<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<item xmlns="http://omeka.org/schemas/omeka-xml/v5" itemId="52" public="1" featured="0" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://omeka.org/schemas/omeka-xml/v5 http://omeka.org/schemas/omeka-xml/v5/omeka-xml-5-0.xsd" uri="https://cpw.cvlcollections.org/items/show/52?output=omeka-xml" accessDate="2026-04-16T20:28:05+00:00">
  <fileContainer>
    <file fileId="50">
      <src>https://cpw.cvlcollections.org/files/original/16d7b5c86998cf9898fc6db9eeb7c126.pdf</src>
      <authentication>8e5fde525f6d2166dcae01b0c0707d3b</authentication>
      <elementSetContainer>
        <elementSet elementSetId="4">
          <name>PDF Text</name>
          <description/>
          <elementContainer>
            <element elementId="92">
              <name>Text</name>
              <description/>
              <elementTextContainer>
                <elementText elementTextId="538">
                  <text>The research in this publication was partially or fully funded by Colorado Parks and Wildlife.

Dan Prenzlow, Director, Colorado Parks and Wildlife • Parks and Wildlife Commission: Marvin McDaniel, Chair • Carrie Besnette Hauser, Vice-Chair
Marie Haskett, Secretary • Taishya Adams • Betsy Blecha • Charles Garcia • Dallas May • Duke Phillips, IV • Luke B. Schafer • James Jay Tutchton • Eden Vardy

�The Journal of Wildlife Management 82(6):1135–1148; 2018; DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21476

Research Article

Mortality of Mule Deer Fawns in a Natural
Gas Development Area
MARK E. PETERSON,1,2 Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Colorado State University, 1474 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins,
CO 80523, USA
CHARLES R. ANDERSON, JR., Mammals Research Section, Colorado Parks and Wildlife, 317 W. Prospect Road, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA
JOSEPH M. NORTHRUP,3 Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Colorado State University, 1474 Campus Delivery, Fort
Collins, CO 80523, USA
PAUL F. DOHERTY, JR., Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Colorado State University, 1474 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins,
CO 80523, USA

ABSTRACT Recent natural gas development has caused concern among wildlife managers, researchers, and

stakeholders over the potential effects on wildlife and their habitats. Specifically, understanding how this
development and other factors influence mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) fawn (i.e., 0–6 months old) mortality
rates, recruitment, and subsequently population dynamics have been identified as knowledge gaps. Thus, we
tested predictions concerning the relationship between natural gas development, adult female, fawn birth, and
temporal (weather) characteristics on fawn mortality in the Piceance Basin of northwestern Colorado, USA, from
2012–2014. We captured and radio-collared 184 fawns and estimated apparent cause-specific mortality in areas
with relatively high or low levels of natural gas development using a multi-state model. Mean daily predation
probability was similar in the high versus low development areas. Predation was the leading cause of fawn
mortality in both areas and decreased from 0–14 days old. Black bear (Ursus americanus; 22% of all mortalities,
n ¼ 17) and cougar (Felis concolor; 36% of all mortalities, n ¼ 6) predation was the leading cause of mortality in the
high and low development areas, respectively. Predation of fawns was negatively correlated with the distance
from a female’s core area to a producing well pad on winter or summer range. Contrary to expectations, predation
of fawns was positively correlated with rump fat thickness of adult females. Well pad densities and development
activity were relatively low during our study, indicating that the observed intensity of development did not appear
to influence daily predation probability. Our results suggest maintaining development activity thresholds at levels
we observed to potentially minimize the effects of development on fawn mortality. However, we caution that
higher development intensity and drilling activity in flatter, less rugged areas with less concealment cover could
influence fawn mortality. Managers should maintain low development densities in areas where topography and
vegetation offer less concealment. Overall, region-specific data (e.g., development intensity, topography, predator
assemblages, and associated predation risk) are needed to better understand the effects of natural gas development
on fawn mortality. Ó 2018 The Wildlife Society.
KEY WORDS anthropogenic disturbances, Colorado, mule deer, natural gas development, Odocoileus hemionus,
population dynamics, predation, survival.

Wildlife managers, researchers, and public stakeholders have
heightened concern about the potential effects of natural gas
development on wildlife populations and their habitats
(Walker et al. 2007, Webb et al. 2011a, Christie et al. 2015).
Effects from development on mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus)
populations and their habitat are of particular interest

Received: 18 August 2017; Accepted: 3 March 2018
1

E-mail: mark.peterson313@gmail.com
Present address: South Dakota Department of Game, Fish and Parks,
4130 Adventure Trail, Rapid City, SD 57702, USA
3
Present address: Wildlife Research and Monitoring Section, Ontario
Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry, 2140 East Bank Drive,
Peterborough, ON, Canada K9L 1Z8
2

Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

because of the species’ recreational, social, and economic
importance as a game species (Sawyer et al. 2006, Lendrum
et al. 2012, Northrup et al. 2015). Despite these concerns
with natural gas development, relatively little research has
focused on how development influences demography and
population dynamics (Johnson et al. 2016, Sawyer et al.
2017), and there has been no research on the influences of
development on the survival of mule deer fawns (i.e., 0–6
months old). Estimating mule deer fawn mortality rates and
evaluating cause-specific mortality is useful for modeling
population dynamics and to guide management in areas
where disturbances such as natural gas development are
occurring. Ungulate fawn survival is typically low and
variable, consequently annual variation in survival and
recruitment of this age class can strongly influence
1135

�population dynamics (Gaillard et al. 1998, 2000; Forrester
and Wittmer 2013). Yet, few studies have examined mule
deer fawn survival even though this period may be when most
mortality occurs in the species (Pojar and Bowden 2004,
Bishop et al. 2009, Hurley et al. 2011, Monteith et al. 2014).
Natural gas development is increasing worldwide and
projections show an increasing trend into the future (United
States Energy Information Administration 2017), but
research examining fawn mortality in natural gas development areas is lacking. Past research provides insight into
natural gas development factors that can influence mule deer
behavior (Sawyer et al. 2006; Northrup et al. 2015, 2016) and
possibly fawn mortality. This research suggests contrasting
forces of development on mule deer, with potential
influences of development on mule deer forage, mortality
risk, and perceived mortality risk. Fawn mortality may be
negatively influenced by the distance an adult female’s core
area (i.e., 50% home range area) is from natural gas
development and roads because of increased noise and
human presence in these areas. However, the mechanism
linking development to fawn mortality is unknown. Some
studies suggest deer generally use habitat farther from roads
(Rost and Bailey 1979, Webb et al. 2011b, Lendrum et al.
2012) and well pads (Sawyer et al. 2006, 2009; Northrup
et al. 2015). However, others suggest deer use habitat closer
to well pads and during spring migration because disturbed
topsoil near well pads possibly provides enhanced foraging
opportunities during the early growing season (Webb et al.
2011b, Lendrum et al. 2012). Increased human presence
associated with development might provide a refuge from
predators (Berger 2007, Dussault et al. 2012), although deer
might perceive areas close to development as risky because of
the relatively high levels of noise and human activity (Frid
and Dill 2002, Lynch et al. 2014). Consequently, fawn
mortality could be positively or negatively influenced by
distance from development.
Adult female characteristics (e.g., body condition, fetal
production, and age) have potential to strongly influence fawn
mortality (Lomas and Bender 2007, Bishop et al. 2011) and
also may be influenced by development activity. Maternal
nutrition plays a fundamental role in the reproductive success
of deer (Johnstone-Yellin et al. 2009, Parker et al. 2009,
Tollefson et al. 2011) and nutrition is an important
determinant of adult female body condition (Robinette
et al. 1973). Availability of high quality forage is necessary
to support adult body condition and fetal and fawn growth
(Keech et al. 2000, Tollefson et al. 2011), particularly during
the critical periods of the last trimester and lactation (Robbins
and Robbins 1979). However, natural gas development may
alter availability of nutritious forage on winter and summer
range and subsequently influence body condition of females
and fawn mortality (Cook et al. 2004, Monteith et al. 2014,
Shallow et al. 2015). Litter size also can influence fawn
mortality because twins or triplets weigh less than singletons
(Robinette et al. 1973, 1977; Monteith et al. 2014), increasing
the risk of starvation for lighter fawns from larger litters. In
addition, twins and triplets tend to be more active than
singletons, potentially increasing their predation risk (Riley
1136

and Dood 1984, Johnstone-Yellin et al. 2009). Finally,
maternal age also can influence fawn mortality; white-tailed
deer (Odocoileus virginianus) offspring produced by primeaged and older females (3–10 years old) versus younger females
had lower mortality because of improved rearing skills, antipredator behavior, and selection of prime habitat (Ozoga and
Verme 1986; Grovenburg et al. 2009, 2012).
Fawn mortality also can be influenced by individual fawn
characteristics including mass, age, and date of birth. For
instance, mass can interact with age (Lomas and Bender
2007, Bishop et al. 2009) and date of birth (Testa 2002) to
influence survival; heavier and older fawns tend to have
higher survival. Fawns are most vulnerable to mortality
events from birth to 8 weeks old (Lomas and Bender 2007,
Monteith et al. 2014, Shallow et al. 2015). Earlier date of
birth may allow adult females access to improved forage
conditions during the early growing season (Parker et al.
2009, Lendrum et al. 2014), which increases fawn growth
and strength to elude predators (Testa 2002). However,
predator swamping can decrease mortality for peak-born
fawns and increase mortality of late-born fawns because
predators need time to develop a search image to prey on
vulnerable fawns during a birth pulse (Whittaker and
Lindzey 1999, Petroelje et al. 2014). Thus, birth characteristics and subsequent mortality are also influenced by habitat
and adult female body condition (Monteith et al. 2014,
Shallow et al. 2015).
Temporal (weather) characteristics, namely winter precipitation (i.e., during the season before parturition), summer
precipitation, and temperature can influence fawn mortality.
Precipitation can indirectly affect maternal condition and
subsequent fawn birth mass and mortality through forage
growth and quality (Lomas and Bender 2007, Monteith et al.
2014, Shallow et al. 2015). Additionally, summer ambient
temperatures can influence fawn mortality if exposure to
cold, wet weather occurs shortly after birth (Gilbert and
Raedeke 2004, Hurley et al. 2011).
Our objectives were to assess cause-specific mortality and
test predictions about how natural gas development, adult
female, fawn birth, and temporal characteristics influence
fawn mortality. We addressed these objectives in 2 study
areas, one with relatively low development activity and
another with relatively high development activity. We
predicted that predation would be the primary proximate
cause of fawn mortality and mortality would be higher in the
high versus low natural gas development study areas (because
there would be less cover and more fragmented habitat in the
high development area making fawns more vulnerable).
More specifically, we tested the predictions that fawn
mortality would be higher closer to producing well pads and
roads (because of less cover and increased mortality risk);
higher for younger and lighter fawns (because of their
reduced ability to evade predators and reduced vigor); and
higher for late-born (because of a decreased growth rate),
male (because they are more active), and twin fawns (because
they would likely have lower mass and be more active). We
also predicted mortality would be higher for fawns produced
by females with decreased rump fat thickness (i.e., body
The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�condition) and younger (�3.5 years old) females because they
would likely have poor rearing skills. Further, we predicted
that increased previous winter precipitation, and decreased
summer precipitation, and temperature would increase fawn
mortality because of decreased body condition, decreased
forage and cover, and increased thermoregulation, respectively. Ultimately, we hypothesized that natural gas
development would negatively influence mule deer fawn
mortality because of changes in behavior and habitat
structure modification (e.g., fragmentation, removal of
concealment cover).

STUDY AREA
During 2012–2014, we examined fawn mortality in the
Piceance Basin, northwest Colorado, USA (39.7898 N,
�108.3298 W and 40.0918 N, �108.1418 W). Dominant
human activity in the area included natural gas extraction,
ranching, and hunting during the fall. The area varied
topographically, ranging from drainage bottoms that have
been converted to irrigated, grass fields to moderately steep
canyons and high mountains. Large herbivores in the
Piceance Basin included mule deer, elk (Cervus canadensis),
cattle, and wild horses. Predators included the black bear
(Ursus americanus), bobcat (Lynx rufus), cougar (Puma
concolor), coyote (Canis latrans), golden eagle (Aquila
chrysaetos), and bald eagle (Haliaeetus leucocephalus).
Our winter range study area included 4 study units in the
Piceance Basin (Fig. 1) that were part of a larger research
project (Anderson 2016). Deer occupied 2 winter range
study units with relatively high levels of natural gas
development (0.60–0.90 well pads/km2) and 2 winter range

study units with low levels of development (0–0.10 well
pads/km2). Average deer density ranged from 8.60–9.30
deer/km2 and 10.10–19.30 deer/km2 on the high and low
development winter range units, respectively (Anderson
2016). Predator density in the study units was unknown.
The winter range area was dominated by two-needle pinyon
pine (Pinus edulis) and Utah juniper (Juniperus osteosperma)
woodlands and mountain shrublands. Winter study unit
elevations ranged from 1,860 m to 2,250 m. During our
study, winter (Oct–Apr; Hurley et al. 2011) precipitation
averaged 22.4 cm and mean winter temperatures ranged
from �148 C to 148 C at the Rifle 23 NW weather station
(National Climatic Data Center 2015; Fig. 1).
Deer from winter range units with high levels of natural gas
development generally migrated to the Roan Plateau
summer range (Lendrum et al. 2013) where deer potentially
encountered natural gas development (0.04–0.06 well pads/
km2; Fig. 1). Hereafter we refer to deer inhabiting the winter
and summer range study units with relatively high levels of
development as being in the high development study area.
Deer from winter range units with low levels of natural gas
development generally migrated towards the Flat Tops
Wilderness Area summer range (Lendrum et al. 2013) and
encountered minimal natural gas development (0–0.01 well
pads/km2; Fig. 1). Hereafter we refer to deer inhabiting the
winter and summer range study units with relatively low
levels of development as being in the low development study
area. Summer range for both groups of deer were dominated
by Gambel oak (Quercus gambelii), quaking aspen (Populus
tremuloides), two-needle pinyon pine, Utah juniper, and
mountain shrublands. Dominant vegetation types were

Figure 1. Mule deer winter and summer range study areas and National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) weather stations in the Piceance Basin, Colorado,
USA, 2012–2014.
Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

1137

�interspersed with Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii),
Engelmann spruce (Picea engelmannii), and subalpine fir
(Abies lasiocarpa) forests (Garrott et al. 1987). Shrubs, forbs,
and grasses common to the area are listed in Bartmann
(1983). Summer study unit elevations ranged from 1,900 m
to 3,150 m. During our study, summer (May–Sep) precipitation averaged 20.3 cm and mean summer temperatures
ranged from 28 C to 318 C at the Rifle 23 NW or Hunter
Creek weather station (Fig. 1) depending on available
weather data (National Climatic Data Center 2015). The
summer period encompassed the growing season of the area.

METHODS
Capture and Handling
During December 2011–2013, a helicopter crew captured
adult (�1.5 years old) female mule deer in each of the 4
winter range study units using a net gun (Webb et al. 2008,
Jacques et al. 2009). The helicopter crew blindfolded and
hobbled deer, and chemically sedated them with 0.5 mg/kg
of Midazolam and 0.25 mg/kg of Azaperone given intramuscularly. For each captured deer, we estimated age by
examining tooth wear (Robinette et al. 1957). We fit each
captured deer with a global positioning system (GPS) radiocollar (Model G2110D, Advanced Telemetry Systems,
Isanti, MN, USA). We used ultrasonography to measure
thickness of subcutaneous rump fat for each adult female
using a portable ultrasound machine (Cook et al. 2001,
Stephenson et al. 2002).
During March 2012–2014, a helicopter crew recaptured
radio-collared adult females on winter ranges using
helicopter net gunning. We recorded rump fat thickness
as described above and performed transabdominal ultrasonography to determine pregnancy status and in utero fetal
count (Bishop et al. 2007). If an adult female was pregnant,
we inserted a vaginal implant transmitter (VIT; Model
M3930, Advanced Telemetry Systems) following VIT
insertion procedures described in detail by Bishop et al.
(2011) and Peterson (2016).
During parturition (late May–mid-Jul), we monitored
radio-collar and VIT signals daily from a fixed-wing aircraft.
Once VITs were expelled, ground crews used radiotelemetry to simultaneously locate the radio-collared female
and VIT and searched for fawns and a birth site near
(�400 m) the female and expelled VIT for up to 1 hour.
Crews identified birth sites based on detection of fawns and
VIT at a birth site or by characteristics known to typify mule
deer birth sites (Barbknecht et al. 2011, Bishop et al. 2011,
Rearden et al. 2011).
During 2012 and 2013, ground crews captured fawns by
hand and located birth sites in the high and low development
study areas. During 2014 crews captured fawns and located
birth sites predominantly in the high development study
areas and sporadically in the low development study areas
because VIT photo sensors malfunctioned. We focused our
effort in the high development areas because it was
logistically more difficult to monitor deer from the ground
and capture fawns in the low development areas because of
1138

the spatial distribution of deer and land access issues. Crews
handled each captured fawn with nitrile gloves, blindfolded
them, and placed them in a cotton bag to measure body mass
(�0.10 kg). Crews measured hind foot length (�0.50 cm),
sexed each fawn, and estimated age primarily based on VIT
expulsion date and secondarily based on hoof characteristics,
condition of the umbilical cord, pelage, and behavior
(Haugen and Speake 1958, Sams et al. 1996). Crews fit
each fawn with a very high frequency radio-collar (Model
M4210, Advanced Telemetry Systems) equipped with an
8-hour mortality sensor. Crews modified radio-collars for
temporary attachment by cutting the collar in half and
splicing the ends with 2 lengths of rubber surgical tubing
(5.7 cm each) that deteriorated over time, eventually allowing
the collar to fall off. All capture, handling, radio-collaring,
and VIT insertion procedures were approved by the
Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee at Colorado
Parks and Wildlife (protocol numbers 17-2008 and 01-2012)
and followed guidelines of the American Society of
Mammalogists (Sikes et al. 2016).
Fawn Monitoring and Cause-Specific Mortality
We monitored radio-collared fawns from a fixed-wing
aircraft daily during the parturition period, weekly until deer
migrated from summer range, and daily from the ground
when deer arrived on winter range. We monitored radiocollared fawns from birth until death, until collars were shed,
or until the end of the fawn survival period of interest (i.e.,
0–6 months old) on 15 December 2012, 2013, or 2014. Daily
monitoring during the parturition period, when a majority of
mortalities occurred, allowed us to investigate mortalities
typically within 24 hour; thus, we classified causes of death as
proximate and not ultimate. When we detected a mortality
signal, ground crews located the fawn or radio-collar and
conducted a mortality site investigation and field necropsy, if
possible, to determine cause-specific mortality or scavenging.
During the mortality site investigation, crews documented
GPS coordinates of the site, predator tracks, predator scat,
drag trails, blood, hair, and any other signs (e.g., matted
vegetation or broken shrub branches) that could help
determine cause-specific mortality or scavenging (Stonehouse et al. 2016). During the field necropsy, crews
documented position of carcass, presence of tooth marks
and distance between canines, and presence of hemorrhaging, bruising, and fractures. Crews used predation site
characteristics and signs of predatory feeding (e.g., canine
spacing) reported in the literature to help assign a specific
predator (White 1973, Wade and Bowns 1982, Stonehouse
et al. 2016). However, there will always be uncertainty in
assigning cause of death unless a mortality event was
witnessed firsthand, which is extremely rare. Thus, we
identified likely causes of death using the following
descriptions of predation site characteristics and predatory
feeding behavior.
We classified proximate causes of mortality into the
following categories: black bear predation, bobcat predation,
cougar predation, coyote predation, raptor predation,
unknown predation, malnutrition, and unknown mortality.
The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�We identified black bear predation based on characteristic
canine punctures; massive hemorrhaging around neck, top of
cranium, or tops of shoulder; bruising on hind legs; crushed
ribs; blood in nose and mouth; hide peeled back to head; bear
hair, scat, or tracks; and bear beds typified by a large area of
flattened vegetation surrounding a carcass. We identified
bobcat and cougar predation based on characteristic canine
punctures; hemorrhaging on the back or side of neck or base
of skull; broken neck; claw marks on neck or back of
shoulders; plucked hair; cached carcass; drag trail marks to a
cache site; and felid hair, scat, or tracks. We identified coyote
predation based on characteristic canine punctures;
hemorrhaging on the neck, throat, or cranium; torn tissue
on hind legs; canid hair, scat, or tracks; signs indicating a
chase or struggle; blood scattered across the ground or
vegetation; patches of loose hair or torn pieces of hide; and
buried carcass. Carcasses of neonates killed by coyotes
occasionally consisted of detached portions scattered across
the site, but we did not rely on this observation alone to
confirm coyote predation. We identified raptor predation
based on deep penetrating talon wounds in a triangular
pattern, an intact carcass, and raptor feathers, scat, or tracks.
We identified malnutrition based on an intact carcass with
minimal or no fat deposits on the heart and kidneys (Kistner
et al. 1980) and femur marrow fat (Cheatum 1949) and no
sign of predation, hemorrhaging, disease, or injury.
Unknown mortality included cases where we could not
attribute death to predation or malnutrition.
Mule Deer Core Area Estimation
We programmed radio-collars deployed on adult females to
release 16 months post-capture. We retrieved collars once
released or from mortality sites, and downloaded GPS data
following collar recovery. Using helicopter net gunning to
capture deer can potentially influence mule deer behavior
(Northrup et al. 2014); thus, we censored location data for
4 days following capture. Deer migrate between winter and
summer range in this area; thus, we classified winter range
locations as those occurring from post-capture to departure
from winter range and summer range locations as those
occurring from arrival to departure or date of fawn death. We
determined departure from winter or summer range as the
first location outside the winter or summer range for each
female and arrival on summer range as the first location
inside summer range for each female. To determine
migration patterns, we derived 95% kernel density estimates
of winter and summer range for each adult female using the
Geospatial Modeling Environment (Beyer 2012). We also
derived 50% kernel density estimates of core areas and
centroids for each adult female on winter and summer ranges
using the Geospatial Modeling Environment (Beyer 2012).
Multi-State Mark-Recapture Mortality Analyses and
Model Set
We analyzed apparent daily mortality probability from
parturition until 15 December 2012–2014 using a multistate model (Brownie et al. 1993, Lebreton et al. 2009) as
implemented in Program MARK (White and Burnham
1999, White et al. 2006). We considered our encounter data
Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

to be in 1 of 5 states represented by alive in the high
development study areas (H), alive in the low development
study areas (L), death by predation (K), death by
malnutrition (M), or death by unknown mortality
(U; Fig. 2). In addition, we assigned each encounter history
to 1 of 3 groups represented by 2012, 2013, or 2014.
Multi-state models estimate 3 parameters including survival
(S), detection (p), and transition probabilities (Lebreton et al.
2009). In our case, we modeled alive and dead states and
estimated apparent mortality rates as the transition probability
�
^ from an alive to a dead state (Lebreton and Pradel 2002,
c
Devineau et al. 2010). Specifically, we modeled transitions
from alive in the high or low development study areas to death
by
malnutrition, or unknown
mortality
� HKpredation,
�
HM
HU
LK
LM
LU
^
^
^
^
^
^
c ; c ; c ; c ; c ; c ; Fig: 2 . Because survival is the complement of mortality and we estimated
mortality with the transition probabilities, we fixed survival
�
�
rates in the high S H and low S L development area,
�
�
predation S K , malnutrition S M , and unknown mortality
�
S U states to 1 (Devineau et al. 2010, 2014). Transitions from
a dead to an alive state or a dead to a dead state could not happen
and we fixed those parameters to zero. In addition, transitions
from an alive state in the high development areas to an alive
state in the low development areas did not occur and we fixed
those parameters to zero. We defined detection probability as
the probability that a radio-collared fawn was detected in an
alive or mortality state during each monitoring survey.
We modeled mortality probability as a function of winter
range development, summer range development, adult
female, fawn birth, and temporal covariates that we predicted
would influence mule deer fawn mortality based on previous
mule deer studies (Pojar and Bowden 2004, Bishop et al.
2009, Hurley et al. 2011, Monteith et al. 2014). Winter and
summer range development covariates included the mean
distance (km) from the centroid of an adult female’s core area
to the nearest drilling well pad, producing well pad (http://
cogcc.state.co.us), or road. We classified each well in the high
and low development winter and summer ranges as either
being drilled or producing natural gas using a procedure
described in Northrup et al. (2015). Using the classified well
pad data, we calculated mean daily distance (km) from the
centroid of each female’s core area to the nearest drilling and
producing well pad on their specific winter and summer
range study areas. We fit models using a distance threshold
model structure (i.e., data truncated beyond a maximum
distance) that accounted for distances that have been shown
to illicit behavioral responses by adult female deer in this
study area (Northrup et al. 2015). Specifically, we truncated
data beyond 0.80 km from a drilling well pad and beyond
0.40 km from a producing well pad because these distances
can alter habitat selection patterns of deer (Northrup et al.
2015). We also created a road network map by digitizing all
roads visible on 2013 National Agricultural Imagery
Program imagery and calculated mean distance (km) from
the centroid of each female’s core area to the nearest road on
their specific winter and summer range study areas. Because
1139

�Figure 2. Multi-state model schematic representing alive and dead states for mule deer fawns in the Piceance Basin, Colorado, USA, 2012–2014. Fawns
transitioned from high (H) or low (L) development study areas to a cause-specific death by predation (K), malnutrition (M), or unknown mortality (U) state
�
�
cHK ; cHM ; cHU ; cLK ; cLM ; or cLU . Fawns remained in an alive cHH ; cLL state or were absorbed in a cause-specific death by predation, malnutrition,
�
KK
MM
UU
state. Fawns were captured at �3 days old and recaptured in an alive state or cause-specific death state
or unknown mortality c ; c ; or c
�
pH ; pL ; pK ; pM ; or pU .

development is dynamic, with wells transitioning between
drilling and producing, we averaged distances from a female’s
core area to well pads. We calculated distance based on a
female’s daily status from the capture date to departure from
winter range for winter range development covariates using
the R statistical software (R Core Team 2015). We
calculated distance from summer range development
covariates on a fawn’s date of birth.
Adult female-specific covariates included rump fat thickness (mm) of females measured in March, in utero fetal count
documented in March, and female age estimated in
December. Fawn-specific covariates included age (days
old), estimated mass at birth (kg), Julian date of birth,
and sex (Bishop et al. 2009, Hurley et al. 2011, Monteith
et al. 2014). We incorporated fawn age into models by fitting
a model that allowed transition probabilities to vary by an age
trend from 0–14 days old and constant thereafter. Because we
did not capture individuals at birth, we estimated fawn mass
at birth by regressing fawn capture mass as a function of age
for each year separately (Bishop et al. 2008, 2009) using a
linear model in the R statistical software. We represented
Julian date of birth as the number of days following the
earliest detected birth in each year.
Temporal covariates included total precipitation (cm) during
the previous winter season before parturition (1 Oct–30 Apr),
daily precipitation (cm) and daily temperature (8C) during the
parturition period, and the 7-day average of precipitation and
temperature after the parturition period until 15 December
(Hurley et al. 2011, Monteith et al. 2014). Prior to modeling,
1140

we calculated a pairwise correlation matrix to test for
collinearity among covariates (|r| � 0.60) and retained the
more biologically plausible covariate if 2 covariates were
correlated. We calculated mean, standard deviation, and range
of all continuous variables included in multi-state models
(Appendix A).
We used a 2-stage modeling approach to assess covariate
importance and used stage 1 to identify and exclude
unsupported covariates from stage 2 (Arnold 2010; Monteith
et al. 2011, 2014). For stage 1, we conducted separate
mortality analyses for winter range development, summer
range development, adult female, fawn birth, or temporal
covariates while holding detection probabilities constant. We
also ran a separate analysis where we modeled detection
probability as a function of year and migration (i.e., different
probability before and after autumn migration) while
holding transition probabilities constant. Because of memory
limitations in Program MARK, we fit all possible
combinations of additive models (Doherty et al. 2010)
with a maximum of 6 winter range development, 3 summer
range development, 4 adult female, 3 fawn, and 4 temporal
covariates (Tables S1–S5, available online in Supporting
Information). For the detection probability analysis, we fit all
possible combinations of additive and interactive models
(Doherty et al. 2010, Table S6). For each analysis, we
calculated the sum of Akaike’s Information Criterion
adjusted for small sample size (AICc) weights for models
containing each covariate of interest (Burnham and
Anderson 2002). We considered covariates with a cumulative
The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�AICc weight �0.50 as important (Barbieri and Berger 2004)
and retained these variable for stage 2 of model selection
(Appendix B).
For stage 2 of model selection, we fit all possible
combinations of additive models (Doherty et al. 2010,
Table S7) and calculated cumulative quasi-likelihood using
Akaike’s Information Criterion adjusted for small sample
size (QAICc) weights to help identify important variables
(Burnham and Anderson 2002). Following suggestions of
Barbieri and Berger (2004), we constructed a prediction
model that contained all covariates with a cumulative QAICc
weight �0.50. Unless otherwise noted, we used the
prediction model when presenting estimates.
We attempted to capture and radio-collar all fawns
documented in utero for each radio-collared adult female.
This potentially caused overdispersion because of sibling
dependence; thus, we followed methods described by Bishop
et al. (2008) to test for overdispersion ð^c Þ. We conducted a
bootstrap analysis in Program MARK by resampling litters
of adult females (n ¼ 117) instead of individual fawns
(n ¼ 183) to generate 1,000 replicates (Bishop et al. 2008).
We used the most parametrized model from stage 2 of model
selection described above for the bootstrap and calculated the
mean and standard deviation for each of the 1,000 mortality
estimates using mean covariate values. The dependence
among litters is reflected in the standard deviation of the
mortality estimates and yielded an empirical sampling
variance estimate. We estimated overdispersion by dividing
the empirical (i.e., bootstrap) estimate of standard deviation
by the theoretical (i.e., observed) standard error from the
mortality estimate of the top model. If the estimate of ð^c Þ was
&gt;1.00, we adjusted ð^c Þ in Program MARK and calculated
QAICc weights (Burnham and Anderson 2002).

RESULTS
During March 2012–2014, we inserted VITs in 331
pregnant females. During 29 May–30 June 2012–2014,

we captured and radio-collared 128 (2012, n ¼ 61; 2013,
n ¼ 33; 2014, n ¼ 34) and 56 fawns (2012, n ¼ 20; 2013,
n ¼ 31; 2014, n ¼ 5) in the high and low development study
areas, respectively. We captured fawns from 85 (43 or 42
with 1 or 2 collared fawns) and 33 (21, 11, or 1 with 1, 2, or 3
collared fawn) females in the high and low development
study areas, respectively. In the high and low development
study areas, mortality was attributed to black bear predation
(n ¼ 17 and 5), cougar predation (n ¼ 9 and 6), coyote
predation (n ¼ 10 and 1), bobcat predation (n ¼ 1 and 4),
felid predation (n ¼ 3 and 1), raptor predation (n ¼ 1 and 0),
unknown predation (n ¼ 18 and 5), malnutrition (n ¼ 4 and
3), vehicle (n ¼ 1 and 0), and unknown mortality (n ¼ 13 and
5). We censored 3 fawns from the mortality analyses because
their deaths were related to capture and right-censored 12
additional fawns during the study because of prematurely
shed radio-collars.
Cause-Specific Mortality of Fawns
We estimated ð^c Þ as 1.04 � 0.15 (SE) and assessed relative
importance of each covariate for predicting probability of
predation using cumulative QAICc weights (Table 1). Rump
fat thickness of adult females, distance (0–0.40 km) an adult
female’s core area was from a producing well pad on winter or
summer range, and a 14-day fawn age trend and constant
thereafter all had a cumulative QAICc weight &gt; 0.50
(Table 1), suggesting support for influencing predation of
fawns. The daily predation probability of fawns increased as
^ ¼ 0.20, 95% CI
female rump fat thickness increased (b
¼ 0.07 to 0.32). In addition, predation of fawns decreased as
the distance from a female’s core area to a producing well pad
^ ¼ �2.14, 95% CI ¼ �4.21 to �0.06) or
on winter (b
^
summer (b ¼ �6.22, 95% CI ¼ �10.59 to �1.84; Fig. 3)
range increased from 0–0.40 km, and decreased as fawn age
^ ¼ �0.05, 95% CI ¼ �0.10
increased from 0–14 days old (b
to �0.01). Overall, predation was the leading cause of fawn
mortality in both areas and mean daily predation probability

Table 1. Cumulative weights for quasi-likelihood Akaike’s Information Criterion adjusted for small sample size (QAICc), for all variables included in the
second stage of analysis of mule deer fawn mortality in the Piceance Basin, Colorado,
were probability of transitioning from an
� USA, 2012–2014. Parameters
�
alive state in the high or low development study areas to a death by predation c:K or malnutrition c:M state and detection probability (p). We considered
cumulative weights &gt;0.50 to be important.
Parameter
Predation c

�
:K

Malnutrition c:M

�

Detection probability (p)

a

Covariatea

Cumulative QAICc weight

Rump fat
Summer distance to well pad
Fawn age 0–14 days old
Winter distance to well pad
Temperature
Fawn age 0–14 days old
Winter distance to road
Temperature
Year
Migration
Year � migration

0.96
0.89
0.71
0.68
0.41
0.88
0.68
0.61
1.00
1.00
1.00

Covariates include rump fat thickness (mm) of adult females measured in March (rump fat), distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on summer range
with data truncated beyond 0.40 km (summer distance to well pad), fawn age trend from 0–14 days old and constant thereafter (fawn age 0–14 days old),
distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on winter range with data truncated beyond 0.40 km (winter distance to well pad), daily temperature (8C)
during the parturition period and 7-day average of temperature after the parturition period until 15 December (temperature), distance (km) from nearest road
on winter range (winter distance to road), each year of the study (year), and before and after autumn migration (migration).

Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

1141

�DISCUSSION

Figure 3. Estimated daily predation probability (�95% CI) of mule deer
fawns as a function of distance an adult female’s core area was from a
producing well pad on summer range in the high and low development study
areas in the Piceance Basin, Colorado, USA, 2012–2014.

of fawns was similar between the high and low development
areas ranging from 0.011 � 0.003 to 0.012 � 0.002 (Fig. 4).
We also assessed relative importance of each covariate for
predicting probability of death by malnutrition using
cumulative QAICc weights (Table 1). A 14-day fawn age
trend and constant thereafter, distance an adult female’s core
area was from a road on winter range, and temperature all
had a cumulative QAICc weight &gt; 0.50 (Table 1), suggesting
support for influencing death by malnutrition. The daily
probability of death by malnutrition decreased as fawn age
^ ¼ �0.18, 95% CI ¼ �0.36
increased from 0–14 days old (b
to 0.01), increased as the distance from a female’s core area to
^ ¼ 2.17, 95% CI ¼ 0.35 to
a road on winter range increased (b
^ ¼ �0.12,
4.00), and decreased as temperature increased (b
95% CI ¼ �0.25 to 0.01), but this covariate was weakly
supported. Overall, mean daily probability of death by
malnutrition was the same between the high and low
development areas ranging from 0.001 � 0.001 to
0.002 � 0.003 (Fig. 4). Lastly, variation in detection
probability was best explained by an interaction between
year and an autumn migration effect (cumulative QAICc
weight ¼ 1.00; Table 1). Detection probability ranged from
0.93 � 0.01 to 0.99 � 0.003 before migration and from
0.52 � 0.04 to 0.81 � 0.04 after migration (Table 2).

Figure 4. Mean daily probability of death by predation, malnutrition, or
unknown mortality (�95% CI) of mule deer fawns from 0–6 months old in
the high and low development study areas in the Piceance Basin, Colorado,
USA, 2012–2014.

1142

Contrary to our prediction, predation of fawns was similar
between the high and low development areas, indicating that
at the investigated intensity of development, the resulting
landscape modification did not appear to influence predation
risk to fawns. However, well pad densities and development
activity thresholds were relatively low during our study and
thus might be below levels that could strongly influence
predator-prey relationships. Directional drilling (i.e., drilling
multiple wells from 1 well pad) in the Piceance Basin resulted
in low to moderate well pad densities relative to coal-bed
methane development in Wyoming (Sawyer et al. 2013) and
the most disruptive phase of development, drilling of wells,
was minimal during our study. Thus, the influence of
development on predation of fawns may be stronger with
higher intensity (e.g., coalbed methane) development and
increased drilling activity. Ultimately, true before-aftercontrol-impact studies (Manly 2001) are needed in areas
with moderate to intense well pad density and drilling
activity to better understand the effects of natural gas
development on fawn mortality at higher activity levels.
Predation was the primary cause of mule deer fawn
mortality in the high and low development areas but
decreased as fawn age increased from 0–14 days old.
However, the dominant predator varied by study area, with
black bear predation the leading cause of fawn mortality in
the high development areas (22% of all mortalities)
compared to cougar predation in the low development areas
(36% of all mortalities). Fawns �14 days old rely on a hiding
strategy with cryptic coloration and sedentary behavior to
minimize predation risk (Walther 1965, Lent 1974, Geist
1981). Consequently, an annual birth pulse of fawns provides
predators with an eruption of vulnerable prey after predators
develop a search image (Whittaker and Lindzey 1999, Testa
2002, Petroelje et al. 2014). Bears prey on mule deer fawns
during the first few weeks after birth when fawns are most
vulnerable (Monteith et al. 2014, Marescot et al. 2015,
Shallow et al. 2015), but hiding cover can reduce predation
(Panzacchi et al. 2010, Shallow et al. 2015). Patchy habitat
further fragmented by development possibly contributes to
reduced hiding cover or increased edge effects (e.g., abrupt
change in habitat between treed and open areas) in the high
development area, leading to increased predation. However,
our results suggest that predation of fawns was similar
between the high and low development areas. Our result of
age-specific vulnerability to predation is similar to other
studies examining mortality of mule deer fawns (Bishop et al.
2009, Hurley et al. 2011, Monteith et al. 2014, Shallow et al.
2015). In contrast to our results, coyote predation
(Whittaker and Lindzey 1999, Bishop et al. 2009, Hurley
et al. 2011) or malnutrition (Pojar and Bowden 2004, Lomas
and Bender 2007) has been reported to be the primary cause
of fawn mortality in other studies.
Of note, we monitored fawns weekly instead of daily after
mid-July. Weekly surveys increased the time between field
necropsies and increased the likelihood of unknown mortality.
Consequently, we suspect many unknown mortalities of fawns

The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�Table 2. Estimated detection probability before (psummer) and after autumn migration (pwinter), associated standard error (SE), and upper and lower 95%
confidence limits (CL) of mule deer fawns in the Piceance Basin, Colorado, USA, 2012–2014.
Year

Parameter

2012
2012
2013
2013
2014
2014

psummer
pwinter
psummer
pwinter
psummer
pwinter

Estimate

SE

Lower 95% CL

Upper 95% CL

0.95
0.56
0.99
0.52
0.93
0.81

0.01
0.04
0.003
0.04
0.01
0.04

0.94
0.48
0.98
0.43
0.91
0.72

0.96
0.64
0.99
0.60
0.95
0.88

during the daily period (22%) were from predation, particularly
by bears when fawns were &lt;4 weeks old, because the fawns had
reduced mobility (Steigers and Flinders 1980, Riley and Dood
1984). More mortalities were attributed to unknown causes
during the weekly monitoring period (66%) than the daily
monitoring period (23%), but some mortality events might
have been from cougar predation when fawns were &gt;4 weeks
old as fawns increase activity with limited agility to evade
predators (Riley and Dood 1984, Lingle and Pellis 2002). Bear
predation likely declined during weekly surveys, but felid and
coyote predation may have been similar to that observed during
daily surveys.
Although we did not see an overall influence of
development on predation of fawns, predation of fawns
was negatively correlated with the distance from a female’s
core area to a producing well pad on winter or summer range
as predicted. Deer can temporarily alter their behavior to use
habitat closer to producing well pads during the night
(Northrup et al. 2015), which is speculated to provide
foraging benefits (Webb et al. 2011b, Lendrum et al. 2012).
Deer foraging in openings closer to producing well pads and
associated pipelines could positively influence maternal
nutrition and condition and subsequently the birth mass
and growth rate of fawns (Lomas and Bender 2007,
Monteith et al. 2014, Shallow et al. 2015). However,
foraging in openings can increase predation risk of hiding
fawns (Rearden et al. 2011) in sparse cover, especially at
night when deer are primarily feeding and predators are
generally active (Rogers 1970, Anderson and Lindzey 2003).
Thus, habitat closer to producing well pads could be
beneficial for adult female condition, but detrimental to
fawns, especially at night. However, deer reduce habitat
selection in this area within 200 m of producing well pads at
night on winter range (Northrup et al. 2015), potentially
limiting access to refuge from predators. Whether similar
behavioral processes or other unknown processes influence
fawn mortality near producing well pads on summer range is
unknown, but we presume the process is different on summer
range in our study system. Thus, we recommend continued
monitoring across a range of different development scenarios
(e.g., development intensity and drilling activity) to better
understand the effects of natural gas development on fawn
mortality.
We recognize that our study design was unbalanced, but
this fact was unavoidable because of VIT failures during 2014
and the unpredictability of capturing wildlife over large areas.
The unbalanced design could potentially influence our
interpretation of results and we accounted for this issue.
Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

Varied sample sizes between the areas was accounted for in
the variance around estimates (Fig. 4). A model with no
difference between the areas ranked higher than a model
with a difference, but the high development area with a large
sample size could have overwhelmed the low development
area with a smaller sample size. Thus, we acknowledge that
our results might have been different if we had a balanced
study design and larger sample sizes.
Contrary to our prediction, rump fat thickness of adult
females was positively correlated with predation of fawns.
Poor nutritional condition of maternal females contributes
to lower birth mass (Robinette et al. 1973), which inhibits
fawn growth (Tollefson et al. 2011, Shallow et al. 2015) and
increases fawn mortality (Bishop et al. 2009, Hurley et al.
2011, Monteith et al. 2014). However, ad libitum nutrition
supplementation only marginally decreases fawn mortality
(Bishop et al. 2009). Further, female condition may have
limited influence on early fawn survival as some predation
of vulnerable fawns (&lt;28 days old) is expected regardless of
maternal condition (Hamlin et al. 1984, Ballard et al. 2001)
and others suggest the influence of maternal condition on
fawn mortality primarily occurs when lactation demands
increase (�28 days old; Monteith et al. 2014). Our finding
is counterintuitive to previous studies and there is a
plausible biological explanation for our unexpected result.
Specifically, female condition may be related to past
reproductive success (i.e., fawn recruitment) whereby
females exhibiting reduced condition may be indicative
of continuous reproductive success when compared to
females exhibiting improved condition and potentially
intermittent reproductive success (Monteith et al. 2013,
Bergman et al. 2018). Unfortunately, we were unable to test
this hypothesis because we did not capture and monitor the
same females each year. However, a longitudinal study
reported survival of juvenile elk was higher in females with
lower body condition in spring (D. A. Clark, Oregon
Department of Fish and Wildlife, unpublished data). A post
hoc analysis suggested that elk with continuous reproductive
success might explain this relationship compared to females
with intermittent reproductive success (D. A. Clark,
unpublished data).
Past research suggests birth mass contributes to increased
mortality in mule deer (Bishop et al. 2009, Monteith et al.
2014, Shallow et al. 2015) because lighter fawns are likely to die
from malnutrition and fawns &lt;2.50 kg at birth are nonviable
(Lomas and Bender 2007). However, our findings suggest
birth mass did not influence fawn mortality (Appendix B) and
there are possible reasons for this contradictory result. First,
1143

�mild winters may have contributed to high forage availability
for adult females and subsequently increased birth mass.
Second, adult female body condition and December fawn mass
suggest that most deer were not nutritionally stressed or
limited by habitat on winter range in the Piceance Basin during
this study (Anderson 2016). Lastly, deer populations in the
high and low development area winter ranges have been
increasing since 2009 (Anderson 2016) and reproductive
parameters (e.g., pregnancy rate and in utero fetal count) were
similar between the 2 areas (Peterson et al. 2017). This finding
suggests the populations are below carrying capacity. Future
studies should explicitly quantify forage availability and quality
and hiding cover. The influence of these factors on maternal
body condition and subsequently fawn mass should also be
quantified to fully comprehend the influence of development
on fawn mortality.

MANAGEMENT IMPLICATIONS
At the intensity and activity we observed, and under the
environmental conditions acting during our study, natural
gas development did not appear to influence fawn mortality
overall. However, there might have been effects to deer when
closer to producing well pads. These results indicate that
under these conditions, development and mule deer might be
compatible, requiring no major management action. Managers should be aware of how habitat characteristics and
fragmentation associated with development may influence
predation of fawns under different conditions. Our results
suggest that maintaining development activity thresholds at
the levels we observed will guard against potential negative
effects. Our threshold values could be used as potential
guidelines until further research clarifies the relationship
between weather and higher development thresholds. We
caution that higher development intensity and drilling
activity in flatter, less rugged areas could influence fawn
mortality. Managers should maintain low development
densities in areas where topography and vegetation offer
less concealment.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
L. L. Wolfe, E. J. Bergman, and C. J. Bishop assisted with
ultrasonography and VIT insertion. We thank numerous
field technicians, personnel from Colorado Parks and
Wildlife Area 6, and volunteers for project coordination and
conducting field work. Fixed wing pilots L. L. Gepfert and
L. A. Coulter provided assistance with aerial telemetry
flights and Quicksilver Air assisted with deer captures. E. J.
Bergman, C. J. Bishop, C. N. Jacques, A. W. Maki, P. J.
Meiman, D. W. Tripp, G. Wittemyer, and 4 anonymous
referees improved the manuscript through constructive
reviews. Project funding was provided by Colorado Parks
and Wildlife, Exxon Mobil Production/XTO Energy,
Williams/WPX Energy, Shell Exploration and Production,
EnCana Corporation, Marathon Oil Corporation, Federal
Aid in Wildlife Restoration, the Colorado Mule Deer
Foundation, the Colorado Mule Deer Association, the
Boone and Crockett Club, Colorado Chapter of the
Wildlife Society, and the Colorado State Severance Tax.
1144

LITERATURE CITED
Anderson, C. R. Jr. 2016. Population performance of Piceance Basin mule
deer in response to natural gas resource extraction and mitigation efforts to
address human activity and habitat degradation. Federal Aid in Wildlife
Restoration Job Progress Report W-185-R, Colorado Parks and Wildlife,
Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.
Anderson, C. R. Jr., and F. G. Lindzey. 2003. Estimating cougar predation
rates from GPS location clusters. Journal of Wildlife Management
67:307–316.
Arnold, T. W. 2010. Uninformative parameters and model selection using
Akaike’s Information Criterion. Journal of Wildlife Management
74:1175–1178.
Ballard, W. B., D. Lutz, T. W. Keegan, L. H. Carpenter, and J. C. deVos.
2001. Deer-predator relationships: a review of recent North American
studies with emphasis on mule and black-tailed deer. Wildlife Society
Bulletin 29:99–115.
Barbieri, M. M., and J. O. Berger. 2004. Optimal predictive model selection.
Annals of Statistics 32:870–897.
Barbknecht, A. E., W. S. Fairbanks, J. D. Rogerson, E. J. Maichak, B. M.
Scurlock, and L. L. Meadows. 2011. Elk parturition site selection at local
and landscape scales. Journal of Wildlife Management 75:646–654.
Bartmann, R. M. 1983. Composition and quality of mule deer diets on
pinyon-juniper winter range, Colorado. Journal of Range Management
36:534–541.
Berger, J. 2007. Fear, human shields and the redistribution of prey and
predators in protected areas. Biology Letters 3:620–623.
Bergman, E. J., C. R. Anderson Jr., C. J. Bishop, A. A. Holland, and J. M.
Northrup. 2018. Variation in ungulate body fat: Individual versus
temporal effects. Journal of Wildlife Management 82:130–137.
Beyer, H. L. 2012. Geospatial modelling environment. Version 0.7.3.0.
http://www.spatialecology.com/gme. Accessed 22 Jul 2015.
Bishop, C. J., C. R. Anderson Jr., D. P. Walsh, E. J. Bergman, P. Kuechle,
and J. Roth. 2011. Effectiveness of a redesigned vaginal implant
transmitter in mule deer. Journal of Wildlife Management 75:1797–1806.
Bishop, C. J., D. J. Freddy, G. C. White, B. E. Watkins, T. R. Stephenson, and
L. L. Wolfe. 2007. Using vaginal implant transmitters to aid in capture of
mule deer neonates. Journal of Wildlife Management 71:945–954.
Bishop, C. J., G. C. White, D. J. Freddy, B. E. Watkins, and T. R.
Stephenson. 2009. Effect of enhanced nutrition on mule deer population
rate of change. Wildlife Monographs 172:1–28.
Bishop, C. J., G. C. White, and P. M. Lukacs. 2008. Evaluating dependence
among mule deer siblings in fetal and neonatal survival analyses. Journal of
Wildlife Management 72:1085–1093.
Brownie, C., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, K. H. Pollock, and J. B. Hestbeck.
1993. Capture-recapture studies for multiple strata including nonmarkovian transitions. Biometrics 49:1173–1187.
Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model selection and
multimodel inference a practical information-theoretic approach.
Springer, New York, New York, USA.
Cheatum, E. L. 1949. Bone marrow as an index of malnutrition in deer. NY
State Conservationist 3:19–22.
Christie, K. S., W. F. Jensen, J. H. Schmidt, and M. S. Boyce. 2015. Longterm changes in pronghorn abundance index linked to climate and oil
development in North Dakota. Biological Conservation 192:445–453.
Cook, J. G., B. K. Johnson, R. C. Cook, R. A. Riggs, T. Delcurto, L. D.
Bryant, and L. L. Irwin. 2004. Effects of summer-autumn nutrition and
parturition date on reproduction and survival of elk. Wildlife Monographs
155:1–61.
Cook, R. C., J. G. Cook, D. L. Murray, P. Zager, B. K. Johnson, and M. W.
Gratson. 2001. Development of predictive models of nutritional condition
for Rocky Mountain elk. Journal of Wildlife Management 65:973–987.
Devineau, O., W. L. Kendall, P. F. Doherty, T. M. Shenk, G. C. White,
P. M. Lukacs, and K. P. Burnham. 2014. Increased flexibility for modeling
telemetry and nest-survival data using the multistate framework. Journal of
Wildlife Management 78:224–230.
Devineau, O., T. M. Shenk, G. C. White, P. F. Doherty Jr., P. M. Lukacs,
and R. H. Kahn. 2010. Evaluating the Canada lynx reintroduction
programme in Colorado: patterns in mortality. Journal of Applied Ecology
47:524–531.
Doherty, P. F., G. C. White, and K. P. Burnham. 2010. Comparison of
model building and selection strategies. Journal of Ornithology
152(Supplement 2):S317–S323.

The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�Dussault, C., V. Pinard, J. P. Ouellet, R. Courtois, and D. Fortin. 2012.
Avoidance of roads and selection for recent cutovers by threatened caribou:
fitness-rewarding or maladaptive behaviour? Proceedings of the Royal
Society B-Biological Sciences 279:4481–4488.
Forrester, T. D., and H. U. Wittmer. 2013. A review of the population
dynamics of mule deer and black-tailed deer Odocoileus hemionus in North
America. Mammal Review 43:292–308.
Frid, A., and L. Dill. 2002. Human-caused disturbance stimuli as a form of
predation risk. Conservation Ecology 6:art11.
Gaillard, J. M., M. Festa-Bianchet, and N. G. Yoccoz. 1998. Population
dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult
survival. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 13:58–63.
Gaillard, J. M., M. Festa-Bianchet, N. G. Yoccoz, A. Loison, and C. Toigo.
2000. Temporal variation in fitness components and population dynamics
of large herbivores. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics
31:367–393.
Garrott, R. A., G. C. White, R. M. Bartmann, L. H. Carpenter, and A. W.
Alldredge. 1987. Movements of female mule deer in northwest Colorado.
Journal of Wildlife Management 51:634–643.
Geist, V. 1981. Behavior: adaptive strategies in mule deer. Pages 157–224. in
O. C. Wallmo, editor. Mule and black-tailed deer of North America.
University of Nebraska Press, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA.
Gilbert, B. A., and K. J. Raedeke. 2004. Recruitment dynamics of blacktailed deer in the western Cascades. Journal of Wildlife Management
68:120–128.
Grovenburg, T. W., J. A. Jenks, C. N. Jacques, R. W. Klaver, and C. C.
Swanson. 2009. Aggressive defensive behavior by free-ranging whitetailed deer. Journal of Mammalogy 90:1218–1223.
Grovenburg, T. W., K. L. Monteith, R. W. Klaver, and J. A. Jenks. 2012.
Predator evasion by white-tailed deer fawns. Animal Behaviour 84:59–65.
Hamlin, K. L., S. J. Riley, D. Pyrah, A. R. Dood, and R. J. Mackie. 1984.
Relationships among mule deer fawn mortality, coyotes, and alternate prey
species during summer. Journal of Wildlife Management 48:489–499.
Haugen, A. O., and D. W. Speake. 1958. Determining age of young fawn
white-tailed deer. Journal of Wildlife Management 22:319–321.
Hurley, M. A., J. W. Unsworth, P. Zager, M. Hebblewhite, E. O. Garton,
D. M. Montgomery, J. R. Skalski, and C. L. Maycock. 2011.
Demographic response of mule deer to experimental reduction of coyotes
and mountain lions in southeastern Idaho. Wildlife Monographs
178:1–33.
Jacques, C. N., J. A. Jenks, C. S. Deperno, J. D. Sievers, T. W. Grovenburg,
T. J. Brinkman, C. C. Swanson, and B. A. Stillings. 2009. Evaluating
ungulate mortality associated with helicopter net-gun captures in the
Northern Great Plains. Journal of Wildlife Management 73:1282–1291.
Johnson, H. E., J. R. Sushinsky, A. Holland, E. J. Bergman, T. Balzer, J.
Garner, and S. E. Reed. 2016. Increases in residential and energy
development are associated with reductions in recruitment for a large
ungulate. Global Change Biology 23:578–591.
Johnstone-Yellin, T. L., L. A. Shipley, W. L. Myers, and H. S. Robinson.
2009. To twin or not to twin? Trade-offs in litter size and fawn survival in
mule deer. Journal of Mammalogy 90:453–460.
Keech, M. A., R. T. Bowyer, J. M. Ver Hoef, R. D. Boertje, B. W. Dale, and
T. R. Stephenson. 2000. Life-history consequences of maternal condition
in Alaskan moose. Journal of Wildlife Management 64:450–462.
Kistner, T. P., C. E. Trainer, and N. A. Hartmann. 1980. A field technique
for evaluating physical condition of deer. Wildlife Society Bulletin
8:11–17.
Lebreton, J. D., J. D. Nichols, R. J. Barker, R. Pradel, and J. A. Spendelow.
2009. Modeling individual animal histories with multistate capturerecapture models. Advances in Ecological Research 41:87–173.
Lebreton, J. D., and R. Pradel. 2002. Multistate recapture models: modelling
incomplete individual histories. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:353–369.
Lendrum, P. E., C. R. Anderson Jr., R. A. Long, J. G. Kie, and R. T.
Bowyer. 2012. Habitat selection by mule deer during migration: effects of
landscape structure and natural-gas development. Ecosphere 3:art82.
Lendrum, P. E., C. R. Anderson Jr., K. L. Monteith, J. A. Jenks, and R. T.
Bowyer. 2013. Migrating mule deer: effects of anthropogenically altered
landscapes. PLoS ONE 8:e64548.
Lendrum, P. E., C. R. Anderson Jr., K. L. Monteith, J. A. Jenks, and R. T.
Bowyer. 2014. Relating the movement of a rapidly migrating ungulate to
spatiotemporal patterns of forage quality. Mammalian Biology 79:
369–375.

Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

Lent, P. C. 1974. Mother-infant relationship in ungulates. Pages 14–55 in
V. Geist, and F. R. Walther, editors. The behaviour of ungulates and its
relation to management. International Union for Conservation of Nature
and Natural Resources, Morges, Switzerland.
Lingle, S., and S. M. Pellis. 2002. Fight or flight? Antipredator behavior and
the escalation of coyote encounters with deer. Oecologia 131:154–164.
Lomas, L. A., and L. C. Bender. 2007. Survival and cause-specific mortality
of neonatal mule deer fawns, north-central New Mexico. Journal of
Wildlife Management 71:884–894.
Lynch, E., J. M. Northrup, M. F. McKenna, C. R. Anderson Jr., L.
Angeloni, and G. Wittemyer. 2014. Landscape and anthropogenic
features influence the use of auditory vigilance by mule deer. Behavioral
Ecology 26:75–82.
Manly, B. F. J. 2001. Statistics for environmental science and management.
Chapman &amp; Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Florida, USA.
Marescot, L., T. D. Forrester, D. S. Casady, and H. U. Wittmer. 2015.
Using multistate capture-mark-recapture models to quantify effects of
predation on age-specific survival and population growth in black-tailed
deer. Population Ecology 57:185–197.
Monteith, K. L., V. C. Bleich, T. R. Stephenson, B. M. Pierce, M. M.
Conner, J. G. Kie, and R. T. Bowyer. 2014. Life-history characteristics of
mule deer: effects of nutrition in a variable environment. Wildlife
Monographs 186:1–62.
Monteith, K. L., V. C. Bleich, T. R. Stephenson, B. M. Pierce, M. M.
Conner, R. W. Klaver, and R. T. Bowyer. 2011. Timing of seasonal
migration in mule deer: Effects of climate, plant phenology, and lifehistory characteristics. Ecosphere 2:art47.
Monteith, K. L., T. R. Stephenson, V. C. Bleich, M. M. Conner, B. M.
Pierce, R. T. Bowyer, and I. Montgomery. 2013. Risk-sensitive allocation
in seasonal dynamics of fat and protein reserves in a long-lived mammal.
Journal of Animal Ecology 82:377–388.
National Climatic Data Center. 2015. NOAA’s National Centers for
Environmental Information. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/. Accessed 23 Jan
2015.
Northrup, J. M., C. R. Anderson Jr., and G. Wittemyer. 2014. Effects of
helicopter capture and handling on movement behavior of mule deer.
Journal of Wildlife Management 78:731–738.
Northrup, J. M., C. R. Anderson Jr., and G. Wittemyer. 2015. Quantifying
spatial habitat loss from hydrocarbon development through assessing habitat
selection patterns of mule deer. Global Change Biology 21:3961–3970.
Northrup, J. M., C. R. Anderson Jr., and G. Wittemyer. 2016.
Environmental dynamics and anthropogenic development alter philopatry
and space-use in a North American cervid. Diversity and Distributions
22:547–557.
Ozoga, J. J., and L. J. Verme. 1986. Relation of maternal age to fawn-rearing
success in white-tailed deer. Journal of Wildlife Management 50:480–486.
Panzacchi, M., I. Herfindal, J. D. C. Linnell, M. Odden, J. Odden, and R.
Andersen. 2010. Trade-offs between maternal foraging and fawn
predation risk in an income breeder. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology
64:1267–1278.
Parker, K. L., P. S. Barboza, and M. P. Gillingham. 2009. Nutrition
integrates environmental responses of ungulates. Functional Ecology
23:57–69.
Peterson, M. E. 2016. Reproductive success, habitat selection, and neonatal
mule deer mortality in a natural gas development area. Dissertation,
Colorado State University, Fort Collins, USA.
Peterson, M. E., C. R. Anderson Jr., J. M. Northrup, and P. F. Doherty Jr.
2017. Reproductive success of mule deer in a natural gas development area.
Wildlife Biology 2017:wlb.00341.
Petroelje, T. R., J. L. Belant, D. E. Beyer, G. M. Wang, and B. D. Leopold.
2014. Population-level response of coyotes to a pulsed resource event.
Population Ecology 56:349–358.
Pojar, T. M., and D. C. Bowden. 2004. Neonatal mule deer fawn survival in
west-central Colorado. Journal of Wildlife Management 68:550–560.
R Core Team. 2015. R: a language and environment for statistical
computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
Rearden, S. N., R. G. Anthony, and B. K. Johnson. 2011. Birth-site
selection and predation risk of Rocky Mountain elk. Journal of
Mammalogy 92:1118–1126.
Riley, S. J., and A. R. Dood. 1984. Summer movements, home range, habitat
use, and behavior of mule deer fawns. Journal of Wildlife Management
48:1302–1310.

1145

�Robbins, C. T., and B. L. Robbins. 1979. Fetal and neonatal growth patterns
and maternal reproductive effort in ungulates and subungulates. American
Naturalist 114:101–116.
Robinette, W. L., C. H. Baer, R. E. Pillmore, and C. E. Knittle. 1973.
Effects of nutritional change on captive mule deer. Journal of Wildlife
Management 37:312–326.
Robinette, W. L., N. V. Hancock, and D. A. Jones. 1977. The Oak Creek
mule deer herd in Utah. Utah Division of Wildlife Resources Publication
77-15, Salt Lake City, USA.
Robinette, W. L., D. A. Jones, G. Rogers, and J. S. Gashwiler. 1957. Notes
on tooth development and wear for Rocky Mountain mule deer. Journal of
Wildlife Management 21:134–153.
Rogers, L. L. 1970. Black bear of Minnesota. Naturalist 21:42–47.
Rost, G. R., and J. A. Bailey. 1979. Distribution of mule deer and elk in
relation to roads. Journal of Wildlife Management 43:634–641.
Sams, M. G., R. L. Lochmiller, E. C. Hellgren, W. D. Warde, and L. W.
Varner. 1996. Morphometric predictors of neonatal age for white tailed
deer. Wildlife Society Bulletin 24:53–57.
Sawyer, H., M. J. Kauffman, A. D. Middleton, T. A. Morrison, R. M.
Nielson, T. B. Wyckoff, and N. Pettorelli. 2013. A framework for
understanding semi-permeable barrier effects on migratory ungulates.
Journal of Applied Ecology 50:68–78.
Sawyer, H., M. J. Kauffman, and R. M. Nielson. 2009. Influence of well pad
activity on winter habitat selection patterns of mule deer. Journal of
Wildlife Management 73:1052–1061.
Sawyer, H., N. M. Korfanta, R. M. Nielson, K. L. Monteith, and D.
Strickland. 2017. Mule deer and energy development—long-term trends
of habituation and abundance. Global Change Biology 23:4521–4529.
Sawyer, H., R. M. Nielson, F. Lindzey, and L. L. McDonald. 2006. Winter
habitat selection of mule deer before and during development of a natural
gas field. Journal of Wildlife Management 70:396–403.
Shallow, J. R. T., M. A. Hurley, K. L. Monteith, and R. T. Bowyer. 2015.
Cascading effects of habitat on maternal condition and life-history
characteristics of neonatal mule deer. Journal of Mammalogy 96:194–205.
Sikes, R. S., and The Animal Care and Use Committee of the American
Society of Mammalogists. 2016. Guidelines of the American Society of
Mammalogists for the use of wild mammals in research. Journal of
Mammalogy 97:663–688.
Steigers, W. D., and J. T. Flinders. 1980. Mortality and movements of mule
deer fawns in Washington. Journal of Wildlife Management 44:381–388.
Stephenson, T. R., V. C. Bleich, B. M. Pierce, and G. P. Mulcahy. 2002.
Validation of mule deer body composition using in vivo and post-mortem
indices of nutritional condition. Wildlife Society Bulletin 30:557–564.
Stonehouse, K. F., C. R. Anderson Jr., M. E. Peterson, and D. R. Collins.
2016. Approaches to field investigations of cause-specific mortality in
mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus). Colorado Parks and Wildlife Technical
Report No. 48, Fort Collins, USA.

1146

Testa, J. W. 2002. Does predation on neonates inherently select for earlier
births? Journal of Mammalogy 83:699–706.
Tollefson, T. N., L. A. Shipley, W. L. Myers, and N. Dasgupta. 2011.
Forage quality’s influence on mule deer fawns. Journal of Wildlife
Management 75:919–928.
United States Energy Information Administration. 2017. International
energy outlook 2017. United States Department of Energy, Washington,
D.C., USA.
Wade, D. A., and J. E. Bowns. 1982. Procedures for evaluating predation on
livestock and wildlife. Texas Agricultural Extension Service, Texas A&amp;M
University, San Angelo, USA.
Walker, B. L., D. E. Naugle, and K. E. Doherty. 2007. Greater sage-grouse
population response to energy development and habitat loss. Journal of
Wildlife Management 71:2644–2654.
Walther, F. R. 1965. Verhaltensstudien an der grantsgazelle (Gazella granti
Brooke, 1872) im Ngorongoro-Krater. Zeitschrift fu ̈r Tierpsychologie
22:167–208.
Webb, S. L., M. R. Dzialak, S. M. Harju, L. D. Hayden-Wing, and J. B.
Winstead. 2011a. Effects of human activity on space use and movement
patterns of female elk. Wildlife Society Bulletin 35:261–269.
Webb, S. L., M. R. Dzialak, R. G. Osborn, S. M. Harju, J. Wondzell, L.
Hayden-Wing, and J. B. Winstead. 2011b. Using pellet groups to assess
response of elk and deer to roads and energy development. Wildlife
Biology in Practice 7:32–40.
Webb, S. L., J. S. Lewis, D. G. Hewitt, M. W. Hellickson, and F. C.
Bryant. 2008. Assessing the helicopter and net gun as a capture
technique for white-tailed deer. Journal of Wildlife Management
72:310–314.
White, G. C., and K. P. Burnham. 1999. Program MARK: survival
estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46:
120–139.
White, G. C., W. L. Kendall, and R. J. Barker. 2006. Multistate survival
models and their extensions in Program MARK. Journal of Wildlife
Management 70:1521–1529.
White, M. 1973. Description of remains of deer fawns killed by coyotes.
Journal of Mammalogy 54:291–293.
Whittaker, D. G., and F. G. Lindzey. 1999. Effect of coyote predation on
early fawn survival in sympatric deer species. Wildlife Society Bulletin
27:256–262.

Associate Editor: Christopher Jacques.

SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional supporting information may be found in the
online version of this article at the publisher’s website.

The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�APPENDIX A. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR MULE DEER FAWN MORTALITY.
Table A1. Descriptive statistics for all continuous covariates included in multi-state analyses of mule� deer fawn mortality
in the Piceance Basin, Colorado,
�
USA, 2012–2014.
Parameters were probability
of transitioning from
an alive state in the high cHH or low cLL development study areas to a death by
�
�
�
predation c:K , malnutrition c:M , or unknown mortality c:U state.
Covariatea

�x

SD

Min.

Max.

Winter distance to well pad
Winter distance to road
Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to road
Female age
Rump fat
Birth date
Mass
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature
Winter distance to well pad
Winter distance to road
Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to road
Female age
Rump fat
Birth date
Mass
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature
Winter distance to well pad
Winter distance to road
Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to road
Female age
Rump fat
Birth date
Mass
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature
Winter distance to well pad
Winter distance to road
Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to road
Female age
Rump fat
Birth date
Mass
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature

0.35
0.24
0.39
0.26
4.94
2.46
11.21
3.29
20.73
0.39
23.71
0.40
0.41
0.40
0.49
4.75
2.25
11.88
2.88
20.73
0.39
23.71
0.38
0.23
0.40
0.16
5.50
2.06
13.44
3.19
20.73
0.39
23.71
0.37
0.22
0.40
0.24
4.76
1.85
11.34
3.42
20.73
0.39
23.71

0.11
0.22
0.05
0.35
2.29
1.92
5.14
0.65
6.31
0.86
8.04
0.00
0.49
0.00
0.67
2.31
0.71
8.81
0.91
6.31
0.86
8.04
0.05
0.22
0.00
0.13
1.78
1.16
6.77
0.87
6.31
0.86
8.04
0.08
0.17
0.00
0.36
1.85
1.02
6.45
0.68
6.31
0.86
8.04

0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.80
12.40
0.00
�10.24
0.40
0.10
0.40
0.10
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.60
12.40
0.00
�10.24
0.20
0.00
0.40
0.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.40
12.40
0.00
�10.24
0.00
0.00
0.40
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.10
12.40
0.00
�10.24

0.40
1.60
0.40
1.90
10.50
12.00
24.00
5.20
27.60
5.10
35.00
0.40
1.60
0.40
2.10
9.50
3.00
25.00
3.90
27.60
5.10
35.00
0.40
0.90
0.40
0.40
8.50
5.00
30.00
4.70
27.60
5.10
35.00
0.40
0.70
0.40
2.10
8.50
4.00
32.00
5.30
27.60
5.10
35.00

Parameter

�
Predation c:K

Malnutrition c:M

�

Unknown mortality c:U

Alive cHH ; cLL

a

�

�

Covariates include distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on winter range with data truncated beyond 0.40 km (winter distance to well pad), distance
(km) from nearest road on winter range (winter distance to road), distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on summer range with data truncated
beyond 0.40 km (summer distance to well pad), distance (km) from nearest road on summer range (summer distance to road), age of adult females estimated
in December during adult female capture (female age), rump fat thickness (mm) of adult females measured in March (rump fat), Julian date of birth
represented as the number of days following the earliest detected birth in each year (birth date), estimated birth mass (kg) of fawns (mass), total precipitation
(cm) during the previous winter season before parturition (1 Oct–30 Apr; previous precipitation), daily precipitation (cm) during the parturition period and
7-day average of precipitation after the parturition period until 15 December (precipitation), and daily temperature (8C) during the parturition period and 7day average of temperature after the parturition period until 15 December (temperature).

Peterson et al.

�

Mule Deer Fawn Mortality

1147

�APPENDIX B. FIRST STAGE OF MULE DEER FAWN MORTALITY MODELING.
Table B1. Cumulative weights for Akaike’s Information Criterion adjusted for small sample size (AICc), for all covariates included in the first stage of analysis
of mule deer fawn mortality in the Piceance Basin, Colorado,
USA, 2012–2014.
�
� Parameters were probability
� of transitioning from an alive state in the high or
low development study areas to a death by predation c:K , malnutrition c:M , or unknown mortality c:U state. We considered cumulative weights &gt;0.50 to
be important.
Covariatea

Parameter
Winter range development characteristics
�
Predation c:K
�
Malnutrition c:M
Unknown mortality c:U

�

Summer range development characteristics
�
Predation c:K
�
Malnutrition c:M
�
Unknown mortality c:U
Adult female characteristics
�
Predation c:K
Malnutrition c:M

�

Unknown mortality c:U

�

Fawn birth characteristics
�
Predation c:K

Malnutrition c:M

�

Unknown mortality c:U

�

Temporal characteristics
�
Predation c:K
Malnutrition c:M

�

Unknown mortality c:U

a

�

Winter
Winter
Winter
Winter
Winter
Winter

distance
distance
distance
distance
distance
distance

to
to
to
to
to
to

well pad
road
road
well pad
well pad
road

Cumulative AICc weight
0.92
0.50
0.73
0.48
0.33
0.27

Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to well pad
Summer distance to well pad

0.95
0.30
0.35

Rump fat
Female age
Fetal count
Fetal count
Rump fat
Female age
Female age
Rump fat
Fetal count

0.98
0.22
0.21
0.35
0.25
0.21
0.37
0.21
0.21

Fawn age 0–14 days old
Mass
Birth date
Sex
Fawn age 0–14 days old
Mass
Sex
Birth date
Fawn age 0–14 days old
Birth date
Mass
Sex

0.61
0.13
0.05
0.04
0.98
0.26
0.09
0.03
0.31
0.21
0.10
0.10

Temperature
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature
Previous precipitation
Precipitation
Temperature
Precipitation
Previous precipitation

0.62
0.49
0.31
0.99
0.21
0.18
0.26
0.17
0.15

Covariates include distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on winter range with data truncated beyond 0.40 km (winter distance to well pad), distance
(km) from nearest road on winter range (winter distance to road), distance (km) from nearest producing well pad on summer range with data truncated
beyond 0.40 km (summer distance to well pad), rump fat thickness (mm) of adult females measured in March (rump fat), age of adult females estimated in
December during adult female capture (female age), in utero fetal count documented in March during capture (fetal count), fawn age trend from 0–14 days
old and constant thereafter (fawn age 0–14 days old), estimated birth mass (kg) of fawns (mass), Julian date of birth represented as the number of days
following the earliest detected birth in each year (birth date), sex of captured fawns (sex), daily temperature (8C) during the parturition period and 7-day
average of temperature after the parturition period until 15 December (temperature), total precipitation (cm) during the previous winter season before
parturition (1 Oct–30 Apr; previous precipitation), and daily precipitation (cm) during the parturition period and 7-day average of precipitation after the
parturition period until 15 December (precipitation).

1148

The Journal of Wildlife Management

�

82(6)

�</text>
                </elementText>
              </elementTextContainer>
            </element>
          </elementContainer>
        </elementSet>
      </elementSetContainer>
    </file>
    <file fileId="51">
      <src>https://cpw.cvlcollections.org/files/original/9c186dfc0667ec35193f12c7006cb54a.pdf</src>
      <authentication>9007c4ecb35d9312d25f5589c537bd0a</authentication>
    </file>
  </fileContainer>
  <collection collectionId="2">
    <elementSetContainer>
      <elementSet elementSetId="1">
        <name>Dublin Core</name>
        <description>The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/.</description>
        <elementContainer>
          <element elementId="50">
            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="479">
                <text>Journal Articles</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="41">
            <name>Description</name>
            <description>An account of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="7018">
                <text>CPW peer-reviewed journal publications</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
        </elementContainer>
      </elementSet>
    </elementSetContainer>
  </collection>
  <itemType itemTypeId="1">
    <name>Text</name>
    <description>A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text.</description>
  </itemType>
  <elementSetContainer>
    <elementSet elementSetId="1">
      <name>Dublin Core</name>
      <description>The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/.</description>
      <elementContainer>
        <element elementId="50">
          <name>Title</name>
          <description>A name given to the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="521">
              <text>Mortality of mule deer fawns in a natural gas development area</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="47">
          <name>Rights</name>
          <description>Information about rights held in and over the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="522">
              <text>&lt;a href="http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC-NC/1.0/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted&lt;/a&gt;</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="56">
          <name>Date Created</name>
          <description>Date of creation of the resource.</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="523">
              <text>2018-05-01</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="49">
          <name>Subject</name>
          <description>The topic of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="524">
              <text>Anthropogenic disturbances</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="561">
              <text>Colorado</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="562">
              <text>Mule deer</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="563">
              <text>Natural gas development</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="564">
              <text>&lt;em&gt;Odocoileus hemionus&lt;/em&gt;</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="565">
              <text>Population dynamics</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="566">
              <text>Predation</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="567">
              <text>Survival</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="41">
          <name>Description</name>
          <description>An account of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="525">
              <text>Recent natural gas development has caused concern among wildlife managers, researchers, and stakeholders over the potential effects on wildlife and their habitats. Specifically, understanding how this development and other factors influence mule deer (&lt;em&gt;Odocoileus hemionus&lt;/em&gt;) fawn (i.e., 0–6 months old) mortality rates, recruitment, and subsequently population dynamics have been identified as knowledge gaps. Thus, we tested predictions concerning the relationship between natural gas development, adult female, fawn birth, and temporal (weather) characteristics on fawn mortality in the Piceance Basin of northwestern Colorado, USA, from 2012–2014. We captured and radio-collared 184 fawns and estimated apparent cause-specific mortality in areas with relatively high or low levels of natural gas development using a multi-state model. Mean daily predation probability was similar in the high versus low development areas. Predation was the leading cause of fawn mortality in both areas and decreased from 0–14 days old. Black bear (&lt;em&gt;Ursus americanus&lt;/em&gt;; 22% of all mortalities, n = 17) and cougar (&lt;em&gt;Felis concolor&lt;/em&gt;; 36% of all mortalities, n = 6) predation was the leading cause of mortality in the high and low development areas, respectively. Predation of fawns was negatively correlated with the distance from a female's core area to a producing well pad on winter or summer range. Contrary to expectations, predation of fawns was positively correlated with rump fat thickness of adult females. Well pad densities and development activity were relatively low during our study, indicating that the observed intensity of development did not appear to influence daily predation probability. Our results suggest maintaining development activity thresholds at levels we observed to potentially minimize the effects of development on fawn mortality. However, we caution that higher development intensity and drilling activity in flatter, less rugged areas with less concealment cover could influence fawn mortality. Managers should maintain low development densities in areas where topography and vegetation offer less concealment. Overall, region-specific data (e.g., development intensity, topography, predator assemblages, and associated predation risk) are needed to better understand the effects of natural gas development on fawn mortality.</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="39">
          <name>Creator</name>
          <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="527">
              <text>Peterson, Mark E.</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="528">
              <text>Anderson Jr, Charles R.</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="529">
              <text>Northrup, Joseph M. </text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="530">
              <text>Doherty Jr, Paul F.</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="44">
          <name>Language</name>
          <description>A language of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="531">
              <text>English</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="70">
          <name>Is Part Of</name>
          <description>A related resource in which the described resource is physically or logically included.</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="532">
              <text>The Journal of Wildlife Management</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="78">
          <name>Extent</name>
          <description>The size or duration of the resource.</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="535">
              <text>14 pages</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="80">
          <name>Bibliographic Citation</name>
          <description>A bibliographic reference for the resource. Recommended practice is to include sufficient bibliographic detail to identify the resource as unambiguously as possible.</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="537">
              <text>Peterson, M.E., C. R. Anderson Jr, J. M. Northrup, and P. F. Doherty Jr. 2018. Mortality of mule deer fawns in a natural gas development area. The Journal of Wildlife Management 82:1135–1148. &lt;a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.21476" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.21476&lt;/a&gt;</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="42">
          <name>Format</name>
          <description>The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="763">
              <text>application/pdf</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="51">
          <name>Type</name>
          <description>The nature or genre of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="7171">
              <text>Article</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
      </elementContainer>
    </elementSet>
  </elementSetContainer>
</item>
