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                  <text>The research in this publication was partially or fully funded by Colorado Parks and Wildlife.

Dan Prenzlow, Director, Colorado Parks and Wildlife • Parks and Wildlife Commission: Marvin McDaniel, Chair • Carrie Besnette Hauser, Vice-Chair
Marie Haskett, Secretary • Taishya Adams • Betsy Blecha • Charles Garcia • Dallas May • Duke Phillips, IV • Luke B. Schafer • James Jay Tutchton • Eden Vardy

�Evolutionary Applications
Evolutionary Applications ISSN 1752-4571

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Fine-scale genetic correlates to condition and migration in a
wild cervid
Joseph M. Northrup,1 Aaron B. A. Shafer,2 Charles R. Anderson Jr,3 David W. Coltman4
and George Wittemyer1
1
2
3
4

Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
Department of Evolutionary Biology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
Mammals Research Section, Colorado Parks and Wildlife, Grand Junction, CO, USA
Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.

Keywords
genetic differentiation, heterozygosity fitness
correlation, migration, mule deer, multilocus
heterozygosity, Odocoileus hemionus, singlelocus heterozygosity, wildlife.
Correspondence
Joseph M. Northrup, Department of Fish,
Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, Colorado
State University, 1474 Campus Delivery, Fort
Collins, CO 80523, USA.
Tel.: +970 491 2302;
fax: +970 491 5091;
e-mail: joe.northrup@colostate.edu
Received: 7 January 2014
Accepted: 30 June 2014
doi:10.1111/eva.12189

Abstract
The relationship between genetic variation and phenotypic traits is fundamental
to the study and management of natural populations. Such relationships often
are investigated by assessing correlations between phenotypic traits and heterozygosity or genetic differentiation. Using an extensive data set compiled from freeranging mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus), we combined genetic and ecological
data to (i) examine correlations between genetic differentiation and migration
timing, (ii) screen for mitochondrial haplotypes associated with migration timing, and (iii) test whether nuclear heterozygosity was associated with condition.
Migration was related to genetic differentiation (more closely related individuals
migrated closer in time) and mitochondrial haplogroup. Body fat was related to
heterozygosity at two nuclear loci (with antagonistic patterns), one of which is
situated near a known fat metabolism gene in mammals. Despite being focused
on a widespread panmictic species, these findings revealed a link between genetic
variation and important phenotypes at a fine scale. We hypothesize that these
correlations are either the result of mixing refugial lineages or differential mitochondrial haplotypes influencing energetics. The maintenance of phenotypic
diversity will be critical to enable the potential tracking of changing climatic conditions, and these correlates highlight the need to consider evolutionary mechanisms in management, even in widely distributed panmictic species.

Introduction
Understanding variation in phenotypic traits related to fitness in wild populations is fundamental to the study of
evolution and ecology. Such traits can be related to genetic
variation at relatively fine spatial scales, and knowledge of
these relationships can provide insight into important ecoevolutionary processes such as inbreeding depression, local
adaptation, population structure, and speciation (Kupper
et al. 2010; Olano-Marin et al. 2011; Shafer and Wolf 2013;
Shafer et al. 2014). Moreover, these relationships can have
implications for developing and implementing conservation and management plans that strive to account for evolutionary processes (e.g., maintenance of gene flow through
protection of corridors or minimizing possible effects of
inbreeding).

Relationships between fine-scale genetic variation and
phenotypic traits have been identified using a variety of
methods. Chief among these in wild populations are heterozygosity–fitness correlations (HFCs; see Chapman et al.
2009) and correlations among genetic differentiation and
phenotypic or ecological divergence (Shafer and Wolf
2013). Heterozygosity–fitness correlations are typically calculated between heterozygosity at neutral loci and phenotypic traits presumed to be proxies for fitness (Szulkin
et al. 2010). Correlations can occur with a multilocus heterozygosity (MLH) metric, indicating a general genomewide effect of inbreeding, or heterozygosity at a single locus
(single-locus heterozygosity; SLH), indicating local (either
direct or indirect) effects due to linkage to a gene that
affects fitness (Hansson et al. 2004). For the latter, individual neutral markers are hypothesized to show associative

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided
the original work is properly cited.

937

�Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

Northrup et al.

overdominance as a result of the consequences of deleterious alleles or a fitness advantage at those linked loci
(Frydenberg 1963; Houle 1989; David et al. 1995; David
1997; Pamilo and Palsson 1998). Screening for HFCs can
be described as a tantalizing pursuit; significant relationships are rarely found and care must be used with interpretation as overall effect sizes often are variable and small
(Chapman et al. 2009; Kardos et al. 2014), and numerous
concerns (but also caveats) related to the HFC exist (Szulkin
et al. 2010). Given the potential for false positives with
SLH correlations, confidence in these relationships can be
bolstered by appropriate statistical analyses and by examining the location of loci on the annotated genome of a
related species that might provide post hoc links to causative agents (Von Hardenberg et al. 2007; Kupper et al.
2010; Kardos et al. 2014).
In slight contrast, correlations between genetic differentiation and phenotypic (or ecological) divergence have been
identified across taxa and appear to be relatively robust
(Shafer and Wolf 2013; Sexton et al. 2014). While this pattern is generally regarded as evidence for local adaptation
(Nosil 2012), ancestral (allopatric) divergence and secondary contact can confound interpretations of this correlation
(Bierne et al. 2013) and, similar to HFCs, must be factored
into interpretations and models. But beyond these caveats,
correlations between phenotypic traits and both genetic
diversity and differentiation can provide important indications of inbreeding and local adaptation that should be
considered by managers (Shafer et al. 2014).
Mule deer ecology and evolution
Cervids (family Cervidae) are an ecologically important
group of ungulate that have been the focus of numerous
investigations into the relationship between genetic variation and phenotypic traits. Da Silva et al. (2009) showed
that juvenile roe deer (Capreolus capreolus L.) survival was
correlated with MLH; likewise, red deer (Cervus elaphus L.)
birth weight, neonatal survival, and lifetime breeding success increased significantly with heterozygosity (Coulson
et al. 1998; Slate et al. 2000), and individuals with the
smallest antlers tended to have lower heterozygosity
(Perez-Gonzalez et al. 2010). Furthermore, studies have
shown correlations between genetic differentiation and
social groups in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus
Zimm.; Miller et al. 2010), and niche overlap in mule deer
(Odocoileus hemionus Raf.; Pease et al. 2009).
Among cervids, mule deer present an interesting species
for which to examine correlations between phenotypic
traits and genetic variation. Latch et al. (2009, 2014)
showed that across their range, there are multiple phylogeographic lineages that presumably represent different refugia, although the species shows minimal population-level
938

genetic structure at large geographic scales (Cullingham
et al. 2011b; Powell et al. 2013). Female mule deer also display fine-scale genetic structuring, likely due to the existence of related social groups (Cullingham et al. 2011b;
Colson et al. 2013). In addition, hybridization with whitetailed deer can occur, resulting in fairly widespread genetic
introgression (Carr et al. 1986; Cathey et al. 1998). Mule
deer also exhibit substantial variation in important phenotypic traits such as body size and migratory behavior, both
across their range (Anderson 1981; Wallmo 1981), and
within populations (Monteith et al. 2011a; Lendrum et al.
2013). Lastly, mule deer are the subject of extensive management programs throughout North America, due to their
importance as a game species [e.g., it was estimated that
more than 30 000 mule deer were harvested in the state of
Colorado in 2013 (Colorado Parks and Wildlife 2014)].
Both the aforementioned phenotypic traits are of paramount importance for survival and reproduction in this
species. Condition is a fitness proxy as individuals rely
heavily on fat and protein stores for survival on winter
range when forage quality is low (Wallmo et al. 1977;
Torbit et al. 1985). Body fat also influences annual survival
of adult females (Bender et al. 2007), pregnancy and twinning rates (Johnstone-Yellin et al. 2009; Tollefson et al.
2010), and the probability of a female rearing a fawn
through the summer (Johnstone-Yellin et al. 2009). Deer
across much of their range migrate from high altitude, productive summer range to low altitude winter range and
back again in the spring. Migrations typically match
changes in resource availability (Fryxell and Sinclair 1988),
with mule deer attempting to optimize migratory timing
relative to both plant productivity and weather (snow depth
and temperature) on their summer range (Monteith et al.
2011a; Lendrum et al. 2013). The timing of migratory onset
is clustered around a few weeks each year, but individuals
show different strategies in terms of early or late onset dates
(Monteith et al. 2011a; Lendrum et al. 2013). Thus, migration timing is of clear interest in understanding the ecology
of this species and, importantly, recent work has identified
a clear genetic component to differences in this trait in
other taxa (Ruegg et al. 2014; Toews et al. 2014).
Both individual condition and migration are of interest
to wildlife managers as recent anthropogenic development
may threaten migratory routes for mule deer (Sawyer et al.
2005, 2009), and climate change could cause trophic mismatches (Post and Forchhammer 2008), with phenotypic
plasticity in migration being suggested as a potential buffer
for mule deer against this process (Monteith et al. 2011b).
The importance of winter condition to deer survival has
led to active research into means of improving winter condition through habitat manipulation and supplemental
feeding (Bishop et al. 2009; Bergman et al. 2014). The
existence of genetic correlations to these traits could pro-

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

�Northrup et al.

vide insight into the effectiveness of management programs
and aid managers in making decisions in light of evolutionary processes.
Here, we examined the relationship between genetic variability and phenotypic traits in a wild mule deer population
of the Piceance Basin, Colorado. Using an extensive data
set consisting of more than 100 individual animals, we
combined phenotypic, behavioral (global positioning system [GPS]), and genetic data to (i) examine whether
genetic differentiation was correlated with migration timing, (ii) screen for specific mitochondrial haplotypes associated with migration timing, and (iii) test whether
heterozygosity (multilocus and single locus) was associated
with body mass and fat. We discussed the results in light of
the phylogeographic history of mule deer and the metabolic role of the mitochondrion and highlight the importance of considering evolutionary processes in the
management of this species.

Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

(A)

NR
NM
RG

SM

(B)

Materials and methods
Sample collection and DNA extraction
We captured adult (&gt;1 year old) female mule deer using
helicopter net gunning in four winter range study areas in
the Piceance Basin of Northwestern Colorado (Fig. 1).
Deer were captured in either December 2010 or March
2011. These dates were chosen because during December,
deer have recently migrated from summer range and typically are in their best physical condition, while March represents the end of winter when deer typically are in their
worst condition. Deer were transferred to processing sites
where we weighed them using a portable scale, estimated
body condition by palpating the rump (Cook et al. 2001,
2007, 2010) and measured the thickness of their subcutaneous rump fat and longissimus dorsi muscle using a portable
ultrasound (Stephenson et al. 1998, 2002; Cook et al.
2001). The above measurements were used to calculate the
percent ingesta-free body fat (hereafter fat) of each deer
following Cook et al. (2010). Deer were fit with store-onboard GPS radio collars (Advanced Telemetry Systems,
Isanti MN, USA) set to attempt a relocation on one of three
schedules (once every 5 h, once every 60 min, or once
every 30 min – meaning the relocation schedules varied by
individual). Blood samples were taken for genetic analysis,
and DNA was extracted using the DNeasyTM Blood and
Tissue Kit (Qiagen, Inc., Valencia, CA, USA) following the
manufacturer’s protocol.
Microsatellite genotyping and DNA sequencing
We amplified 17 microsatellite loci using a previously optimized multiplex reaction from Cullingham et al. (2011a)
and single PCRs. The mitochondrial control region was

Figure 1 (A) Winter range areas Ryan Gulch [RG], South Magnolia
[SM], North Magnolia [NM] and North Ridge [NR]) and simplifications of
migratory routes, with arrows indicating general location of summer
ranges for mule deer in the Piceance Basin and (B) location of study
within the United States. Adapted with permission from Lendrum et al.
(2013).

sequenced using both the primers from Latch et al. (2009)
and LGL215 and ISM015 from Purdue et al. (2006). PCR
conditions and basic population genetic analyses are available in Appendices S1 and S2.
For the microsatellite data, we first used STRUCTURE 2.3.3
(Pritchard et al. 2000) to assess genetic structure
(1 000 000 iterations with 25% removed as a burn-in
repeated five times for each number of possible populations
[k] ranging from 1 to 5). We assumed an admixed model
with correlated allele frequencies (Falush et al. 2003) and
used the LOCPRIOR parameter to allow location information to assist in the clustering. Next, we calculated overall
MLH as the average of heterozygosity at each locus and
SLH as binary variables indicating heterozygosity (1) or
homozygosity (0) at each locus. Pairwise relatedness
between all individuals was estimated with the Queller and
Goodnight (QG) relationship coefficient using the software
SPAGEDI v.1.3 (Hardy and Vekemans 2002). We also constructed a coancestry matrix using the software MOL_COAN
v.3 (Fernandez and Toro 2006). Here, a simulated annealing approach was used to create virtual common ancestors
of the genotyped individuals, producing pedigree-like rela-

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

939

�Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

Northrup et al.

tionship coefficients. Model parameters consisted of 200
steps with 5000 solutions tested per step, an initial temperature of 0.01 and increase of 0.75. We simulated two previous generations, each consisting of 1000 males and 1000
females.
For mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA; conducted on a subset of individuals), we constructed a minimum-spanning
tree among haplotypes using ARLEQUIN v. 3.5.1.3 (Excoffier
and Lischer 2010) and edited it with HAPSTAR v0.7 (Teacher
and Griffiths 2011). Neighbor-joining analysis using pairwise deletion and both P and K2 distances was conducted
using the software package MEGA v.5 (Tamura et al. 2011).
Bayesian analysis was conducted in MRBAYES v.3.1.2 (Huelsenbeck and Ronquist 2001) with a model of nucleotide
substitution determined from MODELTEST v.3.07 (Posada
and Crandall 1998). For the Bayesian phylogenetic analysis,
we used default priors with two independent runs of four
chains (three heated) run for 10 000 000 generations, with
the first 25% discarded as a burn-in. Confidence in topologies was evaluated based on 1000 bootstrap replicates (for
the neighbor joining) or posterior distributions. All three
methods were compared to identify common mitochondrial haplogroups.
Genetic correlates to phenotypic traits
Both migration and body condition are phenotypic traits
that are important to the fitness of mule deer. However, only
condition can be thought of as a proxy for fitness. Thus, we
used two separate analytical frameworks to examine genetic
correlations with these traits. For migration, we examined
the relationship between mitochondrial haplotypes and
genetic differentiation to determine whether there was a
genetic component to the timing of migration (an isolationby-ecology analysis, sensu Shafer and Wolf 2013). For body
condition, a fitness proxy, we followed the general HFC
framework discussed in Chapman et al. (2009).
Genetic–migration correlates
After GPS radio collars were recovered and data were
downloaded, we calculated the initiation and termination dates of spring and fall migration (i.e., the dates
at which deer started or finished their migration) in
ARCMAP 10.1 (Environmental Systems Research Institute,
Redlands, CA, USA). Migration was demarcated as the
time period during which deer travelled between their
winter and summer home ranges. Home ranges were
determined by outlining a minimum convex polygon
around all locations that occurred prior to directed
movement, without return, away from the summer or
winter range areas.
We first examined the relationship between mtDNA
haplogroup (derived from haplotype and phylogenetic
940

analyses) and the dates of spring and fall migrations. For
this analysis, we corrected the Julian date of migration to
the earliest date among all individuals. The resulting data
represented a count of the number of days since the earliest
arriving or leaving migrant had terminated or initiated
their migration. These data were analyzed using negative
binomial regression (see Appendix S3 for model formulation). We included covariates for the mtDNA haplogroup
to which each deer was assigned (categorical) as well as a
covariate for the age of the animal and binary covariates
indicating winter range study area (i.e., three separate covariates indicating whether the deer was from a winter range
study area [1] or not [0]). Before models were run, correlations among covariates were examined to assess collinearity
(no predictors were correlated at |r| &gt; 0.7) and age was
standardized ½ðx � �xÞ=rx �, a common procedure in regression to aid in interpretability of coefficient estimates
(Gelman and Hill 2007). We fitted all models under a
Bayesian framework in JAGS (Plummer 2012) and R3.0.1
(R Core Team 2013), using the ‘rjags’ package (Plummer
2013). See Appendix S3 for specifics of model runs and
assessment of convergence. To assess the fit of the models,
we calculated residuals (observed – predicted values) and
plotted them against the fitted values to examine any
potential patterns in residuals.
Secondly, we examined correlations between genetic
relatedness metrics and similarity in migration using Mantel tests. For this analysis, we calculated absolute pairwise
distances (calculated in days) between each individual’s
migration termination or initiation dates leaving us with
four matrices representing differences in migration timing
for spring and fall. The relationships between relatedness
indices (QG and coancestry) and migratory behavior
(dates) were evaluated in R3.0.1 (R Core Team 2013) using
Mantel tests (Mantel 1967) under 10 000 permutations as
implemented by the Ecodist library (Goslee and Urban
2007). Here, a comparison is made between relatedness
and the difference in migration timing, and thus, a negative
relationship is expected if there is a genetic signature – that
is, more closely related individuals have more similar
migration timing. To account for similarities among individuals inhabiting similar areas or grouping together, we
ran two partial Mantel tests controlling for the distance
between the centroids of individuals’ winter range and
summer range (Fig. 1). Significance was assessed by examining 95% confidence intervals.
Genetic–condition correlates
We next examined whether there was a relationship
between either MLH or SLH and condition metrics (mass
and fat) using the HFC framework. We fit hierarchical
(i.e., random effects) models in a Bayesian framework. The
presence or the absence of a relationship was determined

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

�Northrup et al.

by examining the posterior probability distributions of
each coefficient to determine the probability that either
MLH or heterozygosity at any single locus was related to
condition. In all models, we included covariates for either
MLH or SLH, the age of the animal, a binary variable for if
the data came from a March capture (both mass and fat are
expected to be lower in March), and binary variables indicating which of the four winter range areas the deer was
captured in (as in the migration analysis, above). We tested
between models with solely a linear effect or a quadratic
effect of age using the deviance information criteria (DIC;
Spiegelhalter et al. 2002; but with the effective number of
parameters calculated as in Plummer 2012). Identity disequilibrium among loci (i.e., covariance of heterozygosity
among loci) was used to infer the validity of MLH correlation: Accordingly, we calculated g2, where a value of zero
means no variance in inbreeding (Szulkin et al. 2010).
We examined the relationship between heterozygosity
and mass or fat using linear regression and beta regression,
respectively. Mass was natural log-transformed to ensure
proper support (i.e., untransformed mass is strictly positive, while linear regression allows for negative values; log
transformation addresses this issue), while beta regression
was used because it is proper for dependent variables ranging between 0 and 1 as percent body fat does. Because there
were multiple condition measures for certain deer (i.e.,
those captured in both March and December), for both
analyses, we allowed the intercept to vary by individual,
estimating a population-level intercept (i.e., we fit a random intercept by individual), with all other coefficient values fixed. See Appendix S3 for details of model parameters
and convergence assessment. To assess the fit of the models, we calculated residuals (observed – predicted values)
and plotted them against the fitted values to examine any
potential patterns in residuals.

Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

most likely (i.e., had the lowest likelihood score). Based on
winter range, FIS values were as follows: NR = �0.05
(P = 0.02), NM = �0.02 (P = 0.16), RG = �0.03
(P = 0.07), and SM = 0.01 (P = 0.31). The MOL_COAN
analysis produced a matrix of pedigree-like coefficients for
all individuals; we note the one suspected mother–daughter
pairing had a coefficient of 0.50, suggesting the results were
indeed reflective of pedigree data. We sequenced the mitochondrial control region in a subset of animals (n = 81).
For comparison with data from Latch et al. (2009), we
parsed the data set down to 545 base pairs (GenBank submission KM061069–KM061151). Examining the mtDNA,
37 unique haplotypes were observed (Fig. 2). The neighbor-joining and Bayesian phylogeny (based on a
GTR + I + G substitution model) produced essentially the
same topology (Appendix S4): a major split between two
clades was highly supported, while a third, more tenuous
clade was evident in the neighbor analysis with some support in the Bayesian analysis (posterior probability = 0.60).
The three groupings are identified in the haplotype network (Fig. 2).
Genetic correlates to phenotypic traits
Condition and migration data
We obtained mass and fat measures on 134 adult female
mule deer. Migration data were not obtained for all deer
due to mortalities, collar failure, or because some deer were

2

3

Results
Genotype and mitochondrial sequence data
A total of 134 adult female deer were captured with 30 captured in the NM area, 30 in the NR area, 44 in the RG area,
and 30 in the SM area (102 in December, and 79 in March,
with 47 caught during both capture periods; see Appendix
S5 for details). Deer ranged in age from yearlings to more
than 11 years old, with a median age of 5.5 years old (See
Appendix S5). All 134 deer were genotyped at 17 loci producing a data set that was 99% complete (data available
from the Dryad Digital Repository: http://datadryad.org/
resource/doi:10.5061/dryad.3vc1b). All markers were in
Hardy–Weinberg Equilibrium, and there was no evidence
of linkage (diversity statistics by loci are presented in
Appendix S2). The STRUCTURE-based analysis of the microsatellites suggested a single, homogenous population was

RG

11

13

1

NM
SM
NR

Figure 2 Mitochondrial control region haplotype network and winter
range area assignments. Circle size is proportional to the haplotype frequency with small black circles representing undetected, intermediate
haplotypes. Haplotypes are colored according to winter range area. The
dashed circle outlines and corresponding numbers are in reference to
the phylogenetic clades (Appendix S4).

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

941

�Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

Northrup et al.

not collared during capture. Thus, our total sample for
microsatellites analyses examining relationships with
migration consisted of 104 and 95 deer for spring and fall
migration, respectively. Our total sample for mtDNA
analyses consisted of 65 and 59 deer for spring and fall
migration, respectively. In addition, two deer did not leave
summer range, while collars were still attached and thus
were excluded from the fall migration analyses. During
spring, deer initiated migration between April 11 and June
1 and terminated migration between April 19 and June 21.
During the fall, deer initiated migration between October 4
and November 8 and terminated migration between October 6 and November 14.
Genetic–migration correlates
For all regression models, hereafter, we made inference
based on the proportion of the posterior distributions that
fell to one side of 0. Winter range area was related to fall
migration termination and initiation dates, while age was
not related to migration timing in any of the analyses
(Table 1; Appendix S5). The mtDNA haplogroups were
related to both fall termination and initiation, although
Table 1. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate from
negative binomial regression model on mule deer fall migration termination dates from deer in the Piceance basin, Colorado.

Covariate

Median
coeff. value

Neighbor-joining clades
Intercept
3.08
Age
�0.09
Winter range
NR*
0.16
RG†
�0.38
SM‡
�0.56
mtDNA
Haplogroup 2§
�0.46
Haplogroup 3§
�0.33
Bayesian clades
Intercept
2.932
Age
�0.095
Winter range
NR*
0.1768
RG†
�0.270
SM‡
�0.440
mtDNA
Haplogroup 2§
�0.350

Prob. coeff.
is negative

Prob. coeff.
positive

0.00
0.88

1.00
0.12

0.22
0.96
0.99

0.78
0.04
0.01

0.99
0.94

0.01
0.06

0.000
0.90

1.000
0.10

0.22
0.90
0.97

0.78
0.10
0.03

0.97

0.03

*Deer captured in the NR winter range, with NM as the reference
category.
†Deer captured in the RG winter range, with NM as the reference
category.
‡Deer captured in the SM winter range, with NM as the reference
category.
§mtDNA haplogroup 1 is the reference category.

942

both the effect itself and the probability of an effect were
lower for fall initiation (Table 1; Appendix S5). For haplogroups identified by the Bayesian phylogenetic analysis, our
models predicted that deer in haplogroup 2 terminated
migration 6 days earlier on average than those in haplogroup 1 (see Fig. 2 for haplogroups), while for the neighbor-joining analysis, models predicted that deer in
haplogroups 2 and 3 terminated migration on average 7
and 9 days earlier than those in haplogroup 1. Plots of
residuals against fitted values showed no trend, although
the six largest negative residuals were all from the NR winter range area, indicating the potential for a missing covariate (Appendix S5). The microsatellites analyses showed
that related individuals generally migrated at similar times
regardless of the distance between them on summer or winter range (Table 2).
Genetic–condition correlates
There was weak evidence for identity disequilibrium
(g2 = 0.01, P = 0.07); however, MLH was a poor predictor

Table 2. Mantel test models, Mantel’s r and lower and upper confidence limits (CL), calculated through randomization, for models examining correlation between relatedness metrics (Queller-Goodnight [QG]
and coancestry) and migration dates, for mule deer in the Piceance
basin, Colorado. End spring and end fall indicate the termination of
spring and fall migration, respectively. Start spring and start fall indicate
the initiation of spring and fall migration, respectively. Winter distance
and summer distance indicate the distance between winter and summer range centroids. All values are presented as Mantel r (lower CL,
upper CL). Vertical lines (|) indicate partial Mantel tests with the covariate that is controlled for following the vertical line.
Migratory metric

QG

Coancestry

End spring
End spring | winter
distance
End spring | summer
distance
End fall
End fall | winter
distance
End fall | summer
distance
Start spring
Start spring | winter
distance
Start spring | summer
distance
Start fall
Start fall | winter
distance
Start fall | summer
distance

�0.04 (�0.06, �0.01)
�0.06 (�0.09, �0.01)
�0.02 (�0.04, �0.001) �0.07 (�0.10, �0.03)
�0.03 (�0.05, �0.01)

�0.05 (�0.08, �0.02)

�0.04 (�0.06, �0.01)
�0.04 (�0.06, �0.01)

�0.02 (�0.05, 0.02)
�0.02 (�0.05, 0.02)

�0.04 (�0.06, �0.01)

�0.02 (�0.05, 0.01)

0.002 (�0.02, 0.02)
0.01 (�0.02, 0.02)

�0.03 (�0.07, 0.01)
�0.03 (�0.06, 0.01)

0.01 (�0.01, 0.04)

�0.02 (�0.06, 0.01)

�0.05 (�0.07, �0.03)
�0.05 (�0.06, �0.01)

�0.05 (�0.08, �0.03)
�0.05 (�0.08, �0.03)

�0.05 (�0.07, �0.03)

�0.05 (�0.08, �0.03)

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

�Northrup et al.

Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

of both body mass and fat in all models (Appendix S5
Table 2), while heterozygosity at individual loci was
strongly related to condition measures (Table 3; Appendix
S5 Table 2). Because heterozygosity at individual loci was
the only significant correlates to the phenotypic traits, we
continued with this model only. When examining the relationship between SLH and body mass, models with a quadratic term for age fit the data slightly better than those
with a linear term, with evidence for greater body mass for
middle aged deer compared with young or old deer
(Appendix S5 Table 2). When examining fat, models with a
linear effect of age fit the data slightly better, and age was a
poor predictor of fat (Table 3; Appendix S5 Table 2). Winter range area was weakly related to both body mass and fat
(&lt;95% of posterior on one side of 0; Table 3; Appendix S5
Table 2). Heterozygosity at two loci (RT30 and P) was
strongly related to fat (&gt;95% of posterior on one side of 0;
Table 3. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate from
multilevel beta regression on the percent body fat of mule deer in the
Piceance basin, Colorado.

Covariate
Intercept
Age
March capture
Winter range
NR*
RG†
SM‡
Microsatellite loci
INRA011
RT30
BBJ
K
BL25
BM6438
BM848
RT7
N
ETH152
BM6506
P
D
BM4107
RT5
OCAM
R

Median
coeff. value

Prob. coeff.
is negative

Prob. coeff.
positive

�2.15
�0.05
�0.52

1
0.89
1

0
0.11
0

�0.10
�0.11
�0.06

0.80
0.82
0.69

0.20
0.18
0.31

�0.13
�0.24
0.08
�0.03
0.07
�0.001
�0.11
�0.08
0.09
�0.004
0.02
0.18
0.092
0.05
0.15
0.02
�0.08

0.93
0.99
0.22
0.65
0.27
0.50
0.87
0.72
0.22
0.52
0.40
0.04
0.13
0.32
0.13
0.41
0.81

0.07
0.01
0.78
0.35
0.73
0.50
0.13
0.28
0.78
0.48
0.60
0.96
0.87
0.68
0.87
0.59
0.19

*Deer captured in the NR winter range, with NM as the reference
category.
†Deer captured in the RG winter range, with NM as the reference
category.
‡Deer captured in the SM winter range, with NM as the reference
category.

Table 3; Fig. 3). Plots of residuals against fitted values
showed a positive trend, with all of the largest fitted values
showing positive residuals (Appendix S5). To guard against
false positives, we refit the models with a strong mean 0
multivariate normal prior on the coefficients, which shrinks
coefficient estimates toward 0 (the standard deviation on
the prior was taken as the standard deviation of the median
coefficient values; approximately 0.14; Gelman et al. 2012).
Discussion
We documented relationships between phenotypic traits
recognized as being critical to fitness and genetic variation
at a very fine spatial scale in female mule deer. These results
provide insight into the genetic structuring of the population and the possible genetic drivers shaping the diversity
of phenotypes and migration strategies seen in this important game species. These findings have potential implications for conservation and management, particularly in
light of contemporary climatic changes and white-tailed
deer expansion (Latham et al. 2011), as both migration
timing and body condition are influential traits for mule
deer survival and reproduction that vary among individuals
in a population (Monteith et al. 2011b, 2013). Examining
these traits conjointly provided a more complete picture of
the genetic contributions to important phenotypic traits in
this population and cervids in general.
Genetic-migration correlations
Fall and spring migration dates were more similar among
related females. An individual’s mtDNA haplogroup also
was a stronger predictor of fall than spring migration –
even when controlling for winter or summer range. The
mtDNA haplotype effect is particularly striking, given there
appears to be virtually no spatial clustering of haplotypes
(Fig. 2). Female philopatry and relatedness among social
groups would explain the pattern in the form of learning
(e.g., the majority of white-tailed deer fawns follow their
mother’s migration route; Nelson 1998); however, our
model accounted for such effects through the range covariates (i.e., if daughters were following their mother’s migration path they would also share a winter and summer
range), and the diversity of haplotypes suggests many different matrilines. In addition, upon examination of individual migratory routes, we found only two deer that
shared an identical route. An analysis including males
could test this hypothesis (sensu Nielsen et al. 2013) or at
least be viewed as an independent replicate as males are
more prone to disperse (Nelson 1993).
Interestingly, Colorado represents a confluence of several
different refugial lineages (Latch et al. 2009), with recolonization routes and so-called hybrid hot spot clusters falling

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

943

�Northrup et al.

0.0
−0.2
−0.4

Coefficient value

0.2

0.4

Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

INRA011 RT30

BBJ

K

BL25 BM6438 BM848

RT7

N

ETH152 BM6506

P

D

BM4107 RT5

OCAM

R

Locus
Figure 3 Box plots of coefficients for effect of microsatellite loci on mule deer body fat percent. Coefficients were obtained through beta regression
model in a Bayesian hierarchical framework. Box plots represent median (black line) interquartile range (box bounds) and upper and lower 95%
bounds (whiskers) of coefficient values.

directly in northwestern Colorado (Swenson and Howard
2005). We hypothesize that the mtDNA effect we documented is either: (i) reflective of different refugial histories
and biogeography of the mtDNA lineages (Latch et al.
2009), where for example, mule deer originating in northern regions would have locally adapted phenotypes and distinct haplotypes linked to earlier migration times than
those from the south (a carryover effect); or (ii) due to differences in energetics related to mtDNA, where, for example, Toews et al. (2014) showed that mitochondrial
introgression (where different haplotypes had different
energetic outputs) was responsible for differing migratory
behavior in a warbler transition zone.
Monteith et al. (2011a) and Lendrum et al. (2013)
showed that spring migration timing is closely linked to
plant phenology, as deer aim to arrive on their summer
range close in time to the peak of plant productivity. Spring
arrival dates are more likely to follow plant phenology on
individual deer summer ranges, whereas fall migration is
linked to weather (temperature and snow on summer
range) and individual characteristics such as age and condition. Monteith et al. (2011a) suggested that prime age individuals in the best condition can adopt a strategy by which
they stay on summer range for longer time periods to consume higher quality vegetation in spite of the potential for
being caught in adverse weather, while poorer quality individuals cannot take on such risks. The individual characteristic hypothesis of Monteith et al. (2011b) provides support
for the energetics scenario (ii above), whereby individuals
with certain haplotypes might be better suited for taking on
the risks associated with remaining on summer range later
in the season due to associated differences in energetics.
Fine-scale natal dispersal has been shown to have a
heritable basis in albatross (Charmantier et al. 2011),
944

and genotype–phenotype associations are thought to be
important next steps in migration studies (Liedvogel
et al. 2011). For the carryover effect to be true, the
mtDNA lineages must reflect nuclear differences that
(at least partially) encode for differences in migratory
behavior or have a physiological effect. While our
results cannot tease apart a specific nuclear or mitochondrial effect, given the mtDNA migration effect
shown in warblers (Toews et al. 2014), we think this is
worth following up on using both biochemical modeling and genome-wide scans (i.e., with mtDNA haplotype as the response measure or interaction term).
Importantly, recent development in the western United
States has raised concerns over the sustainability of
mule deer migratory routes (Sawyer et al. 2005, 2009),
and under climate change, there is the potential for
trophic mismatch for migratory species, whereby migrations occur asynchronously with plant phenology (Post
et al. 2008). Monteith et al. (2011b) suggested that
plasticity in mule deer migration might allow the species to avoid such mismatches; however, if there is a
genetic basis for the variability in migration among
individuals, there may be less plasticity and more natural selection at work (Nelson 1998). Mitochondrial
introgression with white-tailed deer is likely to be unidirectional (Carr et al. 1986), which could jeopardize
the adaptive potential if hybridizations increase. However, we note that there is no evidence of white-tailed
deer presence in our study area, and thus, hybridization
is not a concern at this point. The potential for loss of
migratory routes to development combined with climate
change and hybridization highlight the importance of
maintaining the existing genetic variability in diverse
migratory phenotypes.

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

�Northrup et al.

Genetic–condition correlations
Fat is an important determinant of fitness for mule deer
(Bender et al. 2007; Johnstone-Yellin et al. 2009; Tollefson
et al. 2010). We identified two genetic markers as having
relationships with fat, although the relationships were
antagonistic (i.e., one had a positive relationship with fat
and the other negative). Similar results have been seen in
studies of both the Kentish plover (Charadrius alexandrinus
L.; Kupper et al. 2010) and the blue tit (Parus caeruleus L.;
Olano-Marin et al. 2011). With the contrasting signals of
the two markers, interpretations of what these relationships
represent become muddled. Olano-Marin et al. (2011)
viewed the negative correlation as evidence for direct effects
of the neutral loci, with the positive correlation due to
inbreeding. Inbreeding in our study area is not supported
by the FIS values and difficult to imagine given the population size and deer ecology.
Based on the evidence for a mixing of different mitochondrial lineages and effect sizes, the negative relationship
to body fat of RT30 (0.99 probability and nearly double the
effect size as all other loci) is the most likely to be genuine.
However, given the concern over spurious HFCs, we must
still consider the possibility of Type I errors (i.e., false positives). The potential for type I errors is of particular concern when detecting local effects and examining multiple
models (Szulkin et al. 2010). In light of this concern, we
highlight three points of support for the recorded relationship. First, the effect sizes of the significant coefficients were
substantially greater than those of the other loci (Fig. 3).
Second, we refit all models that had significant coefficients,
but with a strong mean 0 multivariate normal prior on the
coefficients. This approach shrinks all estimates toward 0,
acting as a penalty and reducing the number of significant
covariates (Gelman et al. 2012). In the case of the SLH –
fat correlation, all significant results (probability of an
effect &gt; 0.95) remained. Lastly, the proximity of a locus in
question relative to genes of known effect can be taken as
supportive evidence for understanding single-locus HFCs
(Von Hardenberg et al. 2007; Kupper et al. 2010). Slate
et al. (2002) observed considerable synteny in ruminants,
and more than half of the microsatellites used in their deer
linkage map had been used for the same purposes in cow
and sheep. When we screened RT30 against the annotated
cow genome (using BLAST), both primers colocalized with
100% identity to a region with the closest known gene
being that of TBC1D1. Interestingly, this gene regulates cell
growth and differentiation and has been shown to influence
fat metabolism in mice and humans (Stone et al. 2006;
Chadt et al. 2008). Given the combination of divergent
mtDNA lineages in our study area and panmixia (k = 1), a
slight disruption of co-adapted alleles that are linked to fat
metabolism could explain the negative correlation between

Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

this locus and fat (we emphasize these results represent a
small effect as body fat was predicted to decrease body fat
by &lt;0.2% in the model). This is predicted to outcome when
locally adapted lineages mix, and it has been recently suggested for grizzly bears in an area where they are subject to
large-scale human-assisted migration (Shafer et al. 2014).
While the above lines of evidence offer support to the
effect of RT30 on fat being genuine, given the small number of loci examined, we must remain skeptical about this
relationship. Rather, we present these findings as noteworthy and in need of confirmation by studies with larger samples and with genomic methods.
Conclusions and evolutionary applications
We have shown fine-scale relationships between genetic
variation and phenotypic traits in mule deer that have not
been found in previous work on this species. Our study
identified fine-scale genetic correlates to both migration
timing and body fat that are likely overlooked (and probably unexpected) in this species. These results have potential
management implications for mule deer, which are under
substantial human pressure from a multitude of stressors
(Sawyer et al. 2006). The genetic polymorphisms in this
population that are linked to phenotypic traits related to
phenology and metabolic variation could prove important
in the face of climate change and other anthropogenic
stressors that are likely to affect both optimal timing of
migration and the role of fat stores in survival and reproduction. Monitoring hybridization with white-tailed deer
should also be considered with respect to the mtDNA
effect, as introgression is likely to go from white-tailed to
mule deer (Carr et al. 1986) and could alter the adaptive
potential. Efforts should be made to better characterize
additional drivers behind this phenotypic and genetic variation in an effort to maintain a diversity of phenotypes that
might best be able to adapt to novel conditions. Screening
for similar associations in more imperiled deer populations
(and cervid species) may help shed light on local population dynamics and better inform management decisions.
Acknowledgements
Mule deer capture and monitoring was funded by Colorado Parks and Wildlife (CPW), White River Bureau of
Land Management, ExxonMobil Production/XTO Energy,
WPX Energy, Shell Exploration and Production, EnCana
Corp., Marathon Oil Corp., Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration (W-185-R), the Colorado Mule Deer Foundation,
the Colorado Mule Deer Association, Safari Club International, Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission,
and the Colorado State Severance Tax. Genetic analysis was
funded by startup funds to GW. We thank L. Wolfe, C.

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

945

�Genetic correlates in a wild cervid

Northrup et al.

Bishop, D. Finley (CPW) and numerous field technicians
for capture expertise and field assistance. We thank Quicksilver Air, Inc. for deer captures, and L. Gepfert (CPW) and
Coulter Aviation, Inc. for fixed-wing aircraft support. M.
Alldredge and M. Rice (CPW), along with 2 anonymous
reviewers provided helpful comments that greatly
improved the manuscript.
Data archiving statement
Data for this study are available from GenBank Accession
Numbers KM061069–KM061151 and from the Dryad Digital Repository: http://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.3vc1b.
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Supporting Information
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version
of this article:
Appendix S1. PCR conditions.
Appendix S2. Microsatellite diversity statistics
Table 1. Microsatellite loci, number of individuals genotyped (N),
number of alleles present at each loci (Na), observed heterozygosity
(Ho), expected heterozygosity (He), and fixation index (F).
Appendix S3. Bayesian model formulations.
Appendix S4. Phylogenetic trees.
Appendix S5. Supplemental results.
Table 1. Identification (ID) numbers, ages, study area, and whether
individual was captured in December, March or both for mule deer captured in the Piceance basin of Colorado.
Table 2. DIC values for multi-level linear regression models on mule
deer body mass, and multi-level beta regression models on mule deer
body fat relative to MLH (multi-locus heterozygosity) or SLH (singlelocus heterozygosity).
Table 3. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate on
mule deer body mass and body fat estimated from multi-level linear or
beta regression respectively.
Table 4. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate on
mule deer Spring migration termination date estimated from negative
binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance
basin, Colorado.
Table 5. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate on
mule deer Spring migration initiation date estimated from negative
binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance
basin, Colorado.
Table 6. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a negative or positive effect of the covariate on
mule deer Fall migration initiation date estimated from negative binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance basin,
Colorado.
Figure 1. Fitted values versus residuals from negative binomial model
fit to migration timing of mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado.
Figure 2. Fitted values versus residuals from negative binomial model
fit to migration timing of mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado.
The residuals were calculated from the model including mtDNA clades
determined from the neighbor joining analysis.
Figure 3. Fitted values versus residuals from hierarchical beta regression fit to percent body fat of mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado.

© 2014 The Authors. Evolutionary Applications published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd 7 (2014) 937–948

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                  <text>APPENDIX S1: PCR conditions
The multiplex microsatellite reaction consisted of 25 ng DNA, 5 μL 2× Qiagen Multiplex mix, 2
μL primer mix, and 0.5 μL distilled water. The 10 μl single reactions contained 0.8 μL of MgCl2
(20 mM), 1 μL 10× PCR buffer, 2 μL of dNTPs (0.2 mM each), a 20× primer mix diluted to
between 0.24 and 0.34 μL each, 0.08 μL of Taq (0.5 units), 1 μL of DNA template (~10 ng) and
Milli-Q water. One primer per pair was fluorescently labelled. The multiplex PCR parameters
followed Cullingham et al. (2011) and the single-PCRs began with an initial 3-minute
denaturation at 95°C, followed by 38 cycles of 30 seconds denaturation at 94°C, 90 seconds
annealing at 49°C, and 30 seconds extension at 72°C. The microsatellite amplicons were loaded
on an ABI 3730 DNA sequencer (Applied Biosystems, Foster City, CA, USA) with a GS500LIZ
size standard (Applied Biosystems). Microsatellite alleles were scored using GENEMAPPER
version 4.0 (Applied Biosystems) and deviations from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE)
were tested using the exact test (Guo and Thompson 1992) implemented in Genepop v.4.0
(Rousset 2008)and FSTAT v.2.9.3 (Goudet 1995)was used to test for linkage disequilibrium.

The mitochondrial control region was amplified in a 25 μl PCR reaction containing ~50 ng of
template DNA, 0.2 mM each dNTP, 1× PCR buffer, 0.2 μM each primer, 1.6 mM MgCl2, 0.1 U
Taq DNA polymerase, and Milli-Q water. The PCR profile was as follows: hot-start followed by
an initial 2-minute denaturation at 94°C, followed by 38 cycles of 30 seconds denaturation at
94°C, 58°C, 72°C. The run concluded after 5 minutes at 72°C. PCR success was determined
from gel electrophoresis. PCR product (10 μl) was treated with 5 μl of ExoSAP (USB
Corporation, OH, USA) and incubated at 37°C for 15 minutes followed by 80°C for 15 minutes.
The ExoSAP treated PCR product was used in a sequencing reaction. Amplicons were directly

�sequenced in both directions using a Big Dye Terminator Kit (Applied Biosystems, Foster City,
CA) and generated on an ABI 3730. Sequences were aligned using the ClustalW algorithm
(Thompson et al. 1994).

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                  <text>APPENDIX S3: Microsatellite diversity statistics
Table 1. Microsatellite loci, number of individuals genotyped (N), number of alleles present at
each loci (Na), observed heterozygosity (Ho), expected heterozygosity (He), and fixation index
(F).
Locus

N

Na

Ho

He

F

INRA011a

134

6.000

0.500

0.489

-0.023

RT30a

132

14.000

0.788

0.794

0.008

BBJ2a

134

8.000

0.739

0.781

0.054

Ka

135

5.000

0.748

0.725

-0.032

BL25a

133

6.000

0.767

0.706

-0.086

BM6438a

134

10.000

0.784

0.732

-0.071

BM848a

135

9.000

0.748

0.755

0.010

RT7a

133

8.000

0.827

0.786

-0.052

Na

135

12.000

0.852

0.881

0.033

ETH152a

134

10.000

0.791

0.803

0.015

BM6506a

135

5.000

0.741

0.701

-0.056

Pa

132

7.000

0.538

0.550

0.021

Da

132

6.000

0.462

0.463

0.001

BM4107a

134

11.000

0.828

0.838

0.011

RT5a

134

10.000

0.836

0.777

-0.075

OCAMa

129

8.000

0.628

0.558

-0.125

Ra

131

6.000

0.634

0.619

-0.024

Mean

133.294

8.294

0.718

0.703

-0.023

SE

0.400

0.629

0.029

0.030

0.012

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                  <text>Appendix D: Phylogenetic trees

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                  <text>APPENDIX S5: supplemental results
Table 1. Identification (ID) numbers, ages, study area, and whether individual was captured in
December, March or both for mule deer captured in the Piceance basin of Colorado.
ID number

Age

Study area

Capture period

11890

4.5

SM

December

102352

5.5

NM

December

102353

9.5

NM

December

102354

5.5

NM

December

102357

10.5

NM

December

102358

2.5

NM

December

102363

5.5

NM

December

102365

5.5

NM

December

102368

3.5

NM

December

102370

3.5

NM

December

102371

10.5

NM

December

102374

8.5

SM

December

102375

2.5

SM

December

102376

10.5

SM

December

102377

5.5

SM

December

102380

2.5

SM

December

�102384

7.5

SM

December

102385

1.5

SM

December

102386

4.5

SM

December

102390

7.5

SM

December

102391

4.5

SM

December

102392

4.5

RG

December

102396

7.5

RG

December

102398

3.5

RG

December

102407

9.5

RG

December

102408

6.5

RG

December

102409

4.5

RG

December

102410

1.5

RG

December

102411

4.5

RG

December

102412

7.5

RG

December

102413

4.5

RG

December

102416

3.5

RG

December

102417

6.5

RG

December

102418

3.5

RG

December

�102419

5.5

RG

December

102420

4.5

RG

December

102421

10.5

RG

December

102423

2.5

RG

December

102426

7.5

RG

December

102427

9.5

RG

December

102429

7.5

RG

December

102430

9.5

RG

December

102431

10.5

RG

December

102434

5.5

RG

December

102435

4.5

RG

December

102436

7.5

NR

December

102442

7.5

NR

December

102443

10.5

NR

December

102444

4.5

NR

December

102448

6.5

NR

December

102449

3.5

NR

December

102452

2.5

NR

December

�102455

3.5

NR

December

102456

4.5

NR

December

102457

8.5

NR

December

11758

9.5

NR

Both

11760

5.5

NR

Both

11761

2.5

NR

Both

11767

4.5

NR

Both

11768

6.5

NR

Both

11769

8.5

NR

Both

11771

3.5

NR

Both

11772

8.5

NR

Both

11778

5.5

RG

Both

11779

5.5

RG

Both

11780

4.5

RG

Both

11781

4.5

RG

Both

11782

6.5

RG

Both

11783

4.5

RG

Both

11784

5.5

RG

Both

�11787

8.5

RG

Both

11788

3.5

RG

Both

11789

6.5

RG

Both

11791

4.5

RG

Both

11792

3.5

RG

Both

11885

2.5

SM

Both

11886

5.5

SM

Both

11887

6.5

SM

Both

11888

3.5

SM

Both

11889

5.5

SM

Both

11891

10.5

SM

Both

11894

10.5

SM

Both

11899

4.5

SM

Both

11903

3.5

NM

Both

11905

3.5

NM

Both

11906

2.5

NM

Both

11908

3.5

NM

Both

11910

8.5

NM

Both

�11911

4.5

NM

Both

11913

6.5

NM

Both

11916

10.5

NM

Both

11919

2.5

NM

Both

11920

2.5

NM

Both

102393

6.5

RG

Both

102395

8.5

RG

Both

102397

6.5

RG

Both

102399

4.5

RG

Both

102401

3.5

RG

Both

102432

3.5

RG

Both

102433

9.5

RG

Both

102437

5.5

NR

Both

11756

7.5

NR

March

11759

7.5

NR

March

11762

1.5

NR

March

11764

7.5

NR

March

11765

2.5

NR

Both

�11766

5.5

NR

Both

11770

6.5

NR

March

11773

6.5

NR

March

11774

5.5

NR

March

11775

3.5

NR

March

11776

2.5

NR

March

11777

11.5

RG

March

11882

5.5

SM

March

11883

7.5

SM

March

11884

8.5

SM

March

11892

4.5

SM

March

11893

8.5

SM

March

11895

10.5

SM

March

11896

4.5

SM

March

11897

3.5

SM

March

11898

6.5

SM

March

11900

7.5

SM

March

11901

3.5

SM

March

�11902

7.5

NM

March

11904

3.5

NM

March

11907

7.5

NM

March

11909

4.5

NM

March

11912

6.5

NM

March

11914

4.5

NM

March

11915

8.5

NM

March

11917

4.5

NM

March

11918

8.5

NM

March

11921

6.5

NM

March

�Table 2. DIC values for multi-level linear regression models on mule deer body mass, and multilevel beta regression models on mule deer body fat relative to MLH (multi-locus heterozygosity)
or SLH (single-locus heterozygosity). Body mass and fat were calculated from deer captured via
helicopter net-gunning on their winter range.
Dependent

Model

Model structure

DIC

Mass

M1

MLH + Age + March Capture + Study area

-338.9

Mass

M2

MLH + Age + Age2 + March Capture + Study area

-339.2

Mass

M3

SLH* + Age + March Capture + Study area

-334.5

Mass

M4

SLH* + Age + Age2 + March Capture + Study area

-334.6

Fat

F1

MLH + Age + March Capture + Study area

-695.9

Fat

F2

MLH + Age + Age2 + March Capture + Study area

-695.8

Fat

F3

SLH* + Age + March Capture + Study area

-691.6

Fat

F4

SLH* + Age + Age2 + March Capture + Study area

-690.9

variable

SLH indicates a set of 17 dummy variables indicating if the individual was heterozygous (1) or

*

not (0) at a specific locus.

�Table 3. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a
negative or positive effect of the covariate on mule deer body mass and body fat estimated from
multi-level linear or beta regression respectively. Models presented are lowest DIC models for
both MLH and SLH models of mass and body fat.
Mass model
M2
Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

MLH

0.117

0.24

0.76

Age

0.036

0.03

0.97

Age2

-0.021

0.91

0.09

March Capture -0.1

1

0

NR*

-0.014

0.61

0.39

RG†

-0.02

0.67

0.33

SM‡

-0.007

0.56

0.44

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Mass model
M4
Covariate

�Age

0.033

0.06

0.94

Age2

-0.021

0.89

0.11

March Capture -0.100

1

0

NR*

-0.014

0.60

0.40

RG†

-0.027

0.69

0.31

SM‡

-0.027

0.69

0.31

INRA011

-0.024

0.73

0.27

RT30

-0.060

0.90

0.10

BBJ

0.024

0.30

0.70

K

0.036

0.20

0.80

BL25

-0.004

0.53

0.47

BM6438

0.010

0.42

0.58

BM848

0.028

0.27

0.73

RT7

0.030

0.29

0.71

N

0.085

0.06

0.94

ETH152

-0.034

0.77

0.23

BM6506

0.036

0.21

0.79

�P

0.002

0.48

0.52

D

0.010

0.40

0.60

BM4107

0.044

0.21

0.79

RT5

0.032

0.27

0.73

OCAM

0.027

0.25

0.75

R

-0.038

0.82

0.18

Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

MLH

0.094

0.39

0.61

Age

-0.043

0.87

0.13

March Capture -0.515

1

0

NR*

-0.078

0.74

0.26

RG†

-0.026

0.60

0.4

SM‡

0.041

0.36

0.64

Fat model F1

Fat model F3

�Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Age

-0.051

0.89

0.11

March Capture -0.518

1

0

NR*

-0.104

0.80

0.20

RG†

-0.105

0.82

0.18

SM‡

-0.059

0.69

0.31

INRA011

-0.127

0.93

0.07

RT30

-0.240

0.99

0.01

BBJ

0.077

0.22

0.78

K

-0.034

0.65

0.35

BL25

0.074

0.27

0.73

BM6438

-0.001

0.50

0.50

BM848

-0.108

0.87

0.13

RT7

-0.078

0.72

0.28

N

0.087

0.22

0.78

ETH152

-0.004

0.52

0.48

BM6506

0.024

0.40

0.60

�P

0.175

0.04

0.96

D

0.092

0.13

0.87

BM4107

0.053

0.32

0.68

RT5

0.145

0.13

0.87

OCAM

0.020

0.41

0.59

R

-0.076

0.81

0.19

Indicates deer captured in the NR study area, with NM as the reference category

*
†

Indicates deer captured in the RG study area, with NM as the reference category

‡

Indicates deer captured in the SM study area, with NM as the reference category

�Table 4. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a
negative or positive effect of the covariate on mule deer Spring migration termination date
estimated from negative binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance
basin, Colorado.
Neighbor joining clades
Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

3.48

0

1

Age

0.01

0.45

0.55

NR*

-0.23

0.93

0.07

RG†

-0.01

0.52

0.48

SM‡

-0.02

0.56

0.44

mtDNA cluster 2§

0.04

0.38

0.62

mtDNA cluster 3§

0.04

0.39

0.61

Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

3.49

0

1

Bayesian clades

�Age

0.01

0.44

0.56

NR*

-0.23

0.93

0.07

RG†

-0.02

0.55

0.45

SM‡

-0.03

0.58

0.42

mtDNA cluster 2§

0.03

0.41

0.59

Indicates deer captured in the NR study area, with NM as the reference category

*
†

Indicates deer captured in the RG study area, with NM as the reference category

‡

Indicates deer captured in the SM study area, with NM as the reference category
mtDNA cluster 1 is the reference category

§

�Table 5. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a
negative or positive effect of the covariate on mule deer Spring migration initiation date
estimated from negative binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance
basin, Colorado.
Neighbor joining clades
Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

3.41

0

1

Age

-0.03

0.7

0.3

NR*

-0.67

1

0

RG†

-0.14

0.79

0.21

SM‡

-0.08

0.67

0.33

mtDNA cluster 2§

0.01

0.48

0.52

mtDNA 3

-0.12

0.76

0.24

Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

3.36

0

1

Bayesian clades

�Age

-0.04

0.76

0.24

NR*

-0.66

1

0

RG†

-0.11

0.74

0.26

SM‡

-0.05

0.32

0.38

mtDNA cluster 2§

0.04

0.38

0.62

Indicates deer captured in the NR study area, with NM as the reference category

*
†

Indicates deer captured in the RG study area, with NM as the reference category

‡

Indicates deer captured in the SM study area, with NM as the reference category
mtDNA cluster 1 is the reference category

§

�Table 6. Covariates, median coefficient (coeff.) values, and the probability (prob.) of either a
negative or positive effect of the covariate on mule deer Fall migration initiation date estimated
from negative binomial regression model from mule deer captured in the Piceance basin,
Colorado.
Neighbor joining clades
Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

3.07

0

1

Age

-0.17

0.92

0.08

NR*

-0.1

0.62

0.38

RG†

-0.44

0.91

0.09

SM‡

-0.78

0.98

0.02

mtDNA cluster 2§

-0.52

0.96

0.04

mtDNA cluster 3§

-0.55

0.95

0.05

Covariate

Median coeff. value

Prob. coeff. is negative

Prob. coeff. positive

Intercept

2.84

0

1

Bayesian clades

�Age

-0.18

0.93

0.07

NR*

-0.08

0.59

0.41

RG†

-0.28

0.81

0.19

SM‡

-0.59

0.95

0.05

mtDNA cluster 2§

-0.35

0.9

0.1

Indicates deer captured in the NR study area, with NM as the reference category

*
†

Indicates deer captured in the RG study area, with NM as the reference category

‡

Indicates deer captured in the SM study area, with NM as the reference category
mtDNA cluster 1 is the reference category

§

�Fig. 1. Fitted values versus residuals from negative binomial model fit to migration timing of
mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado. The residuals were calculated from the model
including mtDNA clades determined from the Bayesian analysis.

�Fig. 2. Fitted values versus residuals from negative binomial model fit to migration timing of
mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado. The residuals were calculated from the model
including mtDNA clades determined from the neighbor joining analysis.

�Fig. 3. Fitted values versus residuals from hierarchical beta regression fit to percent body fat of
mule deer in the Piceance basin of Colorado. Residuals are from best model as determined by
DIC (deviance information criteria).

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              <text>&lt;a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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        <element elementId="56">
          <name>Date Created</name>
          <description>Date of creation of the resource.</description>
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            <elementText elementTextId="680">
              <text>2014-08-28</text>
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        <element elementId="41">
          <name>Description</name>
          <description>An account of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="681">
              <text>The relationship between genetic variation and phenotypic traits is fundamental to the study and management of natural populations. Such relationships often are investigated by assessing correlations between phenotypic traits and heterozygosity or genetic differentiation. Using an extensive data set compiled from free-ranging mule deer (&lt;em&gt;Odocoileus hemionus&lt;/em&gt;), we combined genetic and ecological data to (i) examine correlations between genetic differentiation and migration timing, (ii) screen for mitochondrial haplotypes associated with migration timing, and (iii) test whether nuclear heterozygosity was associated with condition. Migration was related to genetic differentiation (more closely related individuals migrated closer in time) and mitochondrial haplogroup. Body fat was related to heterozygosity at two nuclear loci (with antagonistic patterns), one of which is situated near a known fat metabolism gene in mammals. Despite being focused on a widespread panmictic species, these findings revealed a link between genetic variation and important phenotypes at a fine scale. We hypothesize that these correlations are either the result of mixing refugial lineages or differential mitochondrial haplotypes influencing energetics. The maintenance of phenotypic diversity will be critical to enable the potential tracking of changing climatic conditions, and these correlates highlight the need to consider evolutionary mechanisms in management, even in widely distributed panmictic species.</text>
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        <element elementId="39">
          <name>Creator</name>
          <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="683">
              <text>Northrup, Joseph M.</text>
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            <elementText elementTextId="728">
              <text>Shafer, Aaron B. A.</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="729">
              <text>Anderson Jr, Charles R.</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="730">
              <text>Coltman, David W.</text>
            </elementText>
            <elementText elementTextId="731">
              <text>Wittemyer, George</text>
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        <element elementId="44">
          <name>Language</name>
          <description>A language of the resource</description>
          <elementTextContainer>
            <elementText elementTextId="684">
              <text>English</text>
            </elementText>
          </elementTextContainer>
        </element>
        <element elementId="70">
          <name>Is Part Of</name>
          <description>A related resource in which the described resource is physically or logically included.</description>
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            <elementText elementTextId="685">
              <text>Evolutionary Applications</text>
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        <element elementId="78">
          <name>Extent</name>
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            <elementText elementTextId="687">
              <text>12 pages</text>
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        <element elementId="80">
          <name>Bibliographic Citation</name>
          <description>A bibliographic reference for the resource. Recommended practice is to include sufficient bibliographic detail to identify the resource as unambiguously as possible.</description>
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            <elementText elementTextId="688">
              <text>Northrup, J. M., A. B. A. Shafer, C. R. Anderson Jr., D. W. Coltman, and G. Wittemyer. 2014. Fine–scale genetic correlates to condition and migration in a wild cervid. Evolutionary Applications 7:937–948. &lt;a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12189" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12189&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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        <element elementId="48">
          <name>Source</name>
          <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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            <elementText elementTextId="693">
              <text>&lt;a href="https://datadryad.org/stash/dataset/doi:10.5061/dryad.3vc1b" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;Data from: Fine scale genetic correlates to condition and migration in a wild Cervid&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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        </element>
        <element elementId="49">
          <name>Subject</name>
          <description>The topic of the resource</description>
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            <elementText elementTextId="720">
              <text>Genetic differentiation</text>
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            <elementText elementTextId="721">
              <text>Heterozygosity fitness correlation</text>
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              <text>Migration</text>
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              <text>Mule deer</text>
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              <text>Multilocus heterozygosity</text>
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            <elementText elementTextId="725">
              <text>&lt;em&gt;Odocoileus hemionus&lt;/em&gt;</text>
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              <text>Single-locus heterozygosity</text>
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              <text>Wildlife</text>
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          <name>Format</name>
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              <text>application/pdf</text>
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