to each topic to describe

half of their research to fall within disease ecology. Participants that

its theme. For example, we named a topic containing immunodefi-

considered ≥75% of their research to be disease ecology were con-

ciency, HIV, patient, therapy, drug, AIDS, background, treatment,

centrated from ages 26–­4 0 and most self-­identified as women (60%,

and risk, as an HIV topic. We gave each topic name a “confidence”

n = 344). More broadly, 56.1% of participants identified as women (n

measurement of 1–­3 , from high to low confidence in identifying

= 231), 42.5% as men (n = 175), 0.7% as non-­binary (n = 3), and 0.7%

the topic (Appendix S1: Topic detection). In addition to topics that

preferred not to say (n = 3). We report on participants that chose to

emerged from the literature, we also generated and assessed our

disclose a gender identity for results regarding gender.

own topic lists based on key research areas: climate change, di-

Most participants identifying as women were younger (age ≤35)

lution effect, superspreaders, network analysis, EIDs, infectious

than most participants identifying as men (age 26–­50). The youngest

diseases in bats and rodents, chytrid fungus, theoretical modeling,

age category (≤25 years) was 68.9% women (n = 45), and the oldest

and field experiments (Figure 4; full topic lists are in the Appendix

age category (&gt;60 years) was 85.0% men (n = 20). Current positions

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held by survey participants were as follows: undergraduate student

statistics, environmental science, public health, or agricultural pro-

(1.2%, n = 5), master's student (2.9%, n = 12), PhD student (24.5%, n

grams. Among surveyed disease ecologists who graduated from

= 100), postdoctoral researcher (21.1%, n = 86), faculty (39.5%, n =

1990–­2018, biology programs have consistently comprised about

161), researcher (9.1%, n = 37), and other (1.7%, n = 7). Participants

half of all earned PhDs, with ecology closely tracking but slightly de-

identifying as women comprised most of each academic position ex-

creasing since 2005 (Figures 3d and S2). Over the same time, PhDs in

cept Master's student and faculty (Table S1). In general, most PhD

mathematics/statistics and wildlife/fisheries programs have slightly

students and postdoctoral researchers were young and identified as

declined and remained at approximately 10% (Figure S2).

women. Most masters’ students were young and identified as men,

Most participants identifying as non-­white were less than

and most faculty were middle-­aged and identified as men (Tables S1–­

36 years old, indicating a recent, though minor (Figure 3b), diver-

S3). Non-­binary participants were distributed across age (&lt;50) and

sification of disease ecology practitioners. This was especially pro-

position categories (n = 3), as were participants who preferred not to

nounced when analyzed by education: the average proportion of

provide a gender identity (n = 3).

participants identifying as non-­white who have earned a master's

We identified clear trends in education and demographics of

degree has nearly doubled from 1980–­1999 to 2000–­2018 (9.6% to

survey participants. 92.7% of participants had completed their un-

19.1%) and has risen to 23.9% in the last decade (Figure 2d). The pro-

dergraduate degree by 2018 (n = 382), 50.0% had completed their

portion of participants identifying as non-­white who have earned a

master's degree by 2018 (n = 206), and 73.3% had completed their

PhD slightly increased from 1980–­1999 to 2000–­2018 but has since

PhD by 2018 (n = 302). 8.3% of participants had also earned an ad-

remained stable (15%–­19%; Figure 2d). The proportion of master's

ditional degree, most commonly as a Doctor of Veterinary Medicine

and PhD degrees earned in low-­ and middle-­income countries has

(n = 18). Nearly half of participants had a PhD but not a master's

also recently increased (Figure 2b).

degree (45.4%; n = 187). The total number of graduate degrees

The proportion of participants identifying as women who have

earned per year among disease ecology researchers has dramatically

earned master's degrees approximately doubled from a mean of

increased since the year 2000 (Figure 2a). Broadly, 50% of PhDs

27.5% during 1980–­1999 to 53.2% during 2000–­2018. From 2000

earned were in biology graduate programs (e.g., biology, biological

to 2018, this proportion was approximately stable at around 55%.

sciences, microbiology), 25% were in ecology graduate programs

Similarly, the proportion of participants identifying as women who

(e.g., ecology, ecology and evolution, plant science), 11% were in

have earned PhDs substantially increased from a mean of 34.3%

wildlife or fisheries graduate programs (e.g., wildlife, fisheries, zool-

during 1980–­1999 to 52.4% from 2000 to 2018; this proportion has

ogy, entomology, animal science), and &lt;10% were in mathematics/

continued to increase to 62.6% since 2010 (Figure 2c).

F I G U R E 2 Plots showing demographic trends in survey participants that indicated they earned a master's (top row) or PhD (bottom row)
degree by 2018. (a) Displays the number of degrees earned by year, and the stacked bar plots show the proportion of degree earners by
(b) high-­or low/middle-­income countries, (c) self-­declared gender identity and (d) self-­declared race/ethnicity. Sample sizes are displayed
above their respective bars and years included 1980–­2018; some years may be excluded (from the x-­axis) if no degree earners indicated the
information of interest

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F I G U R E 3 Summary of disease ecology demographics and research topics/types from survey participants. Pie charts display (a) current
position or institution type, (b) self-­declared race or ethnicity, and (c) country of residence; research topics and types are categorized by (d)
field of PhD thesis, (e) current study taxa, and (f) type of primary research

The most popular areas of research within disease ecology were

in Ecology &amp; Evolution (n = 9), Ecology Letters (n = 8), and Proceedings

ranked as: epidemiology, mathematical modeling, population ecol-

of the National Academy of Sciences (n = 6). Interestingly, however,

ogy, wildlife ecology/management, parasitology, community ecol-

Proceedings of the Royal Society -­ Biology was ranked as the most in-

ogy, and infectious disease evolution/life history (up to 5 responses

fluential journal by survey participants, followed by Ecology Letters,

were included per person; n participants = 410, n responses = 1739).

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Ecology, and Journal

The least common areas included behavioral ecology, bioinformat-

of Animal Ecology (Table 1). See Appendix S1 for full lists of both ar-

ics, field and laboratory techniques, movement ecology, virology,

ticles and journals.

landscape ecology, and zoology.
In brief, most participants fell into a few distinguishable
categories based on location, study taxa, and research type

3.2 | Literature search and analyses

(Figure 3; see Appendix S1 for more). 87.1% were currently employed/studying at a university (Figure 3a), primarily in the United

We compiled a list of 42 journals that at least four survey partici-

States (74.7%) or United Kingdom (15.1%, Figure 3c). Most partic-

pants said were the most important in disease ecology, plus Science

ipants studied wildlife hosts, microparasites, and/or vectors and

and Nature. We searched these 44 journals for relevant articles in

macroparasites (Figure 3e); wildlife–­m icroparasite, ectoparasite/

the field using the algorithm described above, and our final corpus

vector–­w ildlife, and human–­vector were the most common co-­

comprised 18,695 articles. Our validation processes demonstrated

occurring pairs of study taxa selected by individual participants.

that at least 75% of these articles were properly classified, and we

Finally, participants were approximately evenly split among type

did not detect any systematic bias in falsely positive articles. Articles

of primary research: experimental (31.6%), observational (33.6%),

span from 1975 to 2018, with most published after 2000, indi-

or computational (34.8%) approaches to infectious disease re-

cating a rapid and considerable expansion of the field since early

search (Figure 3f).

foundational work in population biology and vector-­borne disease

Survey participants were asked to write in scientific journals and

(Anderson &amp; May, 1979; Hess &amp; Hayes, 1970; May &amp; Anderson,

articles that they believed were the most influential in disease ecol-

1979). However, some journals were not available in Web of Science

ogy (Table 1). Influential articles (written in at least twice, n = 76)

until the 1980s-­1990s, so article availability may slightly bias our

were most often published in Science (n = 17), Nature (n = 10), Trends

corpus in the early years.

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F I G U R E 4 Timelines of events relevant to disease ecology and research trends. (a) A timeline of select human (filled circles) and wildlife
(open circles) infectious disease events from 1979–­2018. The approximate number of humans infected is represented by circle size (scaled
by log/4). Analogous estimates are rare for wildlife diseases; thus, these circles are an equivalent arbitrary size. Stars denote notable events
for the development of the field of disease ecology. (b) Frequency of publication on selected topics (green = emerged from the literature
corpus, purple = selected by authors) compared with the neutral topic (gray) from 1976–­2018; 1976–­1989 are binned in the first data point.
Thick lines and ribbons show the fitted values and 95% confidence intervals from the GAMs. Plots are ordered by thematic categorization:
host–­pathogen study systems, concepts, and research methods/approaches
Topic clusters were classified into two categories: (1) those that

Overall, we had high confidence assigning names to topic clusters

emerged and were identifiable from the literature and (2) those that

emerging from the literature, indicating defined areas of research in

we deliberately searched for using key term searches. Of emer-

the corpus (see Appendix S1).

gent topics, malaria and mosquito-­borne pathogens appeared most

Many of the topics that emerged from the disease ecology liter-

frequently in the topic clusters (3/15), followed by experimental

ature, such as malaria, influenza, and vaccination research and de-

infection trials (2/15). Other clear topics included HIV, influenza,

velopment, have remained constant in publication frequency over

vaccine research, and host–­pathogen coevolution. Some topics were

time (Figure 4b). Others, such as HIV and serology, have declined

more ambiguous but still identifiable, such as wildlife pathogens,

in publication frequency over time, and host–­pathogen coevolution

tick-­borne pathogens with rodent hosts, and serological analyses.

has instead steadily increased. These emergent topics comprised

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BRANDELL et al.

a notable portion of the disease ecology literature and were more

have remained prominent foci of disease ecology, whereas an in-

prominent in the literature than author-­selected topics. A neutral

crease in the frequency of publication of a priori selected topics

topic, constructed for comparison, had a constant publication fre-

such as emerging infectious diseases, climate change, and effects of

quency through time (Figure 4b, gray line in panels), thus validating

biodiversity loss emphasizes how this expanding field has mirrored

the observed temporal changes in these topics.

global events and priorities.

Using key term searches, we next explored the frequency of

Self-­declared disease ecology practitioners are becoming more

publication of select topics: climate change, emerging infectious

diverse in terms of country of education, gender identity, and in-

diseases (EIDs), the dilution effect, superspreaders, network anal-

stitution (Figures 2 and 3). The gender trends identified here are

ysis, pathogens in rodents, pathogens in bats, chytrid fungus in am-

echoed in engineering, computer science, and mathematics/statis-

phibians, theoretical modeling, and field experiments (Figure 4b). As

tics where the proportion of women earning graduate degrees has

with emergent topics, our topic detection was sensitive to detecting

increased over the past two decades (20%–­43% of master's and

changes in frequency over time, identifying peaks and troughs. For

doctorates earned in 2014), yet remains low in physics (18.7% of

instance, published research on pathogens in bats had a small peak

doctorates earned in 2014) (National Science Foundation, 2020).

around the time of the first SARS epidemic (2002–­2004), and bat

Women authorship has increased in ecology and evolution literature

disease research has steadily increased since 1979; however, over-

every year from 2009 to 2015 (Fox et al., 2018), and the proportion

all, literature on bat pathogens has been a small proportion of all

of women journal editors also increased over that time but was still

disease ecology literature. Published research on rodent pathogens

low relative to men (Fox et al., 2019). In terms of race/ethnicity, the

was greatest in the 1990s and has generally declined, although re-

rate of people identifying as Hispanic earning bachelor's degrees in

cent years have also seen an increase in rodent-­related disease ecol-

science and engineering has increased slowly since the 1990s, but

ogy publications. The frequency of publications on many topics has

remained approximately constant for people identifying as black,

steadily grown and will likely continue to grow based on this trend,

African American, or Asian (National Science Foundation, 2020).

such as EIDs, climate change, the dilution effect, network analyses,

Similarly, persons who identify as women and those who do not

and superspreaders. Chytrid fungus literature, on the other hand,

identify as white remain underrepresented in a prominent ecological

appears to have declined or plateaued in recent years. Lastly, publi-

organization, the Ecological Society of America; representation has

cation frequency of both theoretical modeling of infectious disease

improved for women in this group over the past 30 years, but not for

and field experiments has remained constant but rare over time.

most racial/ethnic minorities (Beck et al., 2014). Therefore, our find-

Frequencies of published topics displayed strong degrees of

ings are largely reflected in other scientific and mathematical fields

cross-­correlation, with both positive and negative covariation in an-

such that gender representation is improving at a more rapid pace

nual trends (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient ρ = −0.89–­0.88;

than racial/ethnic representation.

Figure S8). Particularly strong positive correlations were observed

Diversity in the workplace and educational institutions is fun-

for superspreaders and network analyses (ρ = 0.88), superspreaders

damentally important and increases performance, cooperation,

and the dilution effect (ρ = 0.85), EIDs and bats (ρ = 0.83), EIDs and

problem-­solving, and student retention (Drury et al., 2011; Milem,

the dilution effect (ρ = 0.83), EIDs and network analysis (ρ = 0.82),

2003; Roberge &amp; van Dick, 2010). The highest demographic and

and superspreaders and bat pathogens (ρ = 0.80). Especially

institutional diversity we identified was in younger age groups

strong negative correlations were observed for EIDs and serology

(&lt;36 years old), graduate programs, and postdoctoral positions

(ρ = −0.89), serology and the dilution effect (ρ = −0.87), serology and

(Tables S2 and S3). This may be due to increasing levels of educa-

bat disease (ρ = −0.81), influenza and HIV (ρ = −0.77), climate change

tion globally (Group of Eight, 2013; UNESCO Institute for Statistics,

and HIV (ρ = −0.76), network analysis and serology (ρ = −0.70), in-

2020), or targeted programs to increase diversity in science and

fluenza and rodent disease (ρ = −0.68), climate change and serology

mathematics, particularly focused on recruiting women (Burke

(ρ = −0.68), malaria and network analysis (ρ = −0.65), and malaria

et al., 2007; Huntoon &amp; Lane, 2007). Another non-­mutually exclu-

and rodent disease (ρ = −0.65).

sive driver of these trends could be the failed retention of minorities
and women in later career stages (Blickenstaff, 2005; Diekman et al.,

4

|

DISCUSSION

2010; Shaw &amp; Stanton, 2012). Yet significantly, although we identified some relative increases in diversity within disease ecology, the
field as a whole remains quite homogenous in terms of gender, race

Interdisciplinary research fields can rapidly grow to address impor-

and ethnicity, and geography, and marginalized groups face con-

tant societal needs, and retrospective analysis of their evolution can

siderable inequities and discrimination in science fields—­for exam-

help improve their future trajectory and growth. By combining a

ple, experience harassment and exclusion, lower likelihood to have

survey with a powerful quantitative literature synthesis, we dem-

grants funded, hold fewer faculty positions, and have limited access

onstrate the increasing gender and institutional diversity of disease

to academic experiences and resources (Allen et al., 2000; Jones &amp;

ecology practitioners alongside the breadth of research activities.

Solomon, 2019; Rissler et al., 2020). Concerted efforts to improve

Certain topical themes that emerged from our literature corpus,

equity must continue and explicitly address recruitment and reten-

such as influenza, malaria, and vaccine research and development,

tion, especially for fostering racial and ethnic diversity.

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17588

�17589

We acknowledge that surveys can be a biased source of informa-

the late 1990s. This likely reflects ongoing and continued efforts to

tion because researchers rely on voluntary participation. For exam-

reduce public health burdens of this disease and to understand com-

ple, studies of academic survey participation have shown that people

plex interactions between mosquito vectors, human hosts, and the

who identify as women are more likely to respond to surveys, while

environment (Suh et al., 2020), especially in the context of emerg-

academic rank had little influence on response rate (e.g., tenured ver-

ing human pathogens (e.g., Plasmodium knowlesi, Lee et al., 2011).

sus tenure track) (Saleh &amp; Bista, 2017; Smith, 2008). Additionally, as

Mosquito-­borne pathogens and influenza have been defining topics

our survey was shared via email listservs, it is likely that many people

over the entire time series, which is reflected in human–­vector re-

did not see or receive our request for participation. Because the field

search being the third most commonly studied disease system by

of disease ecology is relatively new and multidisciplinary, it is more

participants; we expect this trend to persist for the foreseeable fu-

challenging to identify smaller research groups both at universities

ture. We observed exceptions for theoretical and field experimental

(i.e., individual laboratory groups) or decentralized working groups

approaches to disease ecology. While publications with these ap-

(e.g., Bat One Health Research Network; BOHRN). Our survey dis-

proaches have remained constant over time, publication frequency

semination and participation likely reflect broader geographic biases

was rare relative to other themes in disease ecology. This could signal

in ecology research and publishing (Nuñez et al., 2021), which could

that these approaches are relatively uncommon, but we suspect that

subsequently affect the influential literature identified (Table 1);

publications using theoretical modeling or field experiments may not

however, we were unable to assess these limitations. While there

use the same set of co-­occurring words, thus making them harder to

are shortcomings of surveys, they remain a widely used method of

identify as distinct approaches using topic detection methods.

data collection, and the survey developed here provides the first

We also identified broader concept-­based trends in disease ecol-

description of the composition of disease ecologists and important

ogy literature. In particular, the frequency of published research on

literature that we hope is built upon in future.

the dilution effect has undergone several spikes following key find-

The second part of our study comprised an extensive literature

ings (Civitello et al., 2015; Keesing et al., 2006) and a steady increase

synthesis. Literature reviews can be compromised by author bias

in publication rate. Similarly, predicting how climate changes may

when search terms are subjectively selected (reviewed in Okoli,

alter pathogen spread continues to be a growing research interest

2015). There is a trade-­off between the scope and errors when

(Altizer et al., 2013; Ryan et al., 2019), as does research on super-

constructing a literature corpus. For example, narrower ecologi-

spreaders (Lloyd-­Smith et al., 2005). More broadly, these temporal

cal literature reviews usually consist of a &lt;2000 article corpus and

patterns in publications suggest that work related to biodiversity

often much less (Han &amp; Ostfeld, 2019; Lowry et al., 2013; Poff &amp;

and infectious disease, climate change, pathogen spillover, hetero-

Zimmerman, 2010; Wortley et al., 2013), and papers may be individ-

geneity in pathogen transmission, and new tools to analyze epidemi-

ually assessed for inclusion (e.g., Uehlinger et al., 2016 sample size =

ological data will all continue to be active areas of inquiry.

9 papers). Our analysis, on the other hand, captured a diverse range

Published research on emerging infectious diseases and bats

of literature topics within a broader field, resulting in a corpus of

has increased through time, consistent with bats being established

over 18,500 papers. We quantified the false positives (type I error)

reservoir hosts for pathogens such as Nipah virus, SARS, Marburg

and true positives in our corpus, which is rarely accounted for or re-

virus, and Hendra virus, as well as with infection-­related population

ported in ecological literature reviews (Haddaway &amp; Watson, 2016).

declines in bats through white-­nose syndrome (Calisher et al., 2006;

False positives are inevitable in such a large body of literature, but

Frick et al., 2010; Figure 4a). However, although the frequency

the false-­positive papers identified were unbiased with respect to

of disease ecology publications on bat pathogens has increased

year or topic. Our true-­positive rate was high—­85% of articles writ-

markedly in recent years, they still remain relatively understudied

ten in by participants four or more times were present in our corpus.

compared to our neutral term and rodent pathogens and comprise

Large-­scale quantitative reviews are imperfect and, even with the

only a small proportion of emerging infectious disease research in

development and implementation of our robust corpus formulation

general. When additionally considering that wildlife–­microparasite

and validation (Figure 1), relevant papers were likely excluded in our

systems were the most commonly studied systems among survey

corpus and topic analyses. Nonetheless, we are confident that we

participants, it appears that bat–­pathogen research is relatively un-

were able to identify true, broad patterns across the disease ecology

derrepresented. It is worth noting that our search does not include

literature at a large scale.

the SARS-­CoV-­2 pandemic, which we expect to lead to a large spike

Topic detection of publications revealed how published re-

in disease ecology research on pathogens with their evolutionary or-

search priorities changed over time. For example, the frequency

igins in bats and the role of intermediate hosts in pathogen spillover

of published HIV research peaked in the 1990s but in recent years

(Andersen et al., 2020).

has declined to be lower than the frequency of most other topics in

In general, published research on epidemics tended to lag rather

the field. While a direct association is difficult to demonstrate, the

than precede events such that we observed a spike in the frequency

decrease in HIV-­related publications has roughly coincided with ad-

of publications on high-­profile pathogens followed by a decline or

vances in HIV treatments (hiv.gov, 2019). Likewise, although we also

plateau (e.g., chytrid fungus). Emergent topics were remarkably sta-

observed significant temporal fluctuations in publications related

ble through time, with the exception of HIV and host–­pathogen co-

to malaria, their frequency has remained remarkably constant since

evolution, which have, respectively, decreased and increased. The

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BRANDELL et al.

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BRANDELL et al.

frequency of published research focusing on concepts (e.g., the

Becker: Conceptualization (equal); Formal analysis (supporting);

dilution effect, superspreaders, coevolution) or approaches (e.g.,

Methodology (equal); Visualization (equal); Writing –­ review &amp; edit-

network analyses) rather than specific hosts or pathogens tended

ing (equal). Laura Sampson: Conceptualization (equal); Data curation

to rise more gradually and remain a notable proportion of the lit-

(supporting); Formal analysis (equal); Methodology (equal); Writing –­

erature. Interestingly, self-­declared disease ecologists performed

review &amp; editing (supporting). Kristian Forbes: Conceptualization

experimental, observational, and computational research equally

(equal); Methodology (equal); Visualization (supporting); Writing –­

(Figure 3f); however, computational research such as methodolog-

review &amp; editing (equal).

ical development (e.g., network analyses), epidemiology, and mathematical modeling was popular in the literature and among survey

DATA AVA I L A B I L I T Y S TAT E M E N T

participants. We suspect that disease ecologists have broad skillsets

Additional data and code files are available on the Dryad Digital

that intersect multiple types of research, such as performing exper-

Repository: https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.c2fqz​619f.

iments to calibrate mathematical models, which may be a defining
ORCID

feature of practitioners.
Although our analysis of cross-­correlation between the topic fre-

Ellen E. Brandell

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2698-7013

quency time series is associative, we observed several interesting

Daniel J. Becker

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4315-8628

relationships. The frequency of publications on bat disease, chytrid

Kristian M. Forbes

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2112-2707

fungus, climate change, the dilution effect, superspreaders, and
emerging infectious diseases all increased over time, suggesting a

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AC K N OW L E D G M E N T S
Our survey was considered exempt under the Pennsylvania State
University Institutional Review Board (STUDY00010582). We thank
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feedback from participants at the 2019 Ecology and Evolution of
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C O N FL I C T O F I N T E R E S T
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Data

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How to cite this article: Brandell, E. E., Becker, D. J., Sampson,
L., &amp; Forbes, K. M. (2021). Demography, education, and
research trends in the interdisciplinary field of disease ecology.
Ecology and Evolution, 11, 17581–­17592. https://doi.
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17592

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