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                  <text>The research in this publication was partially or fully funded by Colorado Parks and Wildlife.

Dan Prenzlow, Director, Colorado Parks and Wildlife • Parks and Wildlife Commission: Marvin McDaniel, Chair • Carrie Besnette Hauser, Vice-Chair
Marie Haskett, Secretary • Taishya Adams • Betsy Blecha • Charles Garcia • Dallas May • Duke Phillips, IV • Luke B. Schafer • James Jay Tutchton • Eden Vardy

�www.nature.com/scientificreports

OPEN

received: 10 August 2016
accepted: 24 November 2016
Published: 23 December 2016

Human expansion precipitates
niche expansion for an
opportunistic apex predator
(Puma concolor)
Wynne E. Moss1, Mathew W. Alldredge2, Kenneth A. Logan2 &amp; Jonathan N. Pauli1
There is growing recognition that developed landscapes are important systems in which to promote
ecological complexity and conservation. Yet, little is known about processes regulating these novel
ecosystems, or behaviours employed by species adapting to them. We evaluated the isotopic niche
of an apex carnivore, the cougar (Puma concolor), over broad spatiotemporal scales and in a region
characterized by rapid landscape change. We detected a shift in resource use, from near complete
specialization on native herbivores in wildlands to greater use of exotic and invasive species by cougars
in contemporary urban interfaces. We show that 25 years ago, cougars inhabiting these same urban
interfaces possessed diets that were intermediate. Thus, niche expansion followed human expansion
over both time and space, indicating that an important top predator is interacting with prey in novel
ways. Thus, though human-dominated landscapes can provide sufficient resources for apex carnivores,
they do not necessarily preserve their ecological relationships.
The conversion of wildlands to developed habitat is a pervasive threat to native species, and tends to create biotically homogenous communities1 differing strongly from their historical norm2. Though conservation efforts have
traditionally focused on preserving pristine habitat, there is now growing interest in enhancing biodiversity in
already transformed ecosystems (e.g. the “New Conservation” movement3), including human-dominated landscapes. Indeed, accumulating evidence suggests that urban ecosystems can represent viable habitat for species of
conservation importance4. Yet, maintaining functional ecological relationships in these novel and transformed
systems will be challenging, as they feature community assemblages and interactions that are entirely new and
poorly understood2.
Large-bodied carnivores have received disproportionate attention for their role as ecosystem regulators, and
are often targeted as a means to restore stability to systems altered by human activity5. Until recently, it was
assumed that only smaller-bodied mesocarnivores could exploit highly developed areas while large carnivores
were excluded due to their sensitivity to fragmentation and enhanced conflict with humans6. After decades of
decline, many large apex carnivores are rebounding in North America and Europe, and they are now increasingly
using developed and urban habitats worldwide7–10. To understand the value and function of such ecosystems
in global conservation, it is essential to measure how species at the highest trophic levels behave and exploit
resources within them.
Though much of our understanding of large carnivore ecology is derived from wildland systems, accumulating evidence suggests that habitat development significantly alters their behaviour and ecology in predictable
ways. Due to shifts in prey communities, bottom-up subsidies, and altered risk landscapes in these emerging
developed ecosystems, resource use of apex carnivores can differ strongly from historic patterns11. Dietary shifts,
along with changes in demography12 have the potential to alter top-down forcing, with implications for ecosystem
stability and resilience13. Thus, it has been suggested that apex carnivores in developed ecosystems are returning
in name only, possessing a novel ecological niche14.
Herein, we provide evidence that an ecologically important and rebounding apex carnivore15, the cougar (Puma concolor), has recently diversified its resource use and, therefore, is expanding its niche and
1

Department of Forest &amp; Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA. 2Colorado Parks
&amp; Wildlife, Fort Collins, Colorado, 80525, USA. Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to
W.E.M. (email: wmoss@wisc.edu)

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Figure 1. Cougar niche varies with anthropogenic change. (a) Sites differed in land use (% of study area classified as
developed; primary axis) and human density (secondary axis; for details see Supplementary Materials,
Supplementary Table 1). (b) Estimates of diet (±​95% Bayesian credibility intervals) from mixing models revealed
that the contemporary urban interface population had the lowest reliance on native herbivores, while the
contemporary wildland population specialized almost entirely upon them. (c–e) Isotopic signatures of prey (plotted
as corrected standard ellipses) from left to right: native herbivores, large domestic species, synanthropic wildlife, and
small domestic species. Cougars (black dots) in the contemporary urban interface possessed the widest niche breadth
(standard ellipse; in black). Cougars in the historic urban interface were isotopically distinct from their contemporary
counterparts.

interacting with novel prey in highly developed ecosystems. Traditionally viewed as wildland specialists reliant
on tracts of protected land with high ungulate densities16,17, cougars are increasingly found utilizing a gradient
of human-developed landscapes18–20. However, fundamental aspects of their ecology, including survival rates18,21
and diet21,22, appear to differ in highly developed landscapes. To understand how rapid and extensive this dietary
shift is, and how cougar-prey interactions may change within these novel ecosystems, we analysed the isotopic
signatures of three cougar populations in Colorado, USA: a contemporary wildland population, a contemporary
population in an urban interface, and a population in that same urban interface 25 years prior. By modelling isotopic niche over broad spatiotemporal scales, we detected changes in resource use over space and time, including
higher use of exotic and synanthropic prey in today’s urban interface. Over the past 25 years, cougar populations
near human development expanded their diet, from near specialization on native herbivore prey to a more generalist diet. Thus, the interactions between cougars and their prey appear to shift in human-dominated landscapes,
with implications for ecosystem functioning.

Results

Cougars from the three populations (contemporary urban interface, historic urban interface, and contemporary
wildlands) differed in isotopic signature (K nearest-neighbour, p &lt;​ 0.001; Fig. 1b–d; Supplementary Table 4). The
contemporary urban interface population occupied a broader isotopic niche (SEAC =​  1.1; SEACB =​  1.1), compared to both the historic urban interface (SEAC =​  0.6; SEACB =​ 0.6) and wildland populations (SEAC =​  0.7;
SEACB =​ 0.6), and these differences were significant (contemporary urban vs. wildland: p =​  0.03; contemporary
urban vs. historic urban: p =​ 0.004; Supplementary Fig. 2). We did not detect a difference in isotopic niche size
between cougars inhabiting the historic urban interface and wildlands (p =​ 0.44). Bootstrap analysis, as well as
analyses of adults only, indicated that the patterns we observed were not driven by outliers, differences in sample
sizes, or the demographic composition of samples (Supplementary Materials, Fig. S2, Table S5).
Differences in isotopic niche reflected differences in resource use and dietary diversity between populations,
as evidenced by population-wide diet estimates. Contemporary cougars in the urban interface used the highest
diversity of prey, with 63–79% of their assimilated biomass from native herbivores (95% Bayesian credibility
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intervals; Fig. 1e; Supplementary Table S4), and the rest from urban-associated food resources like domestic species (exotics) and synanthropic wildlife (invasives). The wildland population, conversely, relied almost entirely
(91–99% of assimilated biomass) on native herbivores (Fig. 1e;), likely large ungulates like elk Cervus elaphus
(Linnaeus 1758) and mule deer Odocoileus hemionus (Rafinesque 1817). We also observed temporal changes in
diet; cougars in the urban interface in the 1980s were intermediate in use of native herbivores (Fig. 1e; 73–95%
of diet).

Discussion

Cougars are opportunistic predators, and it appears that this plasticity could be one of the mechanisms by which
they successfully exploit novel ecosystems. Indeed, we found that land use changes corresponded with shifts in
dietary inputs and overall isotopic niche, and may indicate a changing ecology for cougars in these novel and
developing landscapes. Cougars in the wildlands and those in the urban interface 25 years ago relied almost
exclusively on native herbivores, principally large bodied ungulates. While still heavily reliant on native ungulates,
cougars in the urban interface today interact with a more diverse group of prey species, including both exotic and
invasive prey (synanthropic mesocarnivores and domestic species) which are abundant in developed habitats23.
Though the land use change in the urban interface of Colorado’s Front Range over the past 25 years has primarily
consisted of rural-to-exurban transformation (Supplementary Table S2), it appears this intensification of development is associated with large and rapid changes in diet composition for cougar inhabitants.
Shifts in cougar diet over time and space may reflect differences in the availability of prey species, given the
higher abundance of exotic and invasive prey in developed habitats23. However, there is evidence that cougars may
actually select for smaller-bodied prey within developed landscapes to reduce handling time and thus risk22. It is
highly unlikely, however, that the observed change in diet is simply due to changes in ungulate densities, which
have remained relatively constant in the urban interface (Supplementary Materials, Figure S3). Regardless of
whether shifts in resource use are due to increased availability of alternative prey or selection for smaller-bodied
prey (or both), cougars have demonstrated a shift in resource use in developed areas, across both spatial and temporal scales. Although it is unclear whether this shift is repeated elsewhere, we anticipate this pattern holds true in
other developed systems globally given the similarity of these areas regardless of geographic location1.
The expansion in diet of cougars has a number of implications for both cougar conservation and the community dynamics of developed systems. For instance, the consumption of domestic species in developed landscapes enhances cougar mortality rates by increasing the risk of conflict with humans21, which could represent
an ecological trap. Interactions with domestic and synanthropic prey, including closely related species (i.e. wild
mesocarnivores and domestic cats and dogs), can also alter disease dynamics due to shared pathogens24,25. Finally,
shifts in resource use by apex carnivores, even if the change is driven by a very few individuals, have the potential to alter the dynamics of prey populations, restructure community assemblages and transform ecosystem
functioning26,27. It remains to be seen how the rapid changes in diet we have observed will affect the relationship
between cougar and their ungulate prey, and is an interesting line of future research.
Apex carnivores, which are important members of ecological communities, and are among the most threatened group of species on Earth, are less sensitive to habitat development than previously assumed, and are showing evidence of adaptation to human-dominated landscapes. Our work indicates that development intensification
is associated with changes in resource use for one such apex carnivore over the course of only a few decades.
Behavioural plasticity is an encouraging sign for carnivore conservation, but could also mean that these species are departing from their historic ecological relationships. Therefore, conserving or reintroducing species to
novel urban landscapes will not necessarily resurrect historical ecological interactions, but may create novel ones
instead.

Methods

Study sites.

We evaluated resource use by contemporary (2008–2013) and historic (1983–1990) cougars
in an urban interface, as well as contemporary (2008–2013) cougars in a wildland habitat. Within each site, we
classified landcover using housing density28 and refer to urban, suburban, exurban, and rural lands as “developed” and protected, wildland habitat as “undeveloped”, though developed habitats vary widely in intensity and
degree of ecological transformation. The wildland site, on the Uncompahgre Plateau of west-central Colorado,
contains little developed habitat (6% of total land-cover), mostly along the perimeter of the study area, all of
which constitutes low intensity exurban development (Fig. 1a; Supplementary Materials; Supplementary Table S1;
Supplementary Fig. S1). The urban interface site, along the Northern Front Range of Colorado, is one of the
major urban-wildland interfaces in the United States29. Urban and suburban habitat, which tend to be unsuitable
for large carnivores, make up a small fraction (1%) of the study area. A sizeable proportion of the land area is
exurban and rural (28% and 14%, respectively); this land use is of particular interest for cougar ecology, as the
intermediate intensity of development provides attractive habitat for cougars, yet differs from wildland habitat in
community composition and risk factors18. Over half (56%) of the urban interface site is undeveloped, and these
undeveloped lands are patchy, occurring in close proximity with developed landscapes (Supplementary Fig. S1).
Human density is 6×​greater than in the wildland site (Fig. 1a). In the 1980s, when historic cougars were sampled,
this urban interface had 20% lower human density (Fig. 1a) and was intermediate in habitat development and
human density (Supplementary Table S1). Interestingly, between 1980 and 2010, there was almost no conversion
of undeveloped lands; rather, development on rural lands intensified, increasing exurban landcover (from 21 to
28%).

Sampling and isotopic analysis. We collected contemporary samples from cougars during live captures or
necropsies; we obtained historic samples from hunter mounts and museum specimens (Supplementary Materials).
To estimate cougar diet and niche breadth, we analysed the isotopic signature of cougar and prey tissues in our

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Group
Native herbivores
(urban interface)

n

Species

48

Cottontail rabbit
(Sylvilagus nuttallii)

δ13C

δ15N

−​21.8 ±​  1.0

7.2 ±​  2.0

−​21.5 ±​  0.4

8.5 ±​  1.1

−​19.9 ±​  1.4

10.3 ±​  1.6

−​18.0 ±​  1.3

10.8 ±​  1.4

−​14.0 ±​  2.5

9.6 ±​  1.3

Mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus)
Elk (Cervus elaphus)

Native herbivores
(wildland)

15

Cottontail rabbit
(Sylvilagus nuttallii)
Mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus)
Elk (Cervus elaphus)

26

Llama (Lama glama)
Alpaca (Vicugna pacos)

Large domestic species

Goat (Capra aegagrus hircus)
Sheep (Ovis aries)
38

Striped skunk (Mephitis mephitis)
Raccoon (Procyon lotor)
Fox (Vulpes vulpes)

Synanthropic wildlife

Coyote (Canis latrans)
Squirrel (Sciurus spp.)*
29
Small domestic species

Dog (Canis familiaris)
Cat (Felis catus)
Chicken (Gallus domesticus)

Table 1. Isotopic signatures (x ± SD for potential prey of cougars (Puma concolor), collected between 2008
and 2013 in a wildland and an urban interface study area. Prey were grouped into isotopically distinct and
biologically relevant groups and corrected using isotopic discrimination factors (δ​13C =​  +​2.6‰; δ​15N =​  +​3.4‰)
so they could be directly compared to cougar signatures. Isotopic signatures for native herbivores differed
between study sites. *Not identified to species level.
study areas. Estimates obtained from stable isotopes are not biased towards larger-bodied prey30; and therefore
can more accurately quantify dietary inputs and niche breadth. We have previously demonstrated21 that isotopic
signature predicts both where cougars forage and what they forage upon, essential aspects (bionomic and scenopoetic) of a consumer’s occupied ecological niche31. Finally, isotopic analysis can be performed on non-invasively
collected tissues, making comparisons over broad geographic or temporal scales more feasible. This approach,
then, has the power to detect shifts in resource use and realized niche for cryptic, wide-ranging large carnivores
at a scale that has previously been impossible.
We captured and sampled hair from 58 adult and sub-adult cougars in the contemporary wildland site and 41
in the contemporary urban interface, from 2008 to 2013 (Supplementary Materials; Supplementary Table S2). All
animal handling was in accordance with ACUC 16-2008 and 08-2004 approved by Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife,
Fort Collins, CO. We also collected nine hair samples from the urban interface site between 1983 and 1990, using
hunter mounts and museum specimens (Supplementary Materials, Supplementary Table S3). Finally, we collected
hair from 17 potential prey species (Supplementary Materials). Hair samples were prepared using standard methods32 and analysed for carbon (δ​13C) and nitrogen (δ​15N) signature, reported as parts per thousand [‰] ratios
relative to standards. We corrected for isotopic discrimination, the enrichment of heavy isotopes at higher trophic
levels (Supplementary Materials). We grouped prey into isotopically distinct groups using K nearest-neighbour
tests33. Prey clustered into four categories: native herbivores, synanthropic mesocarnivores, small domestic animals (pets), and large domestic animals (livestock), representing biologically meaningful classes (Table 1).
To compare the isotopic niche of the three cougar populations, we computed corrected standard ellipse areas
(SEAC) for each population34. Standard ellipses are bivariate estimates of variance in isotopic signature within a
population and a useful metric for population-wide niche breadth. To compare ellipse areas between populations,
we utilized a bootstrap approach (Supplementary Materials), which also allowed us to test the robustness of our
estimates of SEAC to sample size and outliers. We report the median SEAC from bootstrap simulations (SEACB), as
well as median p-values from t-tests (Supplementary Fig. S2). To interpret the ecological significance of isotopic
niche shifts, we estimated population-wide diet compositions using Bayesian mixing models35,36. We report 95%
credibility intervals of Bayesian posterior probability distributions, which represent the most likely proportion of
each diet item for a given population of consumers.

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Acknowledgements

This study was funded by Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife. Historic samples were obtained from the Museum of
Southwestern Biology and from the Denver Museum of Nature &amp; Science. We thank hunters, volunteers and
technicians for help in obtaining samples.

Author Contributions

W.E.M. and J.N.P. wrote the manuscript and performed statistical analyses. W.E.M., J.N.P., and M.W.A. designed
the study. W.E.M., M.W.A., and K.A.L. carried out field and laboratory analyses. All authors reviewed the
manuscript.

Additional Information

Supplementary information accompanies this paper at http://www.nature.com/srep
Competing financial interests: The authors declare no competing financial interests.
How to cite this article: Moss, W. E. et al. Human expansion precipitates niche expansion for an opportunistic
apex predator (​Puma concolor). Sci. Rep. 6, 39639; doi: 10.1038/srep39639 (2016).
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                  <text>Niche expansion in an apex predator
1

Human expansion precipitates niche expansion for an opportunistic apex predator

2

(Puma concolor)

3
4

Wynne E. Moss1*, Mathew W. Alldredge2, Kenneth A. Logan2, and Jonathan N. Pauli1

5
6

1

7

Wisconsin 53706, USA

8

2

Department of Forest &amp; Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin, Madison,

Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife, Fort Collins, Colorado, 80525, USA

9
10

*wmoss@wisc.edu

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
11

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

12

Study areas

13

We conducted our study in two regions of Colorado, which represent extremes in human

14

influence. The wildland site, located in the Uncompahgre Plateau (Fig. S1), varies in

15

elevation from about 1,700 m to 3,000 m. The most abundant large herbivores in the

16

wildland study area are mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) and elk (Cervus elaphus),

17

although sheep and cattle range within the study area during the summer months. Human

18

population density and road density are low, and over half of the land-cover is publicly

19

owned and undeveloped (Table S1). The urban interface site, located in the Northern

20

Front Range (Fig. S1), ranges from 1,600 to 4,300 m in elevation. The south-eastern part

21

of the urban interface site lies within the boundary of the expanding Denver metropolis,

22

while the south-western part of the study area is primarily publicly owned wildland; thus,

23

this study area is a matrix of both developed and undeveloped habitat (Table S1). We

24

sampled cougars within both of these study areas from 2008-2013, as well as cougars

25

living in the urban interface study area in the 1980s, which we refer to as the historic

26

urban interface. In the 1980s, there was 25% less developed habitat and 20% fewer

27

people in the urban interface study area, though the level of habitat development and

28

human density was still higher than observed in the wildland study area. Cougar density

29

in the wildland study site was at least 2.5 independent cougars per 100 km2;1, with

30

densities in the contemporary urban interface likely between 2 and 3 (Colorado Parks &amp;

31

Wildlife unpublished data).

32
33

We quantified measures of anthropogenic influence within our study areas, as
given by housing density, road density, and human population density. We obtained

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
34

population counts at the census block group level in the contemporary sites2 and the

35

historic sites3. We selected all the census block groups whose centroid lay within the

36

bounds of the study site and summed their populations. Density was calculated by

37

dividing total population by the area of all selected census block groups. To determine

38

road density, we used TIGER/Line shapefiles4 to quantify the km of road per km2 study

39

area.

40

Housing density and land use categories for historic and contemporary study sites

41

were taken from the SERGoM model of housing density5; we used the 1990 historical

42

data layer for the historic urban interface study site and the projected 2010 layers for the

43

contemporary sites. We refer to exurban, suburban, or urban habitat (&gt; 5 units/km2) as

44

“developed”. Undeveloped habitat contained no houses, while rural habitat was between

45

0.01 and 6 units/km2.

46

Finally, to determine if changes in ungulate density were driving changes in diet,

47

we examined mule deer population trends within the urban interface site from 1988 to

48

2010. Estimates of post-hunt population in the Boulder Creek deer herd (which overlaps

49

with the urban interface study area) were taken from Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife reports6.

50

Mule deer abundance and density did not change in the urban interface since the late

51

1980s (Fig. S3), therefore, differences in diet over time are unlikely to be the result of

52

changing ungulate availability.

53

Capture and isotopic sampling

54

Cougars in the wildland and urban interface site were captured and monitored from 2008-

55

2013 as part of a larger on-going study by Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife7,8. Sub-adult and

56

adult cougars were captured using dogs, cage traps, and snares, and immobilized with

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
57

tiletamine hydrochloride (Telazol) or ketamine hydrochloride-medetomidine. Hair

58

samples for isotopic analysis were taken either at captures or necropsies (Table S2). All

59

animal handling was in accordance with ACUC 16-2008 and 08-2004 approved by

60

Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife, Fort Collins, CO. We searched state records for cougars

61

harvested within our study area between 1970 and 1990 and requested samples from

62

hunters. We also queried museum databases for samples within 50 km of our study area

63

prior to 1990 (Table S3).

64

We collected over 140 hair samples from over 15 prey species, which we

65

identified as being potentially important due to their prevalence at kill sites within our

66

study area or from previous studies of cougar diet9,10. Hair samples from wild prey

67

species were collected at cougar kill sites or road kills in both study areas. We sampled

68

domestic species in the wildland-urban study site using shed hairs from farms or

69

veterinary clinics, and assumed that domestic species would not vary geographically due

70

to a high reliance on commercial feed rather than wild plants. We did not sample prey

71

from the 1980s in the urban interface site, but assumed that prey isotopic signature did

72

not change over time.

73
74

Isotopic analysis

75

Hair samples from cougar and prey were rinsed in a 2:1 mixture of chloroform: methanol,

76

dried for 72 hours, and homogenized, following standard methods11. Samples were

77

analysed using a Carlo Erba 1100 Elemental Analyzer coupled to a Thermo Delta Plus

78

XP IRMS. Results are reported as parts per thousand [‰] ratios relative to international

79

standards of Peedee Belemnite (PDB; d13C) and atmospheric nitrogen (AIR; d15N). We

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
80

adjusted prey isotopic signatures using isotopic correction factors for carnivores ( δ13C =

81

+2.6 ‰; δ15N = +3.4; 12). After correction, we grouped prey into biologically relevant and

82

isotopically distinct source groups using a K nearest-neighbour randomization test13.

83

Synanthropic wildlife from the wildland and urban interface sites did not differ (K

84

nearest-neighbour; p &gt; 0.05); however, the native herbivore group differed in δ15N among

85

study areas (p &lt; 0.01). Therefore, with the exception of the native herbivore group, we

86

used identical prey isotopic signatures in mixing models for all three populations. The

87

native herbivore group contains rabbits, elk, and deer, but, because ungulates are an order

88

of magnitude larger, use of this prey group reflects mostly consumption of ungulates,

89

rather than small mammals.

90

We corrected the d13C signatures of historic cougar samples to account for the

91

Suess effect, or the decrease in atmospheric 13C from fossil fuel burning14. We applied a -

92

0.022 ‰ per year correction15. To compare differences in raw isotopic signature between

93

cougar populations, we used K nearest-neighbour tests.

94

We computed a corrected standard ellipse (SEC) for each population in the

95

program SIAR16, with the area of each ellipse (SEAC) representing amount of isotopic

96

variation within a population. Compared with convex hull or standard deviation methods,

97

estimates of SEAC are more robust to differences in sample size and are, therefore, a

98

useful measure of niche breadth when sample sizes differ among groups, as in our

99

study17.

100

However, because standard ellipses are, themselves, estimates of uncertainty18,

101

the area of an ellipse does not have an associated variance estimate. In order to derive an

102

estimate of variance and test the robustness of SEAC estimates to sample sizes and

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
103

outliers, we utilized a bootstrapping approach. First, given the small sample size of the

104

historic urban interface population (n = 9), we tested the sensitivity of SEAC estimates to

105

outliers. We calculated SEAC after excluding one sample, and repeated this nine times,

106

dropping a different sample each time. SEAC varied little, from 0.4 – 0.7, suggesting no

107

individual sample was overly influential (Fig. S2). Next, we used a similar process for the

108

contemporary urban and contemporary wildland datasets. Nine individuals were

109

randomly drawn from each sample set, and SEAC was estimated for those nine

110

individuals. We repeated this sampling nine times, to generate a distribution similar to the

111

one generated for the historic urban interface (Fig. S2). We compared each simulated

112

distribution with the historic urban interface distribution using a Welch’s t-test. We also

113

compared the contemporary wildland and contemporary urban distributions to one

114

another. We repeated this process 1000×, and calculated an average p-value and median

115

SEAC (Fig. S2).

116

Though SEAC provides a useful estimate of niche breadth, we could not directly

117

compare niche overlap (as measured by SEC overlap in bi-plots) between cougar

118

populations because the position of the SEC can be influenced by variation in prey

119

signature among groups, and may not necessarily reflect differences in foraging strategy

120

18

121

compare niche overlap independent of differences in the isotopic signature of prey, as in

122

Flaherty and Ben-David19. To estimate diet, SIAR uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo

123

simulations to generate a distribution of possible diets that are consistent with consumer

124

and prey isotopic signatures15. The output is given as Bayesian posterior distributions of

125

possible solutions20. We report diet as 95% Bayesian credibility intervals of these

. Thus, we estimated diet compositions for populations in SIAR, which allowed us to

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
126

distributions, which represents the most likely diet for an entire population. We grouped

127

small and large domestic species a posteriori because, though they differed isotopically,

128

the model could not accurately distinguish between these two sources.

129

Finally, to test whether differences between study areas were influenced by the

130

demographic composition of samples, we ran analyses using only adults from the two

131

contemporary populations. Because adults are more likely than subadults to consume

132

large-bodied native herbivores21, it is possible that differences in the demographic

133

structure of the three sample sets (Table S2) could influence estimates of native herbivore

134

use. Restricting the analysis to adults only in the contemporary population is the most

135

conservative approach, given that adults have the most ungulate specialized diets. We

136

retained subadults and unknown age individuals (n = 3) in the historic urban interface

137

population, because if anything, this would increase our estimate of alternative prey and

138

thus dietary breadth. With this new analysis, adults in the contemporary urban interface

139

still had broader isotopic niches and relied less on native herbivores than the historic

140

population (Table S5), and estimates of diet and niche breadth varied only slightly.

141

Similarly, restricting analyses to adults only in the wildland population also did not

142

change results significantly (Table S5). Thus, the patterns still held true, with isotopic

143

niche the largest and reliance on native herbivores the lowest in contemporary urban

144

interface cougars. Therefore, to maximize sample sizes and avoid confusion, we report

145

full results from analyses of the entire sample sets.

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
146

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
Tables

Table S1. Measures of anthropogenic influence in Colorado study areas where we
sampled cougars (Puma concolor). The wildland study site shows the lowest amount of
anthropogenic influence and the contemporary urban interface study site the highest. In
the 1980s, the urban interface site was intermediate for all measures of anthropogenic
influence. Land use estimates and classifications were derived from the SERGoM model
of housing density5 and are given as % area.
Wildland

Urban interface

Urban interface

(contemporary)

(historic)

(contemporary)

Human density (persons/km2)

7

33

41

Road density (km roads/km2)

1.1

*

2.3

Undeveloped

72

58

56

Rural

22

19

14

Exurban

6

21

28

Suburban

&lt;1

1

1

Urban

&lt;1

&lt;1

&lt;1

Total area (km2)

2898

2869

2869

Land use (% total area)

*Digitized maps of roads during the 1980s were not available for our study area.

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

Table S2. Age-sex classes of cougars sampled in contemporary wildland and urban interface study
sites. Ages were determined using Logan’s21 criteria. Adults were individuals &gt; 24 months who had
established a home range and sub-adults were independent individuals &lt; 24 months old.
Study site

Age-sex class

N

% of total sample

Wildland

Adult female

24

41

Adult male

11

19

Sub-adult female

9

16

Sub-adult male

14

24

Adult female

21

51

Adult male

7

17

Sub-adult female

7

17

Sub-adult male

6

15

Adult female

2

22

Adult male

4

44

Sub-adult (unknown sex)

1

11

Unknown

2

22

Contemporary urban interface

Historic urban interface

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

Table S3. Historic samples collected from the urban interface study area in Colorado.
Samples were obtained from museums or from mounts. We report accession numbers for
museum samples.
Source

Mortality

Age-sex class

Year

Mount

Harvested

Adult male

1983

Mount

Harvested

Adult male

1983

Mount

Harvested

Adult male

1986

Mount

Roadkill

Subadult

1989

Accession number

female
Mount

Harvested

Adult female

1986

Mount

Harvested

Adult male

1983

Denver Museum of Nature

Unknown

Unknown

1988

DMN ZM.7699

&amp; Science
Museum of Southwestern

female
Agency

Adult female

1988

MSB:111939

Unknown

Unknown

1990

MSB: 115606

Biology
Museum of Southwestern
Biology

female

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
Table S4. Isotopic signatures and diet estimates for three cougar (Puma concolor) populations in Colorado. Dietary estimates are derived
from Bayesian mixing models; we give the mean and 95% Bayesian credibility interval (CI) from simulations to estimate diet. The
wildland population shows the highest reliance on native herbivores, followed by the historic urban interface population. The
contemporary urban interface population relies most heavily upon alternative prey species.
Isotopic signature: ! ± SD

Dietary contribution: ! (95% CI)
Native

Domestic

Synanthropic

δ13C (‰)

δ13N (‰)

herbivores

species

wildlife

Contemporary (2008-2013) 58

-21.6 ± 0.5

8.5 ± 0.5

96% (91-99%)

4% (1-8%)

1% (0-3%)

Urban interface

Historic (1983-1990)

-21.6 ± 0.5

6.9 ± 0.6

85% (73-95%)

11% (1-21%)

5% (0-12%)

Urban interface

Contemporary (2008-2013) 41

-21.3 ± 0.65

8.1 ± 0.8

71% (63-79%)

23% (13-33%)

5% (0-12%)

Study Area

Time

Wildland

n

7

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

Table S5. Results of analysis to test the impacts of demographic (i.e. subadult vs. adult) representation in samples. We
restricted contemporary samples to adults only to enable direct comparisons of diet and niche breadth, and to reduce possible
effects of differences in demographic structure of samples. We compared contemporary adult cougars to the full sample of
historic cougars, which included subadult individuals. Our analysis demonstrated that patterns of niche expansion and dietary
shifts were robust to the demographic classes sampled.
Full population analysis

Adults-only analysis

Dietary contribution

Isotopic niche Dietary contribution from

Isotopic niche

from native herbivores*

(SEAC)

native herbivores*

(SEAC)

Contemporary urban interface

63–79%

1.1

65–84%

1.0

Contemporary wildland

84–98%

0.7

91–99%

0.6

Historic urban interface

73–95%

0.6

N/A

N/A

Population

*95% Bayesian credibility interval

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
Figures
2

Housing density (units/km )
2400 (urban)

Wildland
Wildland
(contemporary)
(contemporary)

!
P Delta

300 (suburban)

40 (exurban)

!
P
!
P

Nucla

!
P

5 (rural)
0 (undeveloped)
Highways
0 10 20

Montrose

Norwood

Ridgway

!
P

Urban-wildland
Urban interface
(historic)
(historic)

40 Km

!
P Lyons

Urban-wildland
Urban interface
(contemporary)
(contemporary)

!
P Boulder

!
P Boulder

P
Idaho Springs !

¯

Evergreen !
P

!
P Golden
!
PMorrison

!
P Lyons

P
Idaho Springs !
Evergreen !
P

!
P Golden
!
P Morrison

Figure S1. Study areas in Colorado, where we sampled cougars (Puma concolor) for
isotopic analysis. The wildland study site, which was sampled from 2008 – 2013, is
located on the Uncompahgre Plateau of west-central Colorado, which has little
anthropogenic influence. The Northern Front Range of Colorado is an expanding urbanwildland interface; we sampled this site in the 1980s (urban interface historic) and from
2008-2013 (urban interface contemporary). Housing density is classified with SERGoM
housing density raster layers5 using 2010 data for contemporary land use and 1990 data
for historic land use. Maps were created using ArcGIS software and base maps (Version
10.2, Esri, www.esri.com).

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

Figure S2. Bootstrapped comparison of SEAC (corrected standard ellipse areas) between
cougar (Puma concolor) populations. For the contemporary urban interface and wildland
populations, we randomly drew nine individuals from the larger sample set and
calculated SEAC; this was repeated nine times to give a distribution of SEAC estimates (a
single thin line). We repeated this 1000 times and plotted the median distribution (heavy
line). For the historic urban interface population (n =9), we randomly dropped one
sample and calculated SEAC for the remaining samples, and repeated this for all possible
combinations, giving one distribution (in red). Non-bootstrapped estimates of SEAC
(dashed lines) are also shown.

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

10000

Post-hunt population estimate

9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

Figure S3. Estimates of population size for the deer herd in the Boulder Creek Deer Herd
management unit . The urban interface study area is located within this management unit.
Estiamtes are modeled post-hunt populations, gathered by Colorado Parks &amp; Wildlife6.
Deer abundance was near 8000 for both historic (1980s) and contemporary (2007-2013)
sampling periods, although pre-1988 estimates were not available.

�Niche expansion in an apex predator

References
1.

Logan, K. A. Puma population structure and vital rates on the Uncompahgre
Plateau. Annual Report, Mammals Program, Colorado Division of Parks and
Wildlife (2013).

2.

United States Census Bureau. Census of population and housing: summary tape
file 1 on CD ROM (Colorado). (2010). https://www.nhgis.org.

3.

United States Census Bureau. Census of population and housing: summary tape
file 1 on CD ROM (Colorado). (1990). https://www.nhgis.org.

4.

United States Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Mapping Service: Colorado state.
(2010). www.census.gov/geo/maps-data/data/tiger-line.html.

5.

Theobald, D. M. Landscape patterns of exurban growth in the USA from 1980 to
2020. Ecol. Soc. 10, 32 (2005).

6.

Huwer, S. &amp; Kraft, B. D-27 Boulder Creek deer herd management plan. Colorado
Parks and Wildlife (2012).

7.

Alldredge, M. W. Cougar demographics and human interactions along the urbanexurban Front-Range of Colorado. Annual Report, Mammals Research, Colorado
Parks and Wildlife (2011).

8.

Logan, K. A. Puma population structure and vital rates on the Uncompahgre
Plateau. Annual Report, Mammals Research, Colorado Parks and Wildlife (2009).

9.

Kertson, B. N., Spencer, R. D. &amp; Grue, C. E. Cougar prey use in a wildland–urban
environment in western Washington. Northwest. Nat. 92, 175–185 (2011).

10.

Knopff, K. H., Knopff, A. A., Kortello, A. &amp; Boyce, M. S. Cougar kill rate and
prey composition in a multiprey system. J. Wildl. Manage. 74, 1435–1447 (2010).

11.

Pauli, J. N., Ben-David, M., Buskirk, S. W., DePue, J. E. &amp; Smith, W. P. An
isotopic technique to mark mid-sized vertebrates non-invasively. J. Zool. 278,
141–148 (2009).

12.

Roth, J. D. &amp; Hobson, K. A. Stable carbon and nitrogen isotopic fractionation
between diet and tissue of captive red fox: implications for dietary reconstruction.
Can. J. Zool. 78, 848–852 (2000).

13.

Rosing, M. N., Ben-David, M. &amp; Barry, R. P. Analysis of stable isotope data: a K
nearest-neighbors randomization test. J. Wildl. Manage. 62, 380–388 (1998).

�Niche expansion in an apex predator
14.

Sonnerup, R. E. et al. Reconstructing the oceanic 13C Suess Effect. Global
Biogeochem. Cycles 13, 857–872 (1999).

15.

Hopkins, J. B. &amp; Ferguson, J. M. Estimating the diets of animals using stable
isotopes and a comprehensive Bayesian mixing model. PLoS One 7, e28478
(2012).

16.

Parnell, A., Inger, R., Bearhop, S. &amp; Jackson, A. L. SIAR: stable isotope analysis
in R. (2008).

17.

Jackson, A. L., Inger, R., Parnell, A. C. &amp; Bearhop, S. Comparing isotopic niche
widths among and within communities: SIBER - Stable Isotope Bayesian Ellipses
in R. J. Anim. Ecol. 80, 595–602 (2011).

18.

Newsome, S. D., del Rio, C. M., Bearhop, S. &amp; Phillips, D. L. A niche for isotopic
ecology. Front. Ecol. Environ. 5, 429–436 (2007).

19.

Flaherty, E. A. &amp; Ben-David, M. Overlap and partitioning of the ecological and
isotopic niches. Oikos 119, 1409–1416 (2010).

20.

Parnell, A. C., Inger, R., Bearhop, S. &amp; Jackson, A. L. Source Partitioning Using
Stable Isotopes: Coping with Too Much Variation. PLoS One 5, (2010).

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Moss, W. E., Alldredge, M. W. &amp; Pauli, J. N. Quantifying risk and resource use
for a large carnivore in an expanding urban–wildland interface. J Appl Ecol 53,
371–378 (2016).

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Logan, K. A. &amp; Sweanor, L. L. Desert puma: evolutionary ecology and
conservation of an enduring carnivore. (Island Press, 2001).

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              <text>Human expansion precipitates niche expansion for an opportunistic apex predator (&lt;em&gt;Puma concolor&lt;/em&gt;)</text>
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              <text>&lt;span&gt;There is growing recognition that developed landscapes are important systems in which to promote ecological complexity and conservation. Yet, little is known about processes regulating these novel ecosystems, or behaviours employed by species adapting to them. We evaluated the isotopic niche of an apex carnivore, the cougar (&lt;/span&gt;&lt;i&gt;Puma concolor&lt;/i&gt;&lt;span&gt;), over broad spatiotemporal scales and in a region characterized by rapid landscape change. We detected a shift in resource use, from near complete specialization on native herbivores in wildlands to greater use of exotic and invasive species by cougars in contemporary urban interfaces. We show that 25 years ago, cougars inhabiting these same urban interfaces possessed diets that were intermediate. Thus, niche expansion followed human expansion over both time and space, indicating that an important top predator is interacting with prey in novel ways. Thus, though human-dominated landscapes can provide sufficient resources for apex carnivores, they do not necessarily preserve their ecological relationships.&lt;/span&gt;</text>
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              <text>&lt;p&gt;Moss, W. E., M. W. Alldredge, K. A. Logan, and J. N. Pauli. 2016. Human expansion precipitates niche expansion for an opportunistic apex predator (Puma concolor). Scientific Reports 6:&lt;span&gt;39639&lt;/span&gt;. &lt;a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/srep39639" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://doi.org/10.1038/srep39639&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</text>
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